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PERTEMPS NETWORK FINAL Handicap Hurdle

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  • #91
    ….Dunboyne 20-1 Hills, 28-1 with Lads boost.
    Last edited by Eggs; 28 December 2021, 12:52 PM.

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    • #92
      Maze Runner can be cashed with 365 and the price hasn't moved from 33/1

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      • #93
        I think that Gordon may aim Commander Of Fleet at the Warwick qualifier now…
        not good enough for the Stayers

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        • #94
          Dunboyne as mentioned seems to one to take out of yesterdays qualifier, has back form last season behind Bob & Capodonno and his sire Yeats had three festival winners last season which is a small plus.

          Added him to my Born Patriot and Tullybeg bets so will focus on these for that race going forward.

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          • #95
            It's not on Oddschecker but Dunboyne is 33s at Joe C's.

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            • #96
              Originally posted by Evesham Road View Post
              It's not on Oddschecker but Dunboyne is 33s at Joe C's.

              ….16-1 now.

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              • #97
                Originally posted by Madmoose View Post
                Dunboyne as mentioned seems to one to take out of yesterdays qualifier, has back form last season behind Bob & Capodonno and his sire Yeats had three festival winners last season which is a small plus.

                Added him to my Born Patriot and Tullybeg bets so will focus on these for that race going forward.
                I like all 3 you've mentioned, If I had to have a bet now (Which I have) I've taken Tullybeg at 20/1. In his previous he's beaten Bardenstown Lad who then won a grade 2 Novice at Cheltenham. Wouldn't even expect to see the horse again before the day, but an English mark of 136 looks ideal.

                Born Patriot was beaten this season already behind Tullybeg in the summer, although he was ahead in the qualifier that doesn't count for anything IMO. Although his English mark of 130 looks tempting assuming they save him for the day. Might want soft ground.

                Dunboyne, has to be the biggest 'what if' horse out of the 3, his handicap form this season doesn't look up to much, I know there's alot to be said about his 5th place finish but there's nothing about the other 2 runs that scream he's protecting a handy mark. Maybe I'm just blind to the plot

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                • #98
                  I'm surprised people haven't locked on to the blindingly obvious with Winter Fog. Gordon Elliott isn't the only trainer who can plot a horse. He may look as though he's plotting 7 or 8 for the race right now, but Winter Fog is as 'laid out' as any of the likely Elliott participants.

                  I'd be fairly sure they'll do a 'Shunter' and go and get a five pound penalty somewhere if they need to (probably in a bonus race), because even after it he'll still have a stone or more in hand of his OR.

                  33/1 pre-race, and still 16/1 post race, I'd be fairly sure he'll be vying for favouritism on the day.
                  Luck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.

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                  • #99
                    I’ve managed to stick to my guns this year regarding handicaps I’m not playing until NRNB kicks in.

                    Far too many points thrown away, just hold is the best advice, there’s always plenty of value in the handicaps.

                    You might land on one or 2 beauties antepost but best waiting imo.

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                    • Originally posted by Craigy14 View Post
                      I’ve managed to stick to my guns this year regarding handicaps I’m not playing until NRNB kicks in.

                      Far too many points thrown away, just hold is the best advice, there’s always plenty of value in the handicaps.

                      You might land on one or 2 beauties antepost but best waiting imo.
                      I'd even go as far to say that a lot that value is still there a week or 2 before the Festival, with the odd bit still around race morning.

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                      • Originally posted by Irish Rugby View Post

                        I'd even go as far to say that a lot that value is still there a week or 2 before the Festival, with the odd bit still around race morning.
                        Day of the race betting with enhanced places also much better value than ante post for 95% of horses.

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                        • I agree, and you have to be selective. The Pertemps is an exception to the rule though, as the qualifiers allow you to get a handle on the race, and you can have to get involved early to bag the value.

                          In this case Eilliot has a truckload of horses, so which one's turn up is anyone's guess.

                          Emmet Mullins on the other hand is targeting it with one horse. He's a proper 'job' trainer, and there's nothing not to like about Winter Fog's credentials given the previous MO.

                          I'd suggest it's well worth breaking your own rule for this horse.
                          Luck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Spectre View Post
                            I agree, and you have to be selective. The Pertemps is an exception to the rule though, as the qualifiers allow you to get a handle on the race, and you can have to get involved early to bag the value.

                            In this case Eilliot has a truckload of horses, so which one's turn up is anyone's guess.

                            Emmet Mullins on the other hand is targeting it with one horse. He's a proper 'job' trainer, and there's nothing not to like about Winter Fog's credentials given the previous MO.

                            I'd suggest it's well worth breaking your own rule for this horse.

                            ….best I can see is 14-1 Hills, looks like he’s not listed at all on Oddschecker.

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                            • Originally posted by Eggs View Post


                              ….best I can see is 14-1 Hills, looks like he’s not listed at all on Oddschecker.
                              16s on 365

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                              • Originally posted by Eggs View Post


                                ….best I can see is 14-1 Hills, looks like he’s not listed at all on Oddschecker.
                                16s with B365.

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