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2022 Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle

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  • Originally posted by Buckingham View Post
    This really is not a race to be so dogmatic about - a well run stiff 3m on an undulating track is something that virtually none of the participants will have ever seen. Vanillier was a 53 length 10th of 13 in his preceding race, Kilbricken storm was beaten 23 lengths in his prior race. Even Minella Indo who was 2nd to Allaho (great in hindsight) was only given a RPR of 138. Personally I don't have Gerri Colombe near the top of my list (and I think the price is far, far too short) but I wouldn't go anywhere near as far as saying he couldn't win it. These are relatively young horses, still learning, still improving and about to be faced with a totally different set of conditions than any have yet faced - 4 of the last 5 winners improved their best RPR by between 9 and 18lbs on the day (Monkfish the exception).
    Yeah, some good points.

    But you have to look for answers somewhere.
    So it's not so much dogmatism, it's more a process of elimination in the knowledge that you could be a loser in the end.
    And the race has also finished with the right types near the front end a few times also.

    If you view the race with your eyes/attitude, then who do you back ?

    In this race it is difficult to rule any horse out because of the reasons you've given.
    But for most punters, then they'll have to reduce the contenders somehow, and this will almost always be form and price relative.

    What you're kind of saying is it's a no bet race as anything can happen or anything can find the improvement needed to win.
    But that's impossible for me

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

      Yeah, some good points.

      But you have to look for answers somewhere.
      So it's not so much dogmatism, it's more a process of elimination in the knowledge that you could be a loser in the end.
      And the race has also finished with the right types near the front end a few times also.

      If you view the race with your eyes/attitude, then who do you back ?

      In this race it is difficult to rule any horse out because of the reasons you've given.
      But for most punters, then they'll have to reduce the contenders somehow, and this will almost always be form and price relative.

      What you're kind of saying is it's a no bet race as anything can happen or anything can find the improvement needed to win.
      But that's impossible for me
      It's a race that's harder to think you've nailed than plenty of others though isn't it?

      I've got a great position in this race (IMO), yet I am much more dogmatic about my changes of getting the winner of the Arkle or QMCC.

      He's not saying it's a no-bet race (I don't think?), just, one that's hard to form a dogmatic opinion on....

      although that said, if Ginto lines up he wins it.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

        It's a race that's harder to think you've nailed than plenty of others though isn't it?

        I've got a great position in this race (IMO), yet I am much more dogmatic about my changes of getting the winner of the Arkle or QMCC.

        He's not saying it's a no-bet race (I don't think?), just, one that's hard to form a dogmatic opinion on....

        although that said, if Ginto lines up he wins it.

        Feels like i have a great position every year on this, but rarely pays out

        When i look at exchanges, then same seems to apply this year....but if i am honest, i feel clueless still on race really

        There will tho be prob be lot of future talent running that we don't et know
        Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)

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        • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

          It's a race that's harder to think you've nailed than plenty of others though isn't it?

          I've got a great position in this race (IMO), yet I am much more dogmatic about my changes of getting the winner of the Arkle or QMCC.

          He's not saying it's a no-bet race (I don't think?), just, one that's hard to form a dogmatic opinion on....

          although that said, if Ginto lines up he wins it.
          Not sure anyone was being dogmatic. (worth looking up the definition)
          Although I like typing the word and the film Dogma is underrated.

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

            Not sure anyone was being dogmatic. (worth looking up the definition)
            Although I like typing the word and the film Dogma is underrated.
            Don't need to look it up, remember archie using it years ago and doing it then and it stuck

            Just looked it up to double check though, definitely dogmatic about all my bets... "such assertion, often with an unconsidered rejection of criticism."

            I don't think I've seen Dogma

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            • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

              Don't need to look it up, remember archie using it years ago and doing it then and it stuck

              Just looked it up to double check though, definitely dogmatic about all my bets... "such assertion, often with an unconsidered rejection of criticism."

              I don't think I've seen Dogma
              Have you seen Clerks ?
              Imagine you might have even for a young man.
              If Not you should, as you would like.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

                Have you seen Clerks ?
                Imagine you might have even for a young man.
                If Not you should, as you would like.
                Yeah, Clerks 2 I saw first though.

                In fact, I'd bet my Ginto slips that the Donkey Show has come up on here before.

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                • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                  Yeah, Clerks 2 I saw first though.

                  In fact, I'd bet my Ginto slips that the Donkey Show has come up on here before.
                  Clerks 2 is the best one IMO.

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                  • Without being peremptory, discussions about linguistics should be kept to the general chat thread…

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                    • Originally posted by Fatcatshat View Post
                      Without being peremptory, discussions about linguistics should be kept to the general chat thread…
                      As the son of 2 teachers.
                      That's a word I've not seen before.
                      And so fitting for a lot of my behaviour as well
                      It's rare I learn much on here these days (apart form being more tolerant), but today is one of those days.

                      Comment


                      • ….PP offer 6/4 Elliott trains AB winner.

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                        • What time are the novice hurdle entries out today?

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                          • Originally posted by RoadToCheltenham View Post
                            What time are the novice hurdle entries out today?
                            Any moment now. I'm refreshing like mad.

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                            • Originally posted by Lbur4288 View Post

                              Any moment now. I'm refreshing like mad.
                              Do you have a link?

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                              • Originally posted by Lbur4288 View Post

                                Any moment now. I'm refreshing like mad.
                                No surprises from what ive seen..

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