2022 Mares Novices Hurdle

[Hill of bones]

I'm surprised Statuaire isn't more popular @ 10/1. For me thats the value. Grade 1 winner who has beaten a subsequent Grade 1 winner, so form looks good despite the depth of that win being a little questionable. Entered against the boys over Xmas which I don't mind at all, and she's a French recruit with three 1's next to her name for a trainer who is 5 from 6 in this race. If I could only back one now I'd have Statuiare at 10's over the current 9/2 fav.

I think you're right, Charlie.
I think her unpopularity with me stems from the fact that she beat a horse I'd backed for the fez, did so late, and relatively unfancied.
I need to get over it.

[SamuelP]

I'm surprised Statuaire isn't more popular @ 10/1. For me thats the value. Grade 1 winner who has beaten a subsequent Grade 1 winner, so form looks good despite the depth of that win being a little questionable. Entered against the boys over Xmas which I don't mind at all, and she's a French recruit with three 1's next to her name for a trainer who is 5 from 6 in this race. If I could only back one now I'd have Statuiare at 10's over the current 9/2 fav.

I see what you mean and she's of obvious interest but I think it's more to do with people not taking the form of that race too literally. Like it was run completely differently to how you would expect the mares novice at Cheltenham to be run. Small field, slow pace, she picked up well and looked speedy, but different proposition to picking up well off an expected quickly run race on the new course at Cheltenham. I do like her though, she seems to travel well and looks sharp, and the form is still decent however the race was run. Mullins has so many to choose from this year

[Olliemagern]

Also is the fact she’s won a grade 1 against the boys not factored into her price with them thinking she might not run here? She’s already got a grade 1 so has the black type why would you drop her into grade 2 company rather than going for say the supreme?

[Star Of A Gunner]

I’m guessing Gypsy Island is going to be a no show again this year, I haven’t heard anything for a while.

[darlojim]

I’m guessing Gypsy Island is going to be a no show again this year, I haven’t heard anything for a while.

The no mention of her in Faheys stable tour probably tells the story.

[Star Of A Gunner]

Thanks Jim, got a couple of small roll ups, just as well cashing out.

[charlie]

I see what you mean and she's of obvious interest but I think it's more to do with people not taking the form of that race too literally. Like it was run completely differently to how you would expect the mares novice at Cheltenham to be run. Small field, slow pace, she picked up well and looked speedy, but different proposition to picking up well off an expected quickly run race on the new course at Cheltenham. I do like her though, she seems to travel well and looks sharp, and the form is still decent however the race was run. Mullins has so many to choose from this year

I see where you're coming from. She was seriously keen on debut at Downpatrick and I'm convinced stable mate Elite Charboniere was entered at Wexford next time up solely to make the running and set a pace Statuaire could aim at, which worked a treat. You are spot on re the way the race was run LTO, but I think the question mark left on the suitability of this race (which is very fair) is more than factored into her price of 10/1, and you'd have to be slightly encouraged by Willie mentioning the Supreme and entering her in the race (latter means little as he block enters, but still). I'd love to see her run into 2nd or 3rd in the Grade 1 vs the boys at the DRF. In fact, I'm adding her now at 10/1.

[SamuelP]

I see where you're coming from. She was seriously keen on debut at Downpatrick and I'm convinced stable mate Elite Charboniere was entered at Wexford next time up solely to make the running and set a pace Statuaire could aim at, which worked a treat. You are spot on re the way the race was run LTO, but I think the question mark left on the suitability of this race (which is very fair) is more than factored into her price of 10/1, and you'd have to be slightly encouraged by Willie mentioning the Supreme and entering her in the race (latter means little as he block enters, but still). I'd love to see her run into 2nd or 3rd in the Grade 1 vs the boys at the DRF. In fact, I'm adding her now at 10/1.

Agree with all you are saying, but if Willie is mentioning the Supreme, like Ollie has also suggested, and with the raft of options Willie has for the mares novice then for me 10/1 looks a bit skinny if she may not even run here

[Hurricane fly]

8/1 NRNB with Skybet

[jack1092]

It's unlikely to happen i'd say but it's interesting to see Allegorie De Vassy with a mark and two handicap entries at the DRF.

Obviously Brandy Love wouldn't qualify for a mark.

Potential for ADV to go to that mares handicap which would give her another week having only ran on 1/1. Doubt it.

In saying that if Brandy Love was considered the Solerina mare (timing for her is perfect between races) the market might just flip flop pretty quickly......

[Istabraq]

Random piece of advice, especially for married members, if googling ‘Brandy Love’ make sure you enter ‘horse’ in the search…

[Lobos]

Random piece of advice, especially for married members, if googling ‘Brandy Love’ make sure you enter ‘horse’ in the search…

That should read.....for married members don't enter horse in the search.

[jack1092]

+ for those at work......

[charlie]

Agree with all you are saying, but if Willie is mentioning the Supreme, like Ollie has also suggested, and with the raft of options Willie has for the mares novice then for me 10/1 looks a bit skinny if she may not even run here

She'll run here 99% if the time if she goes Cheltenham. Entering a mare in the Supreme would be a very un willie like thing to do.

[Lobos]

She'll run here 99% if the time if she goes Cheltenham. Entering a mare in the Supreme would be a very un willie like thing to do.

She is entered. 25/1 8th best