I'm as confident as I can be that Honey will go Mares Chase with the reasons kev gave plus i see her future over fences and in particular the GC in 2022 to emulate Dawn Run. 10/1 Mares Chase just has to be taken in my view. If they did turn round and say she was sticking to hurdles then I don't think she'd be smaller than 3/1 in the Mares ( with potentially Benie turning up again) or the Churdle (wouldn't back her in that). So you could back her at the point of them choosing either of those routes and still get around 3/1 or bigger. As for any other chase........same scenario but personally I don't see her taking on the boys next March.
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Cheltenham Festival 2021 - Horses Targets/Trainer Quotes
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If she goes over fences, she'll likely run in novice chases against geldings. If she turns out to be very good I think they'll go for the Marsh or the RSA for 2 reasons:
1 It's a big ask to win an open championship race as a novice.
2 As per PTKO running in the CC rather than the Mares Chase, for a mare the G1 black type is more valuable than G2.
Obviously, I think it's close to insane to be backing her while she's still out at grass so I wouldn't be having a bet at all but that's the way that I'd be looking at it if I were considering the options.
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Originally posted by archie View PostIf she goes over fences, she'll likely run in novice chases against geldings. If she turns out to be very good I think they'll go for the Marsh or the RSA for 2 reasons:
1 It's a big ask to win an open championship race as a novice.
2 As per PTKO running in the CC rather than the Mares Chase, for a mare the G1 black type is more valuable than G2.
Obviously, I think it's close to insane to be backing her while she's still out at grass so I wouldn't be having a bet at all but that's the way that I'd be looking at it if I were considering the options.
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Originally posted by archie View PostWhy wouldn't she if she wins the Gold Cup in 2022?
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I think it’s just as likely that Benie des Dieux runs in the Mares Chase. She’s not a novice and has proven form over fences. I also suspect Willie will fancy winning the inaugural running with her.
I’d fancy her to reverse the form with Honeysuckle too if they both go there.Luck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.
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Originally posted by Spectre View PostI think it’s just as likely that Benie des Dieux runs in the Mares Chase. She’s not a novice and has proven form over fences. I also suspect Willie will fancy winning the inaugural running with her.
I’d fancy her to reverse the form with Honeysuckle too if they both go there.
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Originally posted by Spectre View PostI think it’s just as likely that Benie des Dieux runs in the Mares Chase. She’s not a novice and has proven form over fences. I also suspect Willie will fancy winning the inaugural running with her.
I’d fancy her to reverse the form with Honeysuckle too if they both go there.
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I agree. Honeysuckle was a good winner and its hard to say what could have/would have happened. Both are outstanding mares and if they both turn up in the mares hurdle again I’d back Honeysuckle to repeat. I’m confident Benie would reverse over fences when Honeysuckle is a novice chaser though. And as I said, I think Willie will want to win the inaugural running, and Benie is easily his best chance of doing so.Luck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.
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Originally posted by Spectre View PostI agree. Honeysuckle was a good winner and its hard to say what could have/would have happened. Both are outstanding mares and if they both turn up in the mares hurdle again I’d back Honeysuckle to repeat. I’m confident Benie would reverse over fences when Honeysuckle is a novice chaser though. And as I said, I think Willie will want to win the inaugural running, and Benie is easily his best chance of doing so.
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