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Originally posted by Eggs
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Still 5/2 to place in ar too. -
Originally posted by Birds Nest View Post
....yep, & the 20-1 win today & a/r offer isn’t looking too shabby now.Comment
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He looks a real star doesn't he. Hopefully Skelton doesn't mess up with his horses at the fez like this year. He'll go wherever Bollinger doesn't I suspect. Marsh for meComment
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Ahoy Senor is 50/1 for the RSA with B365 vs Bravemansgame still @ 12/1Comment
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That’s one of those head scratching price comparisons where the market disrespects the less fashionable yard.Originally posted by Pendil View Post
I thought Ahoy Senor won fair and square yesterday and was full value, BMG may well be suffering the after effects of Cheltenham but I could only back the 50/1 of the two....Comment
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Had a bit of that, thanks for pointing out. Was on for the Marsh at 33s but would like the cover of the place in both.Originally posted by Birds Nest View Post
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5/2 place a/r still there..Comment
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It generally pays to ignore Aintree form for next years Festival.Originally posted by Istabraq View Post
I’m not going to say Bravemansgame will win the RSA, but if both horses line up I’d be confident that BMG is the one contending and Ahoy Senor either proves not good enough to line up or is out with the washing.
So many times we see horses that ran in graded races at Cheltenham underwhelm at Aintree. I’d save them and travel them over to Ireland instead. More recovery time and better prize money always makes me wonder why UK trainers take the lazy route to Aintree instead.Luck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.Comment
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BMG has now been soundly beaten the last twice, I wouldn’t be in a rush to get with him for a Cheltenham novice chase next year, he may well improve for a fence but he’ll not only need to he’ll also need others to defect or misfire.Originally posted by Spectre View Post
He was hailed the second coming and may well still end up with a long a successful career picking up some nice pots, but I’d be fairly sure the last 24 days have been something of a reality check for Nicholls and his team...Comment
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Maybe the ground is the reason ? Both Cheltenham and Aintree were on the quick side. Perhaps he is better with a bit of dig? Just a thoughtOriginally posted by Istabraq View PostComment
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If ground is the reason for the failures and possible underperforming then no-one should be considering a bet for about 340 days...Originally posted by Lobos View Post
Just checked, his three wins earlier in the season all came with Good to soft in the description, the same ground he encountered at Cheltenham and AintreeLast edited by Istabraq; 10 April 2021, 07:44 PM.Comment
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BMG finished third in a very good Ballymore. He’s built for fences, is likely to still fill out and strengthen up, and will improve for stepping up to three miles. He was beaten by ‘quicker’ horses at Cheltenham, and he will want more of a test next season. Plus his trainer knows what it takes to win an RSA. In addition, almost every horse that had a tough race at the Festival underperformed at Aintree. I think you’re writing him off too easily Istabraq.Originally posted by Istabraq View PostLuck is a dividend of sweat. The more I sweat, the luckier I get.Comment
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I haven’t written him off Spectre, I’ve said he could well improve for a fence and have a long and successful career, right now I just think there are better horses around and something will need to happen to them for BMG to be a festival G1 winner.Originally posted by Spectre View Post
Time will tell....Comment
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Hes certainly not one to write off
But at the same time I wouldnt be backing him at the General 10/1-12/1 that is available
not when Gaillard du mesnil who finished ahead of him at Cheltenham despite still looking very green and immature is available at 33/1
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