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Win Today & Festival ‘22

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  • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
    WH have Pink In The Park today and the Bumper at 18/1

    Which is pretty decent, if you fancy her to win today.
    Would that pay the same, to do manually, maybe, with a cashout firm.



    "Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Saxon Warrior View Post

      Would that pay the same, to do manually, maybe, with a cashout firm.


      It would if her ante post price didn't contract after winning today, which you'd have to assume would be a huge possibility?

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

        It would if her ante post price didn't contract after winning today, which you'd have to assume would be a huge possibility?
        I think 11/8 boosted today, and an 8/1 post race CB quote gets over 20/1 double, with cashout if youuse those firms to complete the bet.

        7/1 post race is an 18/1 shot
        6/1 post race is a 15.6/1 shot

        So the special is okay, if you think she's going less than 6/1 and you don't want/don't have cashout options included.









        "Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Saxon Warrior View Post

          I think 11/8 boosted today, and an 8/1 post race CB quote gets over 20/1 double, with cashout if youuse those firms to complete the bet.

          7/1 post race is an 18/1 shot
          6/1 post race is a 15.6/1 shot

          So the special is okay, if you think she's going less than 6/1 and you don't want/don't have cashout options included.








          She's as short as 9/1 in a place already, but 12s without NRNB.

          I've personally got her 10s with cashout e/w and then switched the 10s win only with the special at a boosted 19.75/1 today

          Usually you're worse off with these, so worth highlighting when they're close to correct or potentially slighty in our favour.


          Of course it'll depend on the manner of her win, if she wins.
          Anything other than bolting up and because of just how good FV was yesterday, it may well not get cut as much as I think.

          Comment


          • El fab a nr, do I get my money back?

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Carnage at Taunton View Post
              El fab a nr, do I get my money back?
              Some of those specials are ante post! So be careful

              Comment


              • Sky - Edwardstone (Kingmaker + Arkle) @ 11/2.

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                • Originally posted by isitmarchyet View Post
                  Sky - Edwardstone (Kingmaker + Arkle) @ 11/2.
                  Is TTL expected to run?

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                    Is TTL expected to run?
                    Sounded like he will if the ground is good.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                      Is TTL expected to run?
                      Seems odd that Skelton's excuse for the poor run in the Henry VIII was that 3 runs in quick succession (43 days) was too much for the horse but if he runs in the Kingmaker and then the Arkle would be having 3 runs in 45 days...

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                      • Would much prefer he go straight there but can understand why they might want to take in the Warwick race as it could be unsuitability Soft in March and he'd have little chance on that surface. It's not all about the Festival.

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                        • It's more a case of taking the races while he's got his ground Buckingham. For all we know we could have a wet Cheltenham and Aintree, and TTL won't act on soft. The Arkle is also on the first day of the Festival where the ground is artificially watered, so in the past has been slower than the advertised good to soft.
                          Luck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.

                          Comment


                          • ….Sky have:

                            HMS Sea Horse & Boodles 18-1

                            (note; 20-1 ante-post with 365)

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Spectre View Post
                              It's more a case of taking the races while he's got his ground Buckingham. For all we know we could have a wet Cheltenham and Aintree, and TTL won't act on soft. The Arkle is also on the first day of the Festival where the ground is artificially watered, so in the past has been slower than the advertised good to soft.
                              Absolutely, and if the Festival is not the be all and end all then he should be running at the weekend. Re: the Festival though, its hard to see a weekend run as a positive for his Arkle chances given Skeltons's earlier comments. He does look like a horse who takes a lot out of himself in each run given his exuberant nature. If I was planning his season, (assuming you believe Skelton comments), after the weekend I would be inclined to miss Cheltenham and freshen him up for Aintree - flat track and greater prospect of better ground. If he doesn't take too many races close together then you would think he would find it difficult to follow up these two races with both Cheltenham and Aintree so just pick the one that best suits.

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by isitmarchyet View Post
                                Sky - Edwardstone (Kingmaker + Arkle) @ 11/2.

                                ….4-1 now.

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