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Ballymore Novice Hurdle 2020

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  • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
    Unexcepted and Elixr are 8/1 and 16/1 TWAR. Probably the best way to go in view of unknown targets.
    8/1 Is rubbish though. You've lost all your margin. If you e backed envoi allen at 10s then unexcepted any race @8s you've just halved your price of both.

    Where as 25s is a fair price.
    https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
    Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

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    • Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post
      8/1 Is rubbish though. You've lost all your margin. If you e backed envoi allen at 10s then unexcepted any race @8s you've just halved your price of both.

      Where as 25s is a fair price.
      Absolutely can back both at 25/1 with cash out cushion! See no need to sit on the fence.

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      • Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post
        8/1 Is rubbish though. You've lost all your margin. If you e backed envoi allen at 10s then unexcepted any race @8s you've just halved your price of both.

        Where as 25s is a fair price.
        Not if he goes Supreme or Elixr goes Albert though. I say they are fair prices taking into account it covers 3 maybe 4 races. Each to their own. As I've said before I'll not be backing anything else in Ballymore until the day now. 10 Ew on Unexpected now gives you 40 profit for a place but you are not even guaranteed a run. 20 on him as a guaranteed runner at say a conservative 5/2 on the day without Envoi gives you 50 profit. Of course EA might not win but unlikely i'd say.

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        • Elixir same sire as EA! Unexpected to frank the form!
          Last edited by SeanRock; 21 December 2019, 12:19 AM.

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          • Looking for Turnpike Trip to frank Envoi form in next at Ascot. Bit of money for it as well.

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            • Originally posted by Lobos View Post
              Looking for Turnpike Trip to frank Envoi form in next at Ascot. Bit of money for it as well.
              Half decent run. Finished 4th off big weight in that ground

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              • "We were happy with Unexcepted at Fairyhouse and the plan is for him to run at Limerick on the 26th. He seems to be more sensible than his half-brother*– hopefully he can stay that way."
                https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
                Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

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                • Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post
                  "We were happy with Unexcepted at Fairyhouse and the plan is for him to run at Limerick on the 26th. He seems to be more sensible than his half-brother*– hopefully he can stay that way."
                  Off that BFSB are 25s and PP 7/1 for Unexcepted here

                  Oh, they're not. Oddschecker error.

                  25/1 both.

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                  • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                    Off that BFSB are 25s and PP 7/1 for Unexcepted here

                    Oh, they're not. Oddschecker error.

                    25/1 both.
                    Iv backed him @25s. I think they'll correct that shortly.
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                    • just tried to get on and they let me have a pittance at 25/1 and offered the rest at 16/1 so that cut will be coming soon id of thought

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                      • Originally posted by billymag View Post
                        just tried to get on and they let me have a pittance at 25/1 and offered the rest at 16/1 so that cut will be coming soon id of thought
                        Better than 16s elsewhere?

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                        • Originally posted by jack1092 View Post
                          Better than 16s elsewhere?
                          20/1 with B365. Wouldn't be an obvious route for a potential Cheltenham champion going to Limerick for a so so race

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                          • Originally posted by Pendil View Post
                            20/1 with B365. Wouldn't be an obvious route for a potential Cheltenham champion going to Limerick for a so so race
                            Nope, think it's got to do with them all being JPs- so wouldn't rule him out based on it

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                            • Originally posted by Pendil View Post
                              20/1 with B365. Wouldn't be an obvious route for a potential Cheltenham champion going to Limerick for a so so race
                              Plainly to avoid envoi allen. And let others test the waters at Naas.

                              When was the last time the 2 good ones fought it out at Naas. Even Next destination and samcro avoided each other. Yorkhill avoided it with bellshill pitched in.
                              It's the case every single year.
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                              • Originally posted by jack1092 View Post
                                Better than 16s elsewhere?
                                Wanted the cashout option and cant bet with others

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