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I’m blown away watching this back. Saint Roi has put the County Hurdle to bed after the last. Four horses jump together at the last, 3 of them are involved in a photo for 2nd/3rd/4th at the line… and in that time, Barry has absolutely shot away. I’m too lazy to check this right now, so please correct if it’s wrong but it seemed to be a well run race, and he’s just absolutely thrashed them.
I’m trying not to get carried away but I’d forgotten just how good that looked. He was getting 12 lbs from Aramon (149) and beat him 4.5L officially, but I’d back Saint Roi off level weights if they met again, I feel like he had loads up his sleeve the way he’s put them away and the way he travelled into the race.
The Supreme winner Shishkin is now rated 159, Saint Roi has only gone up to 149 (same mark as Aramon had). Would Aramon have been beaten 10l in a Supreme? He was beaten 11.5L in Klassical Dream’s Supreme so it’s feasible (albeit incredibly loose) to say that if I think Saint Roi would beat Aramon off levels he’d have been in with a shout in the Supreme? Memory is fuzzy on this but didn’t Mullins say he may have been a Supreme horse but for the mark?
Anyway, the point of looking back at a race is to look to the future and 25/1 for the Champion Hurdle is the stand out price and it’s with 365. Just before I back it, I’m going to watch the Triumph and the County side by side to see where how they match up. ***Done*** that was fun! The County starts off at a stronger pace. By the time Goshen makes his move at the end of the back, he’d have been clear of Saint Roi though meaning he injected some pace. At the last I have him there 4 strides before Saint Roi…. Now we don’t get to see Goshen’s finishing efforts but I doubt he’d have been quicker from the last to the line than Saint Roi was? Compared to the rest of the Triumph field, I have the county considerably ahead too.
In this unscientific (although moderately scientific?) approach, Saint Roi wouldn’t have been that far down on him and he’d have been something to aim at! He’s 5 times the price of Goshen, and let’s not forget, Goshen didn’t complete and stumbling over your own feet isn’t a positive no matter how you spin in.
I’m going to back Saint Roi. It’s speculative but having done this exercise of watching everything back, not many things have got me excited to part with my cash, and that has.
I’m trying not to get carried away but I’d forgotten just how good that looked. He was getting 12 lbs from Aramon (149) and beat him 4.5L officially, but I’d back Saint Roi off level weights if they met again, I feel like he had loads up his sleeve the way he’s put them away and the way he travelled into the race.
The Supreme winner Shishkin is now rated 159, Saint Roi has only gone up to 149 (same mark as Aramon had). Would Aramon have been beaten 10l in a Supreme? He was beaten 11.5L in Klassical Dream’s Supreme so it’s feasible (albeit incredibly loose) to say that if I think Saint Roi would beat Aramon off levels he’d have been in with a shout in the Supreme? Memory is fuzzy on this but didn’t Mullins say he may have been a Supreme horse but for the mark?
Anyway, the point of looking back at a race is to look to the future and 25/1 for the Champion Hurdle is the stand out price and it’s with 365. Just before I back it, I’m going to watch the Triumph and the County side by side to see where how they match up. ***Done*** that was fun! The County starts off at a stronger pace. By the time Goshen makes his move at the end of the back, he’d have been clear of Saint Roi though meaning he injected some pace. At the last I have him there 4 strides before Saint Roi…. Now we don’t get to see Goshen’s finishing efforts but I doubt he’d have been quicker from the last to the line than Saint Roi was? Compared to the rest of the Triumph field, I have the county considerably ahead too.
In this unscientific (although moderately scientific?) approach, Saint Roi wouldn’t have been that far down on him and he’d have been something to aim at! He’s 5 times the price of Goshen, and let’s not forget, Goshen didn’t complete and stumbling over your own feet isn’t a positive no matter how you spin in.
I’m going to back Saint Roi. It’s speculative but having done this exercise of watching everything back, not many things have got me excited to part with my cash, and that has.
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