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2022 Stayers Hurdle

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  • Originally posted by Zachx02 View Post

    Melon NRNB does interest me, they did say they wanted to try something different with him and this could be it
    I think it may be a different horse, in the same colours, that comes here, in the shape of Asterion Forlonge, as I think Quevega has mentioned previously.

    I think they might realise, Melon, being 10, has one crack at a Gold Cup but they can re-visit the Gold Cup with Asterion Forlonge next season if he's able to sort his jumping out.

    However, you are talking NRNB, so fill ya boots

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    • Anybody got anything encouraging to say about abracadabras? He isnt sparking this season at all yet.

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      • Originally posted by callhimgamblor View Post
        Anybody got anything encouraging to say about abracadabras? He isnt sparking this season at all yet.
        And won't be sparkling in the Stayers unfortunately...........not amongst today's entries

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        • Originally posted by callhimgamblor View Post
          Anybody got anything encouraging to say about abracadabras? He isnt sparking this season at all yet.
          No. He's not having a good season - they know he won't beat Honeysuckle in the CH so stepped him up hoping to be a player here & he doesn't see out the trip so they've scrapped it. Ruby Walsh said on RTC it's back to the drawing board with him so's probably a watching brief... frustrating as he's a top class horse on his day.

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          • Aintree probably a decent target for him still.

            ​​​​​​Has high hopes for him here myself. Got that one all wrong.

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            • Originally posted by MadeinJapan View Post

              No. He's not having a good season.

              frustrating as he's a top class horse on his day.
              Easy to dismiss him but with that talent he could well run a big race at a huge price somewhere.
              I don’t think he’s ever been a massively consistent horse, whether that be deliberate or otherwise, so this seasons form doesn’t shock me, he’s a Yorkhill type of horse in that when you think he’s gone at the game I think it will still worth backing blind every time he runs from now…

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              • Easy for me to say now but Aba should of went chasing this season and if he flopped then reverted back to hurdles and targeted an Aintree Hurdle defence.

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                • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post

                  Easy to dismiss him but with that talent he could well run a big race at a huge price somewhere.
                  I don’t think he’s ever been a massively consistent horse, whether that be deliberate or otherwise, so this seasons form doesn’t shock me, he’s a Yorkhill type of horse in that when you think he’s gone at the game I think it will still worth backing blind every time he runs from now…
                  Don't get me started on Yorkhill! Remember there was a whole thread on here just for him one year...

                  Hills have got a W/O Honeysuckle market for the CH just seen posted on that thread... Aba is 20/1

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                  • Originally posted by MadeinJapan View Post

                    Don't get me started on Yorkhill! Remember there was a whole thread on here just for him one year...

                    Hills have got a W/O Honeysuckle market for the CH just seen posted on that thread... Aba is 20/1

                    Only way to go for punters. 1/5th odds 1,2,3 as well which means if Honey finished in top 3 and your horse finished 4th you'd get paid out.

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                    • Asterion Forlonge - 20/1 NRNB looks far too big to me.

                      Bags of latent ability in his Novice Hurdle season and started to harness that in John Durkan and King George before compulsory late errors. His jumping frailties make it a reasonable chance he reverts to hurdles if they want to run at Cheltenham with the Ryanair and Gold Cup both likely to provide a sterner jumping test than either of the two starts this year given the undulations of the track.

                      He'd be right up there with Klassical Dream, Flooring Porter and Champ at the head of the market in my book if coming here so with NRNB concession it's a no brainer for me, despite not wanting to tie up bank unnecessarily. Some will point to his jumping in the Supreme but it's a wildly different test on the New Course (see Goshen). Happy to forgive that run given the different course layout and just looks the wrong price to me.

                      I'd have him somewhere around 6/1 NRNB with plenty of frailties surrounding Klassical Dream and no certainties over Champ coming here either.

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                      • If the race was right handed id agree

                        Left handed a massive negative for asterion

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                        • The New Course vs Old Course thing is a big player in that debate I think. Partly because the New Course (Stayers) is a lot less tight than the Old (Supreme) and also because there are only two flights of hurdles in the final 7 furlongs. His jumping held up fine in the Marsh which is again the New Course so I don't think the left/right thing is as cut and dried as some think.

                          As I briefly hinted at above, Goshen is a prime example of a similar horse that handled the New Course well (Triumph) but couldn't cope on the Old (Champion Hurdle). I see this as a very similar situation personally.

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                          • He jumps much straighter over fences than he did over hurdles

                            He still ended up finishing behind fusil raffles in the marsh which is some way off grade 1 form

                            hes just not for me left handed

                            Punchestown stayers yes but not for this imo

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                            • My hesitancy, even NRNB is that I feel every year I see failed chasers being mentioned as an interesting angle on this race, but as far as I can see (I've only been following the sport since 2014) it seems to be invariably won by a horse who has been committed hurdling that season?

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                              • Originally posted by robith View Post
                                My hesitancy, even NRNB is that I feel every year I see failed chasers being mentioned as an interesting angle on this race, but as far as I can see (I've only been following the sport since 2014) it seems to be invariably won by a horse who has been committed hurdling that season?
                                Big bucks
                                lisnagar Oscar
                                both started season chasing
                                think there’s one or 2 others but I’m in car waiting on a pork sandwich

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