Ultima Handicap Chase 2020

[DenmanSacre]

Kildisart dropped 1 pound as well

[ComplyOrDie]

Kildisart dropped 1 pound as well

Generous

I see plenty of blue for him this morning/last night too.

[charlie]

Generous

I see plenty of blue for him this morning/last night too.

That will be this - https://www.racingpost.com/news/late...-winner/424690

[TigerRolllllll]

Just in process of re-watching all races for things missed

BIG RIVER might be interesting for this, or Kim Muir......finished well to be 4th in this last year after lots early errors (first run at Cheltenham so poss excusable)....25s for both NRNB

On similar mark as last year.....and was well fancied at November meeting when PU, but since come back to form

[DenmanSacre]

Just in process of re-watching all races for things missed

BIG RIVER might be interesting for this, or Kim Muir......finished well to be 4th in this last year after lots early errors (first run at Cheltenham so poss excusable)....25s for both NRNB

On similar mark as last year.....and was well fancied at November meeting when PU, but since come back to form

Flew home last year.

If it was soft/heavy he would have a big shout, but he seems to get outpaced over 3 miles when the ground is better.

[Quevega]

Big River reminds me of Buywise.
Will always be running on well at the end having been outpaced and outjumped.
Not out of it though and if near enough could pop up.

[Kevloaf]

Just in process of re-watching all races for things missed

BIG RIVER might be interesting for this, or Kim Muir......finished well to be 4th in this last year after lots early errors (first run at Cheltenham so poss excusable)....25s for both NRNB

On similar mark as last year.....and was well fancied at November meeting when PU, but since come back to form

I was a little reluctant to rule him out, but 6.5L behind the winner last year and 1 lb higher this time doesn't strike me as a win chance (at 10 years old).

As a direct comparison, Lake View Lad was 3rd (so ahead of Big River) and is 1 lb better off this time, for being only 3.25L behind, and he's a bigger price too (although not NRNB)

[TigerRolllllll]

I was a little reluctant to rule him out, but 6.5L behind the winner last year and 1 lb higher this time doesn't strike me as a win chance (at 10 years old).

As a direct comparison, Lake View Lad was 3rd (so ahead of Big River) and is 1 lb better off this time, for being only 3.25L behind, and he's a bigger price too (although not NRNB)

I have done both as love festival form.....specially for EW bets

It was the early mistakes on first visit to Cheltenham that suggested he might be several lengths better this time around.....not sure a winner, but can see both in it

[Kevloaf]

Ah fair enough.

IMO he'll probably be 33/1+ on the day and potentially with more prices, so I'll hold on for now.

He won't get 'well backed' I wouldn't have though, given his profile and connections (all the better for us)

[Splinterboy82]

For anyone interested in Jerrysback, Hobbs has said in RFO today that his ‘main seasons target’ is the Irish National

[kinloch brae]

For anyone interested in Jerrysback, Hobbs has said in RFO today that his ‘main seasons target’ is the Irish National

Thanks, shame he didn't venture the information a little earlier.

[kinloch brae]

On the Kildisart gamble. What makes people think that 3m+/stiff track/soft ground is his bag?

[punterorplonker]

For me personally..he was the graded horse hidden in the handicaps. If the ground had suited him over the winter I am sure he would be entered in the graded races by now.

[Middle_Of_March]

For me personally..he was the graded horse hidden in the handicaps. If the ground had suited him over the winter I am sure he would be entered in the graded races by now.

I agree with that

Looked to enjoy the step up in trip last year at Aintree and has decent form away from the handicaps

[ComplyOrDie]

On the Kildisart gamble. What makes people think that 3m+/stiff track/soft ground is his bag?

Well, personally, I'm hoping the ground dries out a bit for him, that's my only concern.

I can't have 3m and the stiff track posing any problems. His two runs over 3m+ with 'Good' in the description read 1-6, the 6th being his latest run on a flat track when never nearer. He has beaten the winner that day (Mister Malarky), previously, over 3m+ at Aintree on 'Good' ground.

He handles Cheltenham. His form reading 1-4, the 4th when staying on in last season JLT, over a trip too short, as shown in his next race when winning well carrying 11-12 at Aintree in a G3 handicap, over 3m+ (as above).

As have said previously, you can wipe any run with 'Heavy' in the description from the form book IMO, as he just doesn't act on it.