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Hello Fat Jockeys,

Upgrading the Fat Jockey forum!: https://www.crowdfunder.co.uk/p/fatjockeyforum

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2022 Gold Cup

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  • Originally posted by RufusFlynn View Post
    Kevloaf Aye Right is 100/1 shot with SkyBet.

    Form at Cheltenham is: 6533
    6th over Hurdles
    5th in Champ’s RSA albeit a long way back
    3rd in Ultima last year carrying almost top weight
    3rd in Cotswold Chase behind Chantry House/Santini

    On the face of it he would look nowhere near good enough but he is a hardy little horse with nothing to lose. You can’t blame them for taking a chance.

    His jumping is reliable and has only not completed once on his chase debut. You could have more faith him staying the trip then Protektorat? having ran in Scottish National last year at the end of a fairly busy season. So a bold call could be that he is most reliable of the British?!

    He won’t be the classiest horse in the line up but stranger things have happened.

    For the Northern raiders - EW double with Tommy’s Oscar in the Champion Hurdle. Retire on the winnings
    Haha, he's 100/1 with 365 too nrnbog. Go on then

    I did actually literally just add a bit more at 20/1 in the without Irish market.
    Fiddler no longer running, price hasn't changed. I just don't really like any of them, so backing the outsider isn't as mental as it might sound, in that market especially.

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
      Not seen this market mentioned as much as the Champion Hurdle version.

      Non Irish Trained - 3 places 1/5 odds.


      What do we think? Where is the value?

      Currently 11 horses quotes, will we have more than 8? I don't think so.... maybe the 3 places now is worth taking a poke....


      According the the Tizzard stable tour, both of their's (Fiddlerontheroof - GN and Lostintranslation - Ultima) will be elsewhere ....

      Whatever you fancy in this market, that news must be helpful.... struggle to get 8 runners?


      I still like Santini and Aye Right in it... each way, obviously.

      Comment


      • How many of them will be tailed off due to the gallop they are going to go?

        On first look I would fancy a plugging on Santini but in reality he will be being pushed a long with a circuit to go because of the pace and may not last long enough to stay on at all

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Hurricane fly View Post
          How many of them will be tailed off due to the gallop they are going to go?

          On first look I would fancy a plugging on Santini but in reality he will be being pushed a long with a circuit to go because of the pace and may not last long enough to stay on at all
          Who do you think the front runner will be, making them go a great gallop? There doesn't seem to be a horse in it whose first tactics are to make the pace and so there may not be an overly strong pace.

          Comment


          • I could see Indo taking it up from a bit further out, I wouldn't have thought they will want to make it a sprint with APT in the field.

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

              According the the Tizzard stable tour, both of their's (Fiddlerontheroof - GN and Lostintranslation - Ultima) will be elsewhere ....

              Whatever you fancy in this market, that news must be helpful.... struggle to get 8 runners?


              I still like Santini and Aye Right in it... each way, obviously.
              Def take the fav on

              Santini ew......not sure re others
              Last edited by TigerRolllllll; 3 March 2022, 10:58 AM.
              Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)

              Comment


              • So the field is really struggling to excite me this year which is really sad.
                It used to be the pinnacle of the week for me.
                This is really sad

                So I am trying to find the love again. Bare in mind I was on the bolster at all big prices in each of his races.
                I had winderemere.. On his Own.. And bolster in the 1-2-3.
                That was bloody brilliant. I often loved a big price grand national type to sneak into a place here.

                Anyway. My only plays this year were the Tizzard two each way at 100/1. But that's gone south.

                This means I am back to square one and the only play I see now for myself are :

                - chantry House 17
                -Aye right (but want some enhanced places)

                Question : Will chantry go bigger? I don't think so.

                ​​​​
                ​My other prediction is that Rachel will win the big races this week but have a poor week elsewhere.
                Maybe Sam in the Arkle...honey and then APT. Yes I did miss bob out.

                Comment


                • Actually think it's one of the best renewals for a long time tbh. Fair play if you're in it for a big priced one but in terms of quality and interest it's right up there I think.

                  Doubt Chantry House will go off bigger. Kind of horse that'll be backed before getting PU. Bit like the King George. Might lay off that win today & GC bet for a freebie if he goes short enough.

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by punterorplonker View Post
                    So the field is really struggling to excite me this year which is really sad.
                    It used to be the pinnacle of the week for me.
                    This is really sad

                    So I am trying to find the love again. Bare in mind I was on the bolster at all big prices in each of his races.
                    I had winderemere.. On his Own.. And bolster in the 1-2-3.
                    That was bloody brilliant. I often loved a big price grand national type to sneak into a place here.

                    Anyway. My only plays this year were the Tizzard two each way at 100/1. But that's gone south.

                    This means I am back to square one and the only play I see now for myself are :

                    - chantry House 17
                    -Aye right (but want some enhanced places)

                    Question : Will chantry go bigger? I don't think so.

                    ​​​​
                    ​My other prediction is that Rachel will win the big races this week but have a poor week elsewhere.
                    Maybe Sam in the Arkle...honey and then APT. Yes I did miss bob out.
                    Santini is the horse for you. 50/1
                    20/1 without the Irish
                    Placed in the race before.
                    Not much to find with Chanty House on their last run (personally think extra distance he'd have beaten him)

                    Comment


                    • Surely the best way to play rags is with the 4 and 5 place markets (exchange) on the day ?
                      I'm struggling to see the appeal in the each way market that currently pays 3 places.
                      Kevs without Irish horses could interest though as that takes out the front four in the market plus the likes of Conflated, Asterion Forlonge should they turn up here...

                      Comment


                      • Yeah agreed Ista.
                        He was 80s not too long ago, I assume will be that on the day on the exchanges, likely 3 figures to win.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                          Santini is the horse for you. 50/1
                          20/1 without the Irish
                          Placed in the race before.
                          Not much to find with Chanty House on their last run (personally think extra distance he'd have beaten him)
                          Boosted to 56.5 with WH. That’s fair and should give a run for your money. I’m on.

                          Comment


                          • Who's got this without the Irish Market?

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by punterorplonker View Post
                              Who's got this without the Irish Market?
                              s k y b e t

                              Comment


                              • What are peoples thoughts on Galvin facing the new course for the first time when he runs next week, not something to worry about as his stamina will be suited to the course or something to be concerned about?

                                Comment

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