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Supreme Novices Hurdle 2020

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  • Originally posted by Hurdles or chasing View Post
    Berkshire Royal is still in there. I have not got a run into him, as he had stone bruise before Leopardstown. He did a bit of work yesterday and is in great shape. I think he is good enough but obviously he would lack huge experience. I ran Concertista first time out in the mares' novice last year and I could do the same with this fella, depending on how he works.


    Mullins must have brought it up. Probably wont run but 100/1 NRNB
    Very interesting!

    I love a little 100/1 shot forum post, definitely backing it..... that last sentence from him is very interesting!!!

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    • Abacadabras the forgotten horse in this? That Royal Bond form is surely the best novice form this season, with Darver Star's run in the Irish Champion.

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      • Originally posted by Folski View Post
        Abacadabras the forgotten horse in this? That Royal Bond form is surely the best novice form this season, with Darver Star's run in the Irish Champion.
        Only forgotten if you're not on here that often

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        • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
          Only forgotten if you're not on here that often
          Haha!

          How you see this going Kev?

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          • I think there is a bit of recency bias in regards to the betting for this. Maybe Abacadabras was a touch too short a couple of months ago, but his form has been backed up and he'd be my winner if I had to pick now (talking a bit through my wallet) I would fear Asterion Forlonge the most of the others, not a shiskin fan at the price at all.

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            • Originally posted by Folski View Post
              Haha!

              How you see this going Kev?
              Abacadabras looking like the winner as they turn for home.

              Asterion Forlonge taking off at the last in the lead, having won a battle with Master Debonair.



              Edwardstone arrives late and picks them off for a bit of an upset, with Chantry House also right there.... confirming that Warwick Bumper to be a golden piece of form

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              • Originally posted by taylorch1990 View Post
                I think there is a bit of recency bias in regards to the betting for this. Maybe Abacadabras was a touch too short a couple of months ago, but his form has been backed up and he'd be my winner if I had to pick now (talking a bit through my wallet) I would fear Asterion Forlonge the most of the others, not a shiskin fan at the price at all.
                This is where I am now. Think Asterion Forlonge lacks a small bit of experience for me, if Ruby was on him by god I'd be all over him. Will it be Davy on him?

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                • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                  Abacadabras looking like the winner as they turn for home.

                  Asterion Forlonge taking off at the last in the lead, having won a battle with Master Debonair.



                  Edwardstone arrives late and picks them off for a bit of an upset, with Chantry House also right there.... confirming that Warwick Bumper to be a golden piece of form

                  Can't have an Alan King winner surely.

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                  • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                    Abacadabras looking like the winner as they turn for home.

                    Asterion Forlonge taking off at the last in the lead, having won a battle with Master Debonair.

                    Edwardstone arrives late and picks them off for a bit of an upset, with Chantry House also right there.... confirming that Warwick Bumper to be a golden piece of form
                    This would be a blissful start to my festival as I’ve also got my conkers all around that CH, Edwardstone form line. I’ve got it clear in my head I’ll be backing Edwardstone in the extra places / wo Favs market / win on exchange market on the day as he’s not a sexy persons horse but will love the conditions posed in a supreme imo - really really hope CH comes here....

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                    • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                      Abacadabras looking like the winner as they turn for home.

                      Asterion Forlonge taking off at the last in the lead, having won a battle with Master Debonair.



                      Edwardstone arrives late and picks them off for a bit of an upset, with Chantry House also right there.... confirming that Warwick Bumper to be a golden piece of form
                      What are your thoughts on Master Debonair after Ascot Kev? Do I need to break up the band?

                      I’m very objective in my assessments and try to steer away from pocket talk so I was disappointed. The only thing I’m clinging to is the fact the ground was softer than he’d want and the extra distance and wind would not have been in his favour. Sporting John is also a very good animal and a cut above anything the Master had faced so far this season.

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                      • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                        Abacadabras looking like the winner as they turn for home.

                        Asterion Forlonge taking off at the last in the lead, having won a battle with Master Debonair.

                        Edwardstone arrives late and picks them off for a bit of an upset, with Chantry House also right there.... confirming that Warwick Bumper to be a golden piece of form
                        Abacadabras looking like the winner as they turn for home. Turn's out Q is right, he's a 'bridle bitch'

                        Asterion Forlonge is nowhere to be seen having looked all over the field 3f out.

                        Shishkin powers up the hill to just win it from Chantry House.

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                        • Originally posted by JackieMoon33 View Post
                          What are your thoughts on Master Debonair after Ascot Kev? Do I need to break up the band?

                          I’m very objective in my assessments and try to steer away from pocket talk so I was disappointed. The only thing I’m clinging to is the fact the ground was softer than he’d want and the extra distance and wind would not have been in his favour. Sporting John is also a very good animal and a cut above anything the Master had faced so far this season.
                          I think he traveled perfectly well, and would still think he'd be a lively outsider on better ground (at the shorter trip as you mentioned)

                          That said, I'd expect Sporting John to beat him over any trip and by therefore assume there will certainly be 'at least one too good'

                          At 66/1 I'll be leaving him backed, but he's no longer anything more than 'lively outsider'

                          I guess we were a one got wonder earlier in the season

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                          • Chantry House not entered in any handicaps.....now JP, do the other right thing & run him here!!!

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                            • Has anyone seen any entries for Fly Smart

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                              • Just seen its been scrapped

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