Non Runner No Bet (post #1 for updates)

[Hurricane fly]

I would say you'll lose you account doing that, if you went over the top...

Shades of Samcro for the Supreme at 7/1

[Faugheen_Machine]

Shades of Samcro for the Supreme at 7/1

I think Samcro was 20/1. That was a scary 48 hours for a few people, myself included.

[Studfarm254]

Not exactly on the same level in terms of price discrepancy as GDC, but Allaho at 6/4 NRNB instead of willhills 4/5 is also a fair difference. Wouldn’t really interest me atm but I’m sure it’ll interest some people

[Bollinger]

I’d be reasonably confident 11 weeks out, at this stage, that the 12/1 on Galopin to win the Ryanair “NRNB” with Bet365 will end up being the best value bet between now and the 14th March. It actually beggars belief compared to the identically same situation with William Hill at 4/5.

If he ends up in the Ryanair, it’s because he’ll not have stayed the Irish Gold cup / announcements of Allaho’s participation and would be no more than a 9/4 shot tops.

You’re in essence backing a very short single figure horse, but taking 12/1……..or your money back.

It feels like a calamitous mistake/ oversight by Bet365. Bet Victor are only offering 5/1 without the NRNB insurance!

I sincerely hope, for those that can, and fully understand the rare value here, to get stuck in!

[Outlaw]

I'm slightly surprised it's not been trimmed/rectified still tbh. They must have noticed a quick tot up of liabilities nudging well into 5 figures by now(no matter how unlikely to be paying out) within a couple of hours of this market going live. Circa a dozen minimum off here, the lurkers, no doubt a couple of pals a piece and social media slowly learning of the market being NRNB easily feasible a couple hundred people have stuck a score + (no doubt much more in many cases) on this.

[Quevega]

I'm slightly surprised it's not been trimmed/rectified still tbh. They must have noticed a quick tot up of liabilities nudging well into 5 figures by now(no matter how unlikely to be paying out) within a couple of hours of this market going live. Circa a dozen minimum off here, the lurkers, no doubt a couple of pals a piece and social media slowly learning of the market being NRNB easily feasible a couple hundred people have stuck a score + (no doubt much more in many cases) on this.

They are probably messing about so that they can grey it out, prior to reducing.
Although you'd think they'd have that at the click of a button.
I doubt if they cut it, that cash out will be offered.
It looks a calculated decision, but the only reason would be the chances people will bet the refunds with them, nothing else.

[Lobos]

Agree Outlaw......can't work it out at all unless they know something we don't and are happy to be loaned the money to invest for 2 months.

[Magpie]

It is surprising it’s not single figures by now, surely a deluge of money by now.

[Bollinger]

Agreed with everything noted here.

However you look at it, you’re getting a horse at 400% his true market price for that race…… or your money back if they’re right.

Either that or they know the Bank Of England are upping interest rates on Thursday and want everyone’s money on him, safe in the knowledge he ain’t running here and they’re totting up interest on your dormant cash for 2 & half months

[Ice]

They are probably messing about so that they can grey it out, prior to reducing.
Although you'd think they'd have that at the click of a button.
I doubt if they cut it, that cash out will be offered.
It looks a calculated decision, but the only reason would be the chances people will bet the refunds with them, nothing else.

That was my thinking regarding people reinventing their refunds with them, can't think of another reason why it's still 12/1.

[Exar Essay]

Thing I can’t I can’t understand is someone pricing up Stattler, just as unlikely to be come here, at 6/1 and then thinking “GDC? Probs twice as likely to win it as Stattler”.

[Quevega]

Thing I can’t I can’t understand is someone pricing up Stattler, just as unlikely to be come here, at 6/1 and then thinking “GDC? Probs twice as likely to win it as Stattler”.

He's 14-1 B365

[Kevloaf]

They are probably messing about so that they can grey it out, prior to reducing.
Although you'd think they'd have that at the click of a button.
I doubt if they cut it, that cash out will be offered.
It looks a calculated decision, but the only reason would be the chances people will bet the refunds with them, nothing else.

They're making sure we have money available in 365 for that week in March.

They're not daft

[Quevega]

They're making sure we have money available in 365 for that week in March.

They're not daft

Yeah. No risk really/
If he ends up running they just go shortest price and count the takings they've had on the Gold cup all year

[Outlaw]

They're making sure we have money available in 365 for that week in March.

They're not daft

Not disagreeing but owt bigger than 3/1 would prob of got a few involved, double it think the rest of us get involved let alone double that. Hey Ho not matter will it just more disposable come the first day at 12pm