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Rose Of Arcadia entered at Chepstow on Friday for Tizzard and Cheveley.
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Shewearsitwell was super impressive today, the time was obviously a stand out but to do that with so little experience against a decent bunch of horses in behind is telling.
Her jumping is very slick and a huge advantage at 2m today, will only improve as she goes up in trip.
Obviously well regarded within closutton as she was kept for today's race while other novices went elsewhere in the last week or so.Comment
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After the festival hopefully for my docketOriginally posted by Lobos View Post
Think she'll run here at the festival but she'll be even better over further and will step up at some stage. Looks exciting!Comment
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Hopefully got Shewearsitwell onside by doubling her up with THE banker Easyslands. 2.5pt double @ 26/1Comment
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As a leased club mare, it's unlikely that Shewearsitwell was seen as a G1 mare a few months ago. Her career has had a similar trajectory to Airlie Beach and she will surely continue to give them a lot of fun, probably in races that Airlie won. Based on that experience, her current price is poor value.Comment
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I think Mullins saying the Royal Bond could be next and that she is good enough to run in that suggests she is a little better than just a 'fun ' horse Archie.Originally posted by archie View PostComment
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Airlie Beach won the Royal Bond in 2016Originally posted by Lobos View Post
Archie will know what he is talking about when it comes to these types!Comment
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I don't think there is any law against a leased horse being Grade 1 quality. Just comparing her with one horse (who I don't think ever looked this good) doesn't make her poor value. She would only be poor value if there were a string of horses at bigger prices who had achieved more than what she did yesterday.Originally posted by archie View PostComment
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I'm comparing the two because Willie said almost exactly the same things about Airlie as he did yesterday. By coincidence, she also won the two races that are being projected for SWIW before running down the field in the Mares Novice so I think it's not an unreasonable comparison.Originally posted by kinloch brae View PostComment
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Shewearsitwell
Willie Mullins has entered 2 Mares in the Royal Bond in the last 10 years, and done very well with them.
They have a 7lb weight advantage over the geldings.
Airlie Beach won the race in 2016, by 6&1/2 lengths, at 4/1, with an RPR of 141.
That was 1lb lower than her form coming into the race (RPR 142).
Zuzka at 12/1 was 3rd in 2012, btn 2&1/2 lengths by Jezki, with Champagne Fever splitting them. (form good enough for them to go on to finish 1st and 3rd in the Supreme 3 months later)
She posted an RPR of 142 for the race (6lb above her prior rating of 136).
WPM doesn’t waste bullets with his Mares in the Royal Bond.
Shewearsitwell already has a better rating than either of those posted before the Royal Bond or to win/place in that Grade 1, with a current RPR of 148.
With a 7lb allowance, that means if she repeated the 148 in the Royal Bond, then any gelding would need to post 156 to beat her.
Only one gelding in 10 years has done that, in the race, Envoi Allen posted 156, so about a length better than Shewearsitwell, when beating Abacadabras last year.
Every other Royal Bond in the decade recorded winners rated RPR 141 to 151.
Willie could take the Airlie Beach route, with the Down Royal Grade 3 in 4 weeks, and then the Royal Bond 4 weeks after that.
A this point, she wouldn’t have to improve anything at all to win the Royal Bond, or the Mares Novice Hurdle.
An added bonus is that she is by Shirocco out of an Old Vic mare, the same as Annie Power.
As well as taking 10/1 post race,
I’m going to start smaller stakes doubles on her with other Festival horses, as if she arrives in the MNH fit and well she could easily be the top-rated horse in the race, as the MNH has proved to generally be a race lacking any depth at all in its 6 years, on ratings (though good Mares develop from it after their Novice year, of course, like Epatante, Verdana Blue etc, that weren’t top novices).Last edited by Saxon Warrior; 5 October 2020, 10:39 AM."Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".Comment
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She just looked the real deal to me yesterday. I was hugely impressed. She gave me the wow factor even accounting for the opposition. Think I'm having another Honeysuckle moment. I like her a lot. For me she is the Mares Novice winner regardless of what else is out there. 8/1 might not look poor value when she's 1-2 come Fez week. There, that's me OTT'd out. I'm in love again.Comment
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Exactly Lobos, waiting for others to reveal themselves is one plan, but for me, if she won the Royal Bond with another 148 RPR on softer ground (to cover any ground preference off) then she would be 5/2 or 3/1 for the MNH, and the waiting would have lost her as a potential bet, now at 8/1.Originally posted by Lobos View Post"Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".Comment
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Quite a statement Lobos to make on the 5th October!! But to say "regardless of what else is out there" make the statement a little silly. I will factor in youve fallen in love with her and as they say "love is blind".
Shes clearly good but id personally be surprised if there isnt better in her own stable, but shes set a standard for the rest to try and better.Comment
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