Originally posted by Kautostar
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Cheltenham 2022 - March Yankee
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I just can’t see either winning again next year. The champion chase and gold cup both look like transitional years with new blood coming in to take over. The champion hurdle might be retained by honeysuckle as the better novices look like they’re going chasing and nothing has come through except maybe ferny hollow. The stayers as always is anyone’s guess.
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Flooring Porter would be my selection for this month. Out of all the ante post favs has best price IMO (6s generally) for runners most likely to go for that race. Next in market is Thyme Hill who was matched with Paisley Park in races over the season suggesting Flooring would have him covered. Next in market, SDB who couldn’t finish in front of him this year so don’t see why he would next. Behind them it’s Paisley Park (surely seen best chance go now) & Ronald Pump who’ll be a 9yr old next season and can’t see huge improvement from. Rest in behind not guaranteed to run here either... rather take 6/1 on him than 4/1 Sir Gerhard/Bob Olinger who’ll face tougher competition & less confirmed targets...
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Originally posted by MadeinJapan View PostFlooring Porter would be my selection for this month. Out of all the ante post favs has best price IMO (6s generally) for runners most likely to go for that race. Next in market is Thyme Hill who was matched with Paisley Park in races over the season suggesting Flooring would have him covered. Next in market, SDB who couldn’t finish in front of him this year so don’t see why he would next. Behind them it’s Paisley Park (surely seen best chance go now) & Ronald Pump who’ll be a 9yr old next season and can’t see huge improvement from. Rest in behind not guaranteed to run here either... rather take 6/1 on him than 4/1 Sir Gerhard/Bob Olinger who’ll face tougher competition & less confirmed targets...
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Originally posted by Birds Nest View Post
A concern i would have with flooring porter is his style of racing, it would seem he needs to be out making the running in order to hit his mark, it won't take much for rivals to figure him out. I'd like to see him hit 160 using different tactics b4 i take him at the price.
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I know it’s not going to be a popular selection and race
but i’m going to put Easysland forward.
I think him and tiger are still way ahead of the others in this category.
He’s still a nice age 7 going 8 so possible improvement, the competition tiger roll will be retiring or a year older. To be honest I think there were excuses this year, his preparation had its issues and the ground wasn’t in his favour. Was definitely left to much to do as well, was never going to get on terms with a tiger who wasn’t stopping on his day.
Other bonuses with the festival experience and form, the target would be assured as well. 5/1 is a cracking price at this stage in my opinion !
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I understand this early it’s potentially about finding the right races but given how bad the value is what about fairly confident races with big prices? Likely to shorten in price as season progresses as well.
The Big Breakaway Gold Cup 50/1 (surely GC bound)
Gallyhill Brown Advisory 50/1 (surely staying chases)
Pure Genuis NHC 50/1 (as above sure TW mentioned this)
Journey With Me/Ramillies Albert Bartlett 33/1 (look like need further over hurdles)
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Originally posted by Kautostar View PostPtko and al boum photo have surely had their day and won their festival races now. In with the new, out with the old
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Originally posted by Birds Nest View Post
My point about ABP is that 25s contributes to making a book on the gold cup, abp will go to tramore, win his race then straight to cheltenham as a 7-1 shot... Taking 25s now is a must if you want to make that book.
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Originally posted by Istabraq View Post
PTKO is a 7yo...
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Originally posted by Kautostar View Post
That’s fine for making a book but this is a multi and they are two completely different scenarios. Agree he go’s off much shorter than 25/1 but he won’t win it again and it’s place money at best.
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