Announcement

Collapse

Fat Jockey Patrons

Fat Jockey is a horse racing community focused on all the big races in the UK and Ireland. We don't charge users but if you have found the site useful then any support towards the running costs is appreciated.
Become a Patron!

You can also make a one-off donation here:
See more
See less

2022 National Hunt Novices Chase

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Willie has left appreciate it in the arkle declarations. So until he enters horses to atleast get qualified for the race I wouldn’t read too much into the decs

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Olliemagern View Post
      Willie has left appreciate it in the arkle declarations. So until he enters horses to atleast get qualified for the race I wouldn’t read too much into the decs
      I know some horses will have multiple entries but you can definitely use them to help form an angle going forward.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Olliemagern View Post
        Willie has left appreciate it in the arkle declarations. So until he enters horses to atleast get qualified for the race I wouldn’t read too much into the decs

        A I.
        is in the Marsh too.. just to note.
        https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
        Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post


          A I.
          is in the Marsh too.. just to note.
          Thanks Scooby. Blue Lord and Ferny in both too?

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Exar Essay View Post

            Thanks Scooby. Blue Lord and Ferny in both too?
            Yep... ...
            https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
            Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

            Comment


            • And he's just been removed from both

              ***Appreciate it... just to note.
              Last edited by Scooby91; 18 January 2022, 10:30 AM.
              https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
              Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post
                And he's just been removed from both
                Ignore, wrong thread!

                Comment


                • Thanks Scooby. Do you know if Gaillard du Mesnil got any entries? Sorry if I've missed it if it's in here already

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by Lbur4288 View Post

                    I know some horses will have multiple entries but you can definitely use them to help form an angle going forward.
                    Oh I agree chief just with it being Willie Theyl be in them all most likely and next race they run in will be massive.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Lbur4288 View Post

                      I know some horses will have multiple entries but you can definitely use them to help form an angle going forward.
                      Also, not the case for me anymore as this particular acc is dead, but some bookies allow you bigger stakes for doubles/multiples than they do singles, so when they go NRNB and you know a horse won’t run it’s a way of getting more on…

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post

                        Don't worry about it.. as he's entered...

                        But imo Unless he was a fairly likely runner in the NHC, imo he was very doubtful to be entered... and a mention of him upon entries... wouldn't be wise when 365.. have a small limit of cash outs in a short space before they suspend or remove...

                        And exactly as he was talked about on here, he was suspended...



                        as if there was no 3 mile race next, or he went straight there, it would be a pointless entry

                        Bet365 took all cashouts away for all 4 Novice Chases early this morning, probably until entries are released.

                        Must be their (new?) policy and something for us all to think about prior to next Tuesday morning, when they will do the same for the Supreme, Ballymore, Bartlett and Triumph hurdles.


                        From what I have seen and heard, there were a fair few cashouts for Capo before this morning, for the NHC, as some folk were concerned he wouldnt get entered today, and wanted to take a profit.

                        Mostly based on the fact he was entered v Bob O over the mid-trip and that messed with peoples heads that he therefore wouldnt be a 3M6F horse.

                        For me that entry and run were based around

                        * race timing after first run.

                        * as a winner there were no other races he could run in, in Ireland, over further than 2M4F (on Sunday) until the 3M race on 30th January

                        * he was good enough for Willie to run vs Bob O to see how he fared comparatively.

                        * it was perfect timing then, to go race again, maybe over 3M, if the trainer wanted to, and get 3 runs for experience too.
                        (3 runs, pre-Fez, is something Stattler and En Beton would now struggle to have)

                        Given Willie's use of early entries, I thought it was odds-on he would get a NHC and RSA entry, but, crucially, as you've said, unless he was a fairly likely NHC runner, and now race over 3M to qualify, then there was no point entering him in the NHC.

                        It made sense to stay in, for me, as I got him priced up in early July for the race after completing the Willie Mullins Diary the first week of July, and highlighting him as a bet for the race.

                        - There was no way I could have exited bets with the thought that I was literally the first person to select and back him for the race.

                        I'm wedded to him in the NHC until (and unless) he doesnt get a 3M entry on his next run
                        Last edited by Saxon Warrior; 18 January 2022, 12:03 PM.
                        "Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

                          I'd be very surprised if he runs more than 2.
                          Agree. Capodanno and Ontheropes will be his representatives imo. Stattler will go for one of Marsh or RSA. Works perfectly.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

                            Agree. Capodanno and Ontheropes will be his representatives imo. Stattler will go for one of Marsh or RSA. Works perfectly.
                            En Beton? Looks like wants a trip.....3m or here?
                            Fat Jockey Patron (est. Jan 2021)

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by TigerRolllllll View Post

                              En Beton? Looks like wants a trip.....3m or here?
                              Not backed him for Cheltenham as don't think he'll go. Personal opinion only of course.

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

                                Not backed him for Cheltenham as don't think he'll go. Personal opinion only of course.
                                Why OTRs over him though? Experience?

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X