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Win Today & Festival ‘22

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  • Originally posted by Madmoose View Post

    They only offered me 15/2 at Sky.
    …Yep, Buzz & SH 15/2 with Sky.

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Eggs View Post

      …Yep, Buzz & SH 15/2 with Sky.
      That’s going to be much better backing him to win on Saturday, then rolling the whole winnings on to his new Stayers price, then
      "Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".

      Comment


      • Has anyone seen a price for Gaillard DM ahead of his run tomorrow at Naas? Also Belle Metal runs as well earlier - expecting both to win, and therefore shorten, after they run. GDM really should win, Belle Metal ought to…

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Saxon Warrior View Post

          That’s going to be much better backing him to win on Saturday, then rolling the whole winnings on to his new Stayers price, then
          100 percent agree, would need to win by half the track on Saturday for that 15/2 to not look quite so pathetic !

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Mighty View Post
            Has anyone seen a price for Gaillard DM ahead of his run tomorrow at Naas? Also Belle Metal runs as well earlier - expecting both to win, and therefore shorten, after they run. GDM really should win, Belle Metal ought to…

            …not as yet, Sky often put up a few offers the morning of the race.

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Mighty View Post
              Has anyone seen a price for Gaillard DM ahead of his run tomorrow at Naas? Also Belle Metal runs as well earlier - expecting both to win, and therefore shorten, after they run. GDM really should win, Belle Metal ought to…
              Belle metal doesn't have an entry as far as I can see. Scrubbed maybe?

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Mighty View Post
                Has anyone seen a price for Gaillard DM ahead of his run tomorrow at Naas? Also Belle Metal runs as well earlier - expecting both to win, and therefore shorten, after they run. GDM really should win, Belle Metal ought to…
                Belle Metal runs Saturday at Navan

                Comment


                • Originally posted by KickOnMyCockers View Post

                  Belle metal doesn't have an entry as far as I can see. Scrubbed maybe?
                  Entered Saturday

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                  • Honestly, it’s been a long day! Sorry guys, I was thinking about getting Belle Metal onside ahead of her run at the weekend, and saw Brandy Love was running tomorrow - I was mulling using BL as a roll up and my brain got the two confused. Only need GDM for win today and at the festival tomorrow, so will check back tomorrow - thanks everyone for flagging. I really need a break...

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                    • To be fair if Buzz wins by a few lengths on Saturday (with Thyme Hill in behind) I can realistically see him going quite a short priced favourite for the Stayers... I can see why they've got it at 15/2. But as I've said it's not a price I'll be backing.

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Benjy23 View Post
                        To be fair if Buzz wins by a few lengths on Saturday (with Thyme Hill in behind) I can realistically see him going quite a short priced favourite for the Stayers... I can see why they've got it at 15/2. But as I've said it's not a price I'll be backing.
                        If he wins at 7/4 then that would make him 2/1 ish for the stayers, he would have to be mightily impressive to go that short, in my opinion.

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                        • I said a few lengths...

                          He's already favourite for the Stayers and his main question mark is over staying the 3 miles. Winning this would in theory resolve that somewhat. Add to that he'd be beating the third favourite (and fifth and sixth fav) for the Stayers by 'a few lengths', and I don't think something between 2s and 3s is that unrealistic. There'd certainly be worse priced favourites in the festival markets!

                          As I said probably a couple of pages back now anything below double figures I wouldn't be taking and the rolling singles would probably be a better play. I think he might actually drift for the Long Walk with Thyme Hill popular... And if he does I'll play the single.

                          I don't think it's value at 15/2 but as a related double I can see why it's all they're offering.

                          I get it's not that much bigger than just his Stayers price at the moment, but it's fairly hard to see any angle where he wins the Stayers after being beaten in the Long Walk.

                          It's about the right price. Not great but not horrific.

                          As I've seem to have said on the last few... There's not many of these bets that I think are actually better than just playing the singles.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Benjy23 View Post
                            I said a few lengths...

                            He's already favourite for the Stayers and his main question mark is over staying the 3 miles. Winning this would in theory resolve that somewhat. Add to that he'd be beating the third favourite (and fifth and sixth fav) for the Stayers by 'a few lengths', and I don't think something between 2s and 3s is that unrealistic. There'd certainly be worse priced favourites in the festival markets!

                            As I said probably a couple of pages back now anything below double figures I wouldn't be taking and the rolling singles would probably be a better play. I think he might actually drift for the Long Walk with Thyme Hill popular... And if he does I'll play the single.

                            I don't think it's value at 15/2 but as a related double I can see why it's all they're offering.

                            I get it's not that much bigger than just his Stayers price at the moment, but it's fairly hard to see any angle where he wins the Stayers after being beaten in the Long Walk.

                            It's about the right price. Not great but not horrific.

                            As I've seem to have said on the last few... There's not many of these bets that I think are actually better than just playing the singles.
                            Yeah, I'd agree with you about anything below double figures not being worth taking and also if he drifts Saturday i would play the single as well.

                            Comment


                            • ….Sky have:

                              GDM today & Marsh 18-1 (still 20-1 Lads for Marsh).

                              Brandy Love 28-1 win 12.50 today & MNH. *

                              Note; Brandy love 25-1 MNH is available but also plenty of Oddschecker blue, with some firms cutting to 16-1 ahead of todays run.
                              Last edited by Eggs; 16 December 2021, 01:17 PM.

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                              • Buzz already drifted to 2/1 for Saturday. Keep this up and might get a nice price yet!

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