2022 National Hunt Novices Chase

[Odin]

Run Wild Fred declared Florida Pearl at Punchestown on Sunday

[ComplyOrDie]

From my diary post:

I've added Sixshooter 33/1 E/W for the National Hunt Chase before he runs on Sunday.

He made a very good start to life over fences when winning a beginners chase over 2m 6f at Galway, finishing ahead of The Bosses Oscar, among others that day. He's bred similarly (same sire) to horses like Jury Duty (touted for the same race before being ruled out) & Carefully Selected (ran but failed in the race). His dams sire has actually produced a national hunt chase winner in the shape of Gordon Elliotts first ever winner in the race, Chicago Grey, so there is history behind him too.

The last runner Noel Meade had in the race was A Genie In Abottle, for the same connections, this was the year Tiger Roll won the race, but AGIA went off favourite for it, and like Sixshooter started life off over 2m 6f at none other than Galway, but unlike Sixshooter, was unable to win that day.

Noel Meade also trains Beacons Edge, who I think may end up his BANC (RSA) horse. I think Sixshooter probably lacks that bit of class to be a contender for the BANC, but could well slot in here.

[Irish Rugby]

Noel Moran during the On The Wire Podcast said when asked a question yesterday on what race The Bosses Oscar was targeting, immediately offered the National Hunt Chase and even admitted this year's Irish Grand National could be a year too early for him.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YaMQXuWViEE&ab_channel=RacingTV

From around 38.26.

[FinalFurlong91]

Run Wild Fred declared Florida Pearl at Punchestown on Sunday

Out the back in a graded race over too short a trip

Trying to get some weight off his back surely

[Odin]

Out the back in a graded race over too short a trip

Trying to get some weight off his back surely

The thing I find odd about it is how well he ran on debut and also how he is probably already high enough in the weights to go to the Grand National. From a handicapping or target perspective, I feel like I'm getting quite a few Elliott horses wrong this year.

[Silverbirch]

Run Wild Fred declared Florida Pearl at Punchestown on Sunday

Is that it now for the NHC route? Surely he isn't following any of the usual routes.

[Saxon Warrior]

The Bosses Oscar has been entered again in a 2.6m chase on Thursday at Thurles.

Others include:

Beacon Edge
Deploy The Getaway
Frontal Assault
Stratum

His owner said on the On The Wire podcast yesterday that the NHC would be the aim.

[Odin]

Is that it now for the NHC route? Surely he isn't following any of the usual routes.

I'm not sure. He's not following the usual routes, but he's entered in a big handicap (Troytown). Tiger Roll won the Munster National off 138 the year he won the NHC, so I guess if Fred wins the Troytown he could still be NHC bound, but I'm getting closer and closer to the cashout button as time goes on - particularly given TBO appears to be targeted at NHC.

[Silverbirch]

I'm not sure. He's not following the usual routes, but he's entered in a big handicap (Troytown). Tiger Roll won the Munster National off 138 the year he won the NHC, so I guess if Fred wins the Troytown he could still be NHC bound, but I'm getting closer and closer to the cashout button as time goes on - particularly given TBO appears to be targeted at NHC.

Yeah, everything points to gord protecting his mark. I've got some decent cash outs which I don't want to take but it just doesn't seem he's going to the NHC. If I had to guess, it would be something to do with the O'Leary's.

[Saxon Warrior]

Yeah, everything points to gord protecting his mark. I've got some decent cash outs which I don't want to take but it just doesn't seem he's going to the NHC. If I had to guess, it would be something to do with the O'Leary's.

Gordon’s Stable Tour is supposed to be in Mondays Racing Post.

There could be more news on RWF in there, along with loads and loads more.

[nortonscoin200]

Interesting if enigmatic pre-race quotes re Run Wild Fred:

Eddie O'Leary, racing manager to Gigginstown House Stud, owners of Sixshooter and Run Wild Fred:

"Sixshooter was good at Galway and hopefully he can jump as well again this time. Hopefully, the ground is safe enough for him. Run Wild Fred tends to improve for his first start back and I thought he ran well at Cork last time. We'll see where we stand with him after this."

Anyone care to translate this into punter speak?

[Saxon Warrior]

Interesting if enigmatic pre-race quotes re Run Wild Fred:

Eddie O'Leary, racing manager to Gigginstown House Stud, owners of Sixshooter and Run Wild Fred:

"Sixshooter was good at Galway and hopefully he can jump as well again this time. Hopefully, the ground is safe enough for him. Run Wild Fred tends to improve for his first start back and I thought he ran well at Cork last time. We'll see where we stand with him after this."

Anyone care to translate this into punter speak?

Direct translation is “don’t bother asking me any questions about these horses”

[Lobos]

Interesting if enigmatic pre-race quotes re Run Wild Fred:

Eddie O'Leary, racing manager to Gigginstown House Stud, owners of Sixshooter and Run Wild Fred:

"Sixshooter was good at Galway and hopefully he can jump as well again this time. Hopefully, the ground is safe enough for him. Run Wild Fred tends to improve for his first start back and I thought he ran well at Cork last time. We'll see where we stand with him after this."

Anyone care to translate this into punter speak?

No...............

[Evesham Road]

RWF looks like a non-runner in the Florida Pearl....being removed from markets.

[Eggs]

…Vanillier cut for this after that win, seemed the further he went the better he went. 14-1 still available but as low as 8-1 in places.