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What price are you making him on the day if he does turn up?
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Going from 20/1 to 6/1 fav (4s in a place wtfffffff) without having a run must be one of the oddest ante post market moves in a long time.
money? Or scooby tips doing the damage
FOMO
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Important difference between this prengrand yoke and easysland potentially that the latter had a previous run around the course prior to the festival?
That said race looks very very weak this year. Can leave single figure prices but 20/1 can’t be knocked given shape of the current market.Comment
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Not a clue mate tbh, I can't guess what else turns up.Originally posted by Benjy23 View Post
Should he turn up, and they all do as the market is now, maybe he's priced right on his chances at 4/1. So a 25% win chance, which isn't too generous at all and takes in to consideration tiger and easysland being in cherry ripe form etc...
but I'm suprised he has been cut as much as he has been, and he could easily drift.
I know him very well and all the horses he's beaten etc... as if he was a UK horse, but I can't imagine that is the general consensus, so you'd usually go with what's familiar to you? and popularity is how the on the day market works, so I'd say he'd maybe drift from his current price.
That said he's in the familiar JP colours so he could easily go off jt fav at 11/4 or something alongside Tiger roll, and that could look an horrendous price, or a generous one if he does what he's done on France.
As the French have said many times, the English X country is a glorified standard chase in France, and they all see it as nothing to adapt to. So I hope he runs, and either proves that to be the case, or doesn't.
At 20s that indicates a 5% chance, and he'd certainly have more than that, anyway if they all turn up in cherry ripe form.https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!Comment
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Shady Operator entered in a handicap hurdle at Navan this weekend.Comment
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mark-minding exercise surely, but for what? He’d need to be going up to get in the grand nationalOriginally posted by isitmarchyet View PostComment
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It's probably a keep him ticking over run, lots of XC horses do it tbf and its not like he can't practice on Cheltenham esque banks at home.Originally posted by ToniC View PostComment
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Yep, Tiger will get a good blow in the Boyne Hurdle again before heading to Chelt like usualOriginally posted by charlie View PostComment
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So many factors chipping away at that FOMO - JP bought, 11111, XC experience, Bolger the banks specialist, brilliantly bred, Easysland recently did it, he's run to a similar level, weak market. It's the perfect price crash storm.Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostGoing from 20/1 to 6/1 fav (4s in a place wtfffffff) without having a run must be one of the oddest ante post market moves in a long time.
money? Or scooby tips doing the damage
FOMOComment
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Tiger Roll declared for the handicap hurdle at Navan on Saturday. Likely to get a spin around out the back and never really have a race you'd think... it'll be fascinating to see what sort of price he is following the race.Comment
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Fab-u-lous !!!!Comment
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Is there anything to read into Tiger Rolls prep this season? Run at Aintree in December and another run in January is noticeably different to what they've been doing in recent years. I appreciate he's now 12 which I don't doubt will have some bearing!Comment
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Probably to give O'Leary a bit more to whinge about when Aintree weights come out?Originally posted by Atlantic Viking View PostComment
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I'm convinced they're trying to get him in the Grand National as his last race and trying to show Mr Handicapper that he's 'not the same horse he was'Originally posted by Atlantic Viking View PostComment
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