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Personally this far out i'd like to have a dart at something at much bigger prices
I totally understand your view and to be honest I am similar in searching for the bigger prices. I am not one to be playing anything normally below 10/1 this far out.
IMO the below Yankee we would certainly get a run for our money, as I feel the targets are as close as you will get at this stage and 2 horses the price still has a bit of juice I feel and the other 2 horses are the anchor legs so to speak and should win given what we have seen so far to date. Factor in they all come from Irish trainers and IMO the Irish will take 20+ winners again next year. Appreciate It and Honeysuckle will run 2 / 3 times max during the season and likely scare most of the opposition away, win easily and the price contracts even more.
Personally I wouldnt be putting short priced horses into Yankee bets 10 months ahead of the day.
Its not something I would consider until after NRNB.
I do have one or two bets where I have a short priced horse included in a double with a bigger priced one. - either as a Festival Double, or - as a Rollover Double with a Flat Race horse.
For small stakes Yankees this far out, I would prefer to have all of the selections as double figure prices.
Mainly, as a Yankee antepost bet 10 months out it is risky anyway whether horses * get to the Festival, * in the chosen races, * and in good form.
Not sure this is the regular FJ Yankee plans though.
But it explains my own strategy of only using smaller stakes long-term Yankees with horses at bigger prices that have the capacity to shorten a lot Pre-Festival (if they are successful along the way), and where the payouts would be much larger, for doubles, trebles etc, to mirror the risk of betting early.
For example, if I did a short priced Yankee with horses at 5/2, 11/4 etc, and was fortunate enough to have two winners in March at those prices.
- the Payout of 13.25 pts for that double (5/2, 11/4) for a Yankee stake of 11 pts ten months early doesn't really excite me.
Last edited by Saxon Warrior; 27 May 2021, 10:34 PM.
I totally understand your view and to be honest I am similar in searching for the bigger prices. I am not one to be playing anything normally below 10/1 this far out.
IMO the below Yankee we would certainly get a run for our money, as I feel the targets are as close as you will get at this stage and 2 horses the price still has a bit of juice I feel and the other 2 horses are the anchor legs so to speak and should win given what we have seen so far to date. Factor in they all come from Irish trainers and IMO the Irish will take 20+ winners again next year. Appreciate It and Honeysuckle will run 2 / 3 times max during the season and likely scare most of the opposition away, win easily and the price contracts even more.
Appreciate It - Arkle - 11/4 - WH
Honeysuckle - Champion Hurdle - 11/4 - WH
Tellmesomethinggirl - Mares Hurdle - 10/1 - WH
Run Wild Fred - NHC - 14/1 - WH
Accumulator paying 2,319
The best cash out firm is Bet365 paying 2,056.
2 of these have been used in previous months Yankee’s already. Rather have a change and go for something bigger
Couple I’ll throw into the mix, although one is risky, well everything is risky this far out I suppose
Ferny Hollow Champion Hurdle - my thoughts on this are in my diary, but that fact he’s so inexperienced over obstacles due to injury last season, along with Mullins not having a strong champion hurdle prospect, he could be the one. Obviously as above not certain if he stays over hurdles so that’s the risk. He has Echoes In Rain but with the amount of ammunition Mullins has he’s generally double handed in a lot of races minimum.
Journey With Me Albert Bartlett - this fellow looked like a stayer to me. Won his bumper very impressively but looked like he’ll want further, proper galloper. Didn’t come off the bridle in very soft ground in that bumper as well. Robcour have nice prospects for the novice hurdles it looks like and he certainly is one of them.
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