Paul confirmed riding Sir G? I know Ruby said they would be split but if DD does come here then Paul will ride him before Sir G. God I hope they both come here. Mulli s has so many others in the Supreme already.
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2022 Ballymore Novices Hurdle
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Originally posted by Lobos View Post
Agree totally. He's a 2miler . Pushed into Ballymore because Mullins has nothing else for it and PT can't ride them both in the Supreme. From that we know DD is the better Supreme horse and that SG draws the short straw. He's NOT a odds on shot in any shape or form. Never been beyond 2 miles under rules and looks all speed. He'll get beat imo. I did back him in a couple of Ballymore doubles when word was he might go there but regret it now. For me, JWM is the winner. I think he will lead all the way and win as he likes in a poor renewal.
1 7yo winner in 44 years, and never tried beyond 2m (under rules). That's enough to put me off an odds on shot, even if he's trained by Mullins. Really can't bring myself to fancying anything else other than Journey With Me in the race though, kinda hope something else targets this race as it's lacking depth for sure.
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Think I'll have to be against him now as well. Fair play for those at bigger prices but couldn't be backing him odds on. The only coverage I've got on him is in the DD doubles, which I never did cash out the other version of.
Not sure what to play now though. Might do JWM e/w myself on the day. Proven over trip at least
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Originally posted by isitmarchyet View PostFeels like this should be a penalty kick for Sir Gerhard, but I must admit Jamie Codd's comments about him not staying the trip are playing on my mind a bit and make me feel a bit less confident.
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There’s a long standing theory that the Supreme takes more stamina than the Ballymore because of the end to end pace of the Supreme compared to the usual Fast/slow/fast pace of the Ballymore.
Think this might be part of the logic of sending SG here as he’s Definitely the fastest horse in the field by a long way.
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There has to be a doubt that there is anything that can get him off the bridle in this race.
Who can gallop fast enough on decent ground to grind the finish out of him ?
Who can get him tired ?
Possibly Journey With Me & State Man ?.
But the prices are about right based on evidence and ability shown so far.
They've got it all to do IMO, but it is horse racing so we shall see on Wednesday.
The trip won't beat him though, it'll be a better horse, that improves loads for the conditions of the race.
If he can't beat this lot, then he wasn't going to win the Supreme IMO.
This obviously accounts for nothing bizarre happening or falling etc.
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Originally posted by darlojim View Post
Codd's still bitter over losing him out the stable that's all.. Have to remember he said he would have ridden 3SL instead of Sir Gerhard in the Bumper last year if he had the choice, which was absolute bullshit.
Almost like he's being contrary for the sake of it.
Might well be proved correct as the rival he's against is very good, but it'll be more luck than judgement in this case.
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