Mares Novice Hurdle 2020

[archie]

Yeah see that's the worry, she could well win the Royal Bond, looks a rocket. Airlie Beach looked good + won it, but was still beaten in a Mares Novice...

https://www.timeform.com/cheltenham-festival/news/lifes-a-beach-for-mares-novice-contender-airlie-at-fairyhouse-6122016

[Scooby91]

Can you remember what price Airlie Beach was after winning the RB?

7/1 immediately after Then cut over the next few hours into general 5s before drifting markedly when let's dance was declared

[Scooby91]

7/1 immediately after Then cut over the next few hours into general 5s before drifting markedly when let's dance was declared

Suprised that she actually went off 4/1 on the day. I diddnt recall that.

Morning price: 5/2*3/1*4/1*9/2*4/1)
(Ring price: 9/2*4/1*7/2*4/1)*SP 4/1

[Big Bucks]

Maybe AB got late support but from memory I thought Lets Dance was odds on during the afternoon, 4/6ish, but then drifted again and went off 11/8? May be wrong!

[Lobos]

Yeah see that's the worry, she could well win the Royal Bond, looks a rocket. Airlie Beach looked good + won it, but was still beaten in a Mares Novice...

If we all thought like that we'd never have s bet though surely? You have to take a stance and go with your gut or else what's the point?

[Outlaw]

Suprised that she actually went off 4/1 on the day. I diddnt recall that.

Morning price: 5/2*3/1*4/1*9/2*4/1)
(Ring price: 9/2*4/1*7/2*4/1)*SP 4/1

Opened up 8s with the Irish at decs and went out to 10s before support too Airlie Beach.

*scrap that thought you were referring to the RB*

[Lobos]

7/1 immediately after Then cut over the next few hours into general 5s before drifting markedly when let's dance was declared

What was AB before the Royal Bond can you remember?

[Lobos]

AB clearly didn't show her true running at Cheltenham either. It's down to individual taste and I do like the taste of Shewearsitwell. If there is a better novice Mare out there then so be it. The odds are I'd have not knowingly backed her TWAR anyways!! Lol !

[ComplyOrDie]

If we all thought like that we'd never have s bet though surely? You have to take a stance and go with your gut or else what's the point?

Absolutely go with your gut, but the patterns some trainers take are for good reason. You don't have to take on board what Jack has said, but it is there for those that do want to take note.

[Lobos]

Absolutely go with your gut, but the patterns some trainers take are for good reason. You don't have to take on board what Jack has said, but it is there for those that do want to take note.

Absolutely. IMO though 8's will look spectacular value for her come race day which is why I've gone in now. I can always cover her, and probably will, with other Mullins beasts when they appear.

[ComplyOrDie]

Absolutely. IMO though 8's will look spectacular value for her come race day which is why I've gone in now. I can always cover her, and probably will, with other Mullins beasts when they appear.

I won't be backing any of the Mullins lot at 8/1 right now. Too many potential horses still to come out. But best of luck

[Istabraq]

All fair points across the board but this race in particular highlights the risks in that a few weeks ago Gypsy Island was flying and heading here, then she had a setback, then Princess Zoe appeared from the clouds as a new hotpot only for connections to realise she’s too good for hurdling.
Of course it’s all about taking a view/punt but there are times and races to do that, we all approach it in different ways and none of us get it right all the time, but, and I alluded to it earlier, if I am going to take a punt I’d want a fair price that reflects the risk attached...

[ComplyOrDie]

All fair points across the board but this race in particular highlights the risks in that a few weeks ago Gypsy Island was flying and heading here, then she had a setback, then Princess Zoe appeared from the clouds as a new hotpot only for connections to realise she’s too good for hurdling.
Of course it’s all about taking a view/punt but there are times and races to do that, we all approach it in different ways and none of us get it right all the time, but, and I alluded to it earlier, if I am going to take a punt I’d want a fair price that reflects the risk attached...

I completely agree with all of that Ista.

Gypsy Island and Princess Zoe are prime examples as you noted.

[Lobos]

All fair points across the board but this race in particular highlights the risks in that a few weeks ago Gypsy Island was flying and heading here, then she had a setback, then Princess Zoe appeared from the clouds as a new hotpot only for connections to realise she’s too good for hurdling.
Of course it’s all about taking a view/punt but there are times and races to do that, we all approach it in different ways and none of us get it right all the time, but, and I alluded to it earlier, if I am going to take a punt I’d want a fair price that reflects the risk attached...

Has GI had a setback? I know there were rumours but were they confirmed? Not backed her but know a few have

[archie]

As it happens, when it was decided that Airlie Beach was going straight to Cheltenham from the Royal Bond, in January I think, it was still very much open for debate as to whether she'd go for the Mares Novice, the Supreme or the Neptune/Ballymore. It was only when Bunk Off Early ran so well in the Deloitte that she was confirmed as going for this.