2022 Queen Mother Champion Chase

[Carnage at Taunton]

If I was you I'd steam into the 15/8 Sky are offering.
And grab any of the 2-1+ on the machines.
Could be the bet of a lifetime.
Especially if Energumene don't travel which is just as likely, as the other runners are all due to run this weekend, so he'd be 1/12 or something daft.
Or it could also be the start of you calling Nicky names

Don’t worry, I’ve called him some names in the past for sure.

If you were me you would not be punting on 15/8 shots that might not run, even if you thought they would.

[Spectre]

Henderson used both Ascot and Newbury for Altior's preps.

FWIW I'm not keen on Ascot as a festival prep and much prefer Newbury, Ascot can be a real test in the winter and horses take a lot more recovery than they do on winter ground at Newbury.

I'd also prefer Shishkin to go left-handed in his prep.

I've meant to do some digging on it, but I'm not sure the Clarence House meeting at Ascot is the best trial for the Festival. Yes Festival winners have some from it, but it's always left me with the feeling that several horses have run a bit flat by comparison in March.

[Lobos]

Nube Negra coming in for some very strong support across the board for this today.

[Madmoose]

Nube Negra coming in for some very strong support across the board for this today.

Pricewise selected it tonight

[Lobos]

Pricewise selected it tonight

Oh dear......I'll put a line through him then

[charlie]

Pricewise selected it tonight

He's enjoyed a bit of a resurgence recently, but his record is abysmal:

Profit for 2013: 542.50
Profit for 2014: 402.00
Loss for 2015: -1296.50
Profit for 2016: 793.30
Loss for 2017: -107.70
Loss for 2018: -891.10
Profit for 2019: 346.61
Profit for 2020: 546.60
Loss for 2021: -290.00

+45 after nearly a decade. Thats shocking for a 'pro' tipster and his tips at Cheltenham are generally terrible.

[Bollinger]

What we don’t know is what Mr Segal privately backs himself.

He might make an argument for Nube Negra and tip it publically, but the truth is, we have no idea if he’s been backing the two market leaders for this race throughout the Summer at prices two & three times they currently sit at. He may well be sitting very comfortably on his own private bets, but he’s not going to look an idiot tipping up odds on shots/short priced favourites 2 months out.

He’d probably be in danger of unemployment from the Racing Post if he done that every week.

He might be having a nice little flutter on Galopin Des Champs for next year’s Gold Cup, and might indeed have already struck bets on the horse, but he ain’t gonna be tipping him up this time next year when the horse (in my opinion, the potential is strongly there) is sitting at 6/4 favourite.

[Craigy14]

What we don’t know is what Mr Segal privately backs himself.

He might make an argument for Nube Negra and tip it publically, but the truth is, we have no idea if he’s been backing the two market leaders for this race throughout the Summer at prices two & three times they currently sit at. He may well be sitting very comfortably on his own private bets, but he’s not going to look an idiot tipping up odds on shots/short priced favourites 2 months out.

He’d probably be in danger of unemployment from the Racing Post if he done that every week.

He might be having a nice little flutter on Galopin Des Champs for next year’s Gold Cup, and might indeed have already struck bets on the horse, but he ain’t gonna be tipping him up this time next year when the horse (in my opinion, the potential is strongly there) is sitting at 6/4 favourite.

[fatherjohn]

there's been a huge change in e change prices on shishkin for Clarence House. was over 3s now 2.12.

which is strange cause no bookmaker has changed their prices

we might get the clash after all

[isitmarchyet]

and if Shishkin beats him comfortably, shift Energumene to the Ryanair.

And then run Allaho here...

Wonder if they would actually move Energumene in that situation. Suppose it would depend if it was a tight finish or he got thrashed.

[Lobos]

And then run Allaho here...

Wonder if they would actually move Energumene in that situation. Suppose it would depend if it was a tight finish or he got thrashed.

He'd have to get well beat for his target to change I'd say. If he did then it's possible Allaho could fill in for Willie in the CC as Cheveley Park would have Envoi to slot nicely into the Ryanair. Lots of ifs/buts and maybes though.

[Moby123]

He'd have to get well beat for his target to change I'd say. If he did then it's possible Allaho could fill in for Willie in the CC as Cheveley Park would have Envoi to slot nicely into the Ryanair. Lots of ifs/buts and maybes though.

The chances of Allaho not defending his Ryanair title is about zero. Regardless of what any other Cheveley Park or WPM horses do!

[Lobos]

The chances of Allaho not defending his Ryanair title is about zero. Regardless of what any other Cheveley Park or WPM horses do!

If only it was as easy as that. If it were zero he wouldn't be entered for the Champion Chase . Lots can happen in racing as we've found every single year. Very , very unlikely but zero chance......no.

[Bollinger]

If only it was as easy as that. If it were zero he wouldn't be entered for the Champion Chase . Lots can happen in racing as we've found every single year. Very , very unlikely but zero chance......no.

Chris Richardson at Cheveley Park categorically is quoted as saying Allaho will be going to the Ryanair.

Whilst never touching ‘zero unlikely’, after watching his video, I would suggest it’s between 0.000001 & zero as a % chance that Allaho go’s anywhere else other than the Ryanair.

Which again, was confirmed by Chris Richardson, categorically, this week.

[robith]

What we don’t know is what Mr Segal privately backs himself.

He might make an argument for Nube Negra and tip it publically, but the truth is, we have no idea if he’s been backing the two market leaders for this race throughout the Summer at prices two & three times they currently sit at. He may well be sitting very comfortably on his own private bets, but he’s not going to look an idiot tipping up odds on shots/short priced favourites 2 months out.

He’d probably be in danger of unemployment from the Racing Post if he done that every week.

He might be having a nice little flutter on Galopin Des Champs for next year’s Gold Cup, and might indeed have already struck bets on the horse, but he ain’t gonna be tipping him up this time next year when the horse (in my opinion, the potential is strongly there) is sitting at 6/4 favourite.

You could say that about anything though. His job as a tipster is to put up winners. He is bad at it.

I remember watching I think the racehour preview last year. And they all went "ah you have to take Appreciate It on" and I felt it was just so lazy. Why did you have to take him on? He'd routed all his main opponents twice. No one had the courage to say "actually, the price is short cos he's probably gonna win". Instead they're all tipping each way shots in the hope the 1/5th place money is good enough it outstrips "Put AI in some multiples"

If you look at the google trends data for sports betting, Cheltenham is the number one point in the year for interest. So you've got a lot of people who aren't looking at long term value, they want winners. And I think it's bananas that it's bad for the sports' tipster in media to say "a short priced favourite is short priced for a reason"