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2022 Mares Hurdle

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  • can get 16s now on TMSG if you feel she’ll come on for that run

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    • Originally posted by HoldenTheReins View Post
      TMSG out to 16's
      All over this. She was a barrel

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      • 16s is a massive over reaction by the bookies, Henry's already said they're working back from the Mares so the target is confirmed and she's hardly going to be anywhere near ripe today is she, couple this with the fact she jumped pretty poorly today and was giving plenty of weight away. She has the course form in the book too, think i'll have some of the 16s.

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        • Originally posted by charlie View Post

          All over this. She was a barrel
          Yep and we know it's the target. Good to get on board for cover.

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          • After everything as well that the trainer has said about this run. Massive over reaction. Most likely because the race was won by a Mullins mare so the bookmaker expectation is that Mullins will win this race in March. About time to top up on TMSG.

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            • Originally posted by charlie View Post

              All over this. She was a barrel
              This is a gift IMO and have just topped up.

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              • EIR out to 14/1 for this now

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                • 16/1 TMSG is a gift - whether she wins or not.

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                  • I've said it before that the RPR for TMSG's MNH was about 5 points out from her other runs. You can, of course, claim that she is uniquely suited by the course (although this race will be run on a different course) but I'm still more inclined to the view that the RPR is simply wrong. Bargepole job until she runs to 145 or better.

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                    • Very Interesting. Got course form as well

                      Queens Brook
                      6g Shirocco - Awesome Miracle
                      Bective Stud
                      3/123-21
                      RPR 138h OR 131h
                      I was delighted with her when she won at Fairyhouse. It was the first time I'd seen her putting her head down and fighting like she did when she'd looked a very smart bumper mare. We had a few little setbacks last season but it looked to me like she was back to her best. She's a very hard mare to get fit and had some blow after that. It wouldn't shock me if she won the Mares' Hurdle at Cheltenham. She has loads of class and that's her aim.

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                      • …bit surprised that 27-1 with Hills boost is still there for Queens Brook.

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                        • Originally posted by archie View Post
                          I've said it before that the RPR for TMSG's MNH was about 5 points out from her other runs. You can, of course, claim that she is uniquely suited by the course (although this race will be run on a different course) but I'm still more inclined to the view that the RPR is simply wrong. Bargepole job until she runs to 145 or better.
                          Most are trained with March in mind and progress throughout the season, so running her best RPR at Cheltenham makes an awful lot of sense, I don’t think people need to make claims about her being uniquely suited to the track. I think in time she’ll prove to be top class, but that remains to be seen and she’s got to run well NTO to live up to that.

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                          • Originally posted by Eggs View Post
                            …bit surprised that 27-1 with Hills boost is still there for Queens Brook.

                            ….into 16-1 now, surprised 25s lasted into this morning.

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                            • Originally posted by charlie View Post
                              I think in time she’ll prove to be top class, but that remains to be seen and she’s got to run well NTO to live up to that.
                              That's basically what I'm saying as well. I wouldn't be cashing out if I was making a book and already on but I certainly wouldn't be making a new investment.

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by archie View Post
                                I've said it before that the RPR for TMSG's MNH was about 5 points out from her other runs. You can, of course, claim that she is uniquely suited by the course (although this race will be run on a different course) but I'm still more inclined to the view that the RPR is simply wrong. Bargepole job until she runs to 145 or better.
                                Given how unfit most of Henry's are first time up atm, probably best to reserve judgement until next time

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