Originally posted by ZappBrannigan
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2022 Ballymore Novices Hurdle
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Originally posted by CueCard View Post
Softer going would mean a tougher test of stamina and as such connections may lean towards the shorter race.
I mean horses can only run on the ground on the day of the race - Ginto has won on all kinds of ground but yet that now seems to be the deciding factor?
It is almost like the going is a non issue until we get to Cheltenham
I heard similar stuff with discussions on Constitution Hill in the Supreme - because he won his last race in heavy going everyone seemed to say he needs it, but if it hadn't been raining that day he may well have won anyway (because he is very, very good) and everyone would have said "he might not handle heavy etc"
Ginto seems to handle many surfaces in his record so, rather than wait for the weather, I reckon the connections should just call it
Just my two cents...
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Originally posted by ZappBrannigan View Post
A fair point but given his race record is this really a major factor?
I mean horses can only run on the ground on the day of the race - Ginto has won on all kinds of ground but yet that now seems to be the deciding factor?
It is almost like the going is a non issue until we get to Cheltenham
I heard similar stuff with discussions on Constitution Hill in the Supreme - because he won his last race in heavy going everyone seemed to say he needs it, but if it hadn't been raining that day he may well have won anyway (because he is very, very good) and everyone would have said "he might not handle heavy etc"
Ginto seems to handle many surfaces in his record so, rather than wait for the weather, I reckon the connections should just call it
Just my two cents...
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Originally posted by Istabraq View Post
Good point that…
And how confident can you be making a ground-based decision at 48 hour declarations with a track that drains like cheltenham does
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Originally posted by Mighty View PostIs that confirmed for certain Toni? Not seen anything about him - is it a drift on the exchange?
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I saw the below quote from Willie Mullins in the at the races stable tour,
"El Fabiolo was very impressive at Tramore, which is our trial track for Cheltenham! I think the form has worked out well too. He got a little cut prior to the Dublin Racing Festival, so we withdrew him. I think his form stacks up and he could run at Cheltenham. You’d probably automatically say he’s a Supreme Novices' horse, but maybe we could change and ride him differently in the Ballymore. He’s got plenty of speed. If Paul is happy that he can settle him, that will be the key, then we could go for the Ballymore, but we’ll see."
He's available at 80/1 for the Ballymore with bet365 in the antepost market, does anyone have anything more concrete on where he might turn up?
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