Supreme Novices Hurdle 2020

[jack1092]

And at least 10 others I'd imagine.

Really? I think the horse looks very flexible in his ability. You need to stay to win a Supreme.

[Can't Catch Me]

Agree, no idea where people are getting it from. They've watched him a horse once, maybe twice if you've seen his point to come up with the judgement hes a 2miler!

Part and parcel of antepost betting on the novice races though.

[jack1092]

MR being backed on exchanges for Supreme.

He's still bigger than Envoi Allen though which isn't what you'd want to see surely? Maybe it's because EA has had a run. Hard to know.

[jack1092]

Part and parcel of antepost betting on the novice races though.

Fair enough.........Madness really- probably similar to MR though i guess.

[Can't Catch Me]

Fair enough.........Madness really- probably similar to MR though i guess.

One potential injury and we are all over the shop

[ComplyOrDie]

Elliott has others, but we seems hell bent on believing EA, MR & AD are his only 3 it would seem.

One that would interest me would be Festival D'ex if anything were to happen to MR, despite Elliott thinking he'd be one for 2 1/2.

[jack1092]

Elliott has others, but we seems hell bent on believing EA, MR & AD are his only 3 it would seem.

One that would interest me would be Festival D'ex if anything were to happen to MR, despite Elliott thinking he'd be one for 2 1/2.

That's true, he had some great bumper winners last year, but as i've said re EA and his price before, Mullin's literally had FA bumper runners, he has a raft to come, yet many including me at times, have already awarded Elliot the Supreme/Ballymore double

[Scooby91]

I bet theres a fair bit of traffic on the hri site looking for 1 particular race.

[Saxon Warrior]

Elliott has others, but we seems hell bent on believing EA, MR & AD are his only 3 it would seem.

One that would interest me would be Festival D'ex if anything were to happen to MR, despite Elliott thinking he'd be one for 2 1/2.

Love Festival D’Ex’s Punchestown run COD. Definitely could be progressive and have a Festival chance, along with many more.

I think it’s too easy to form entrenched opinions from March/April bumper form and project it forward to the new season and Novice Hurdle chances, and specific targets.

As we know nothing is certain until races are run, and I imagine the majority of our antepost bets to date will fail to run or to win, no matter how much we believe and hope they will succeed.

The antepost plan that some of us have developed is to seek out longer priced runners who could have a plummeting price if they come out and win well on their first one or two runs. That’s what I am seeking at this point, and to keep an open mind on all possibilities for the Festival (different race targets for horses, multiple options of race winners, effects of different ground, horses switching targets if stable are injured/loses form, etc).

I do smile when I see bold predictions of definite winners for Festival races and distinct targets (Supreme not Ballymore etc). I have long based my book around a wider selection of chances for the Festival to avoid a crash and burn occurring if one or two short priced antepost horses lose.

We all love a 25/1 or 33/1 bet going off on the day the 2/1 fav, and long may we share our thoughts here, trying to dig out those type of horses.

[jack1092]

https://status.hri-ras.ie/race-meetings.aspx

No Malone Road........................

[Run4Home]

My mate has told me MR should line up on Saturday as planned. He knows someone in the yard so if he is injured then its being kept very quiet by them. I guess I will start worrying if he gets pulled for that race and something comes out then.

Looks like we start worrying now

[Diggler]

"He’s back in good form and he’s going to do a bit of work after racing at Punchestown today (Wednesday). We are considering starting him back in a winners’ bumper at Down Royal or Punchestown before sending him novice hurdling, but he might just go straight over hurdles. He’s moving really well and looks in great shape. He could go a bit further, but he’s always looked pacey and I wouldn’t be surprised if two miles is his trip." Gordon Elliot on Malone Road in the ATR stable tour. im guessing the Punchestown meeting is next week where he won last year beating Mt Leinster

[Faugheen_Machine]

"He’s back in good form and he’s going to do a bit of work after racing at Punchestown today (Wednesday). We are considering starting him back in a winners’ bumper at Down Royal or Punchestown before sending him novice hurdling, but he might just go straight over hurdles. He’s moving really well and looks in great shape. He could go a bit further, but he’s always looked pacey and I wouldn’t be surprised if two miles is his trip." Gordon Elliot on Malone Road in the ATR stable tour. im guessing the Punchestown meeting is next week where he won last year beating Mt Leinster

That's a old quote Diggler. He supposedly picked up an injury doing that price of work.

[SAMCRO]

Think it was more to do with Elliott mentioning an alternative target to Down Royal. Fingers Crossed he makes the Punchestown meeting.

[Lobos]

That's a old quote Diggler. He supposedly picked up an injury doing that price of work.

Was it not Fairyhouse where he supposedly knocked himself?