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Mares Hurdle 2020

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  • Originally posted by charlie View Post
    Elfile @ 20/1 would be my EW interest in the race.
    10/1 on her without E/W is a bit tempting

    Only 6 in this with a realistic change, and I think Lady Buttons is over a trip too far and isn't good enough.... so probably 5?



    BDD, Honeysuckle, Roksana, Stormy Ireland

    Can Elfile definitely finish ahead of one of them? I don't expect her to come out ahead of all 4 of them to be honest (thinking out loud here as I consider the bet)

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    • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
      10/1 on her without E/W is a bit tempting

      Only 6 in this with a realistic change, and I think Lady Buttons is over a trip too far and isn't good enough.... so probably 5?



      BDD, Honeysuckle, Roksana, Stormy Ireland

      Can Elfile definitely finish ahead of one of them? I don't expect her to come out ahead of all 4 of them to be honest (thinking out loud here as I consider the bet)
      Considering this one myself, or else the 5/1 without benie + honey.

      Stormy will be prominent or lead early and that might pay for her, even though she has certainly proved she can finish off her races much better these days. Roksana is one i'd worry about staying on well to place. Other than that though i'll be backing Elfile in one of the markets

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      • Originally posted by jack1092 View Post
        Considering this one myself, or else the 5/1 without benie + honey.

        Stormy will be prominent or lead early and that might pay for her, even though she has certainly proved she can finish off her races much better these days. Roksana is one i'd worry about staying on well to place. Other than that though i'll be backing Elfile in one of the markets
        Yeah, the 5/1 without both is essentially just her to beat Lady Buttons and the rags to get your money back, with a "free shot" at Elfile beating Stormy Ireland AND Roskana

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        • Elfile was available at 16/1 W/O Benie on PP but that has disappeared as i typed this - only 9s now.

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          • Originally posted by chunker86 View Post
            Elfile was available at 16/1 W/O Benie on PP but that has disappeared as i typed this - only 9s now.
            12/1 for that bet on 365 currently.

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            • Originally posted by chunker86 View Post
              Elfile was available at 16/1 W/O Benie on PP but that has disappeared as i typed this - only 9s now.
              I’m struggling to see how elfile even beats stormy Ireland after their last run, never mind honeysuckle and roksana?

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              • Originally posted by Stormy Antarctic View Post
                I’m struggling to see how elfile even beats stormy Ireland after their last run, never mind honeysuckle and roksana?
                Not much between them on form and Elfile is a higher price. Elfile is 11/2 in the market without BDD and HS. Each way shot to nothing if you think she's better than one of SI, Roksana and Lady Buttons.

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                • Originally posted by Stormy Antarctic View Post
                  I’m struggling to see how elfile even beats stormy Ireland after their last run, never mind honeysuckle and roksana?
                  Stormy was getting weight from Elfile and had a free one out in front. This time, with the classier mares it won't be as easy for her. Not saying she won't manage to stay with them, but there's a fair chance she won't and something will pick up the pieces. Elfile is a very decent mare in her own right and is probably still improving.

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                  • Sky currently 4/5 for Honeysuckle in the without BDD market.


                    Elfile is 11/1 5 places with 365 (competition for 5th or above with Lady Buttons)

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                    • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                      Sky currently 4/5 for Honeysuckle in the without BDD market.


                      Elfile is 11/1 5 places with 365 (competition for 5th or above with Lady Buttons)
                      Was just looking at this. Ridiculous price at 4/5 IMO. Would rather back that than back Benie every single time

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                      • Honeysuckle is out to 10/3 in a few places.

                        BDD is almost the price she was without Honeysuckle declared!




                        5/6 with Betway without....

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                        • Ive just had a free bet on Benie - Honeysuckle - Stormy Ireland in that order at 11s

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                          • Originally posted by ryanh97 View Post
                            Was just looking at this. Ridiculous price at 4/5 IMO. Would rather back that than back Benie every single time

                            The only risk to this is Honeysuckle will be ridden to win the race where as others will be ridden to place and you could see second being nicked in the final strides

                            Regardless cracking odds

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                            • Tony Calvin just tweeted about a rumour going round Honey bled at Leopardstown, no idea if true and she still showed good form regardless that day.

                              My bet here is Elfile W/O the front 2 at 6/1 each way. It's a cagey bet, but i'd hope she's good enough to finish in the first 5, and possibly finish 3rd.

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                              • Lobos to be on in .......

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