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Arkle 2020
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Good race yesterday but Notebook always had the upper hand i guess. Will boil down to how much improvement Cash Back has in him. Then throw in the variables of Arkle being 1f shorter (i think), different ground (softer may negate Notebooks slightly superior turn of foot) and of course, the hill. Happy to be on at fancy prices but win only as exchange bets. Roll on next month.....
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Originally posted by Ray View PostJesus, i thought he was a mare! ..anyway yes he doesnt get those allowances at cheltenham if he lines up in the arkle
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A few thoughts: Notebook, considering he covered half of Leopardstown before the race, travelled strongly, jumped well and was a good winner. He is too short for me right now but am struggling to find much to beat him. I honestly think this is the right race for Itchy Feet: he travels and jumps well and has shown course form. However, it looks like he's going for the March and the trainer has Brewinupastorm for this. That being said the latter needs more experience in my opinion and the slower pace of the March (and higher emphasis on stamina on the New Course) could be a better option for him. it wouldn't be the biggest surprise in the world if they switched plans nearer to the day.
On a more speculative note, I am intrigued about I'm A Game Changer. He stays 2 1/2 mile (something I think you need to do in this race), needs a strongly run race and decent ground. He may not be good enough but has had none of these so far this year. In his first run for Elliott, he was given a very easy race and blew up between the last two. He then fell and then contrived to lose to Tornado Flyer despite running all over him until just after the last. He belted the 2nd last but it didn't stop but then he started running around going to the last; he clearly doesn't like being in front too long but he has more ability than he shown so far over fences. (as an aside Eclair de Beaufeu was 20 lengths behind him in that race). Obviously, he's a tough ride and will need to be produced just right but he's the sort of horse you could see swinging away approaching the last two. At 66/1, he may be worth a closer look.
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Originally posted by Bayoffreedom View Post.
On a more speculative note, I am intrigued about I'm A Game Changer. He stays 2 1/2 mile (something I think you need to do in this race), needs a strongly run race and decent ground. He may not be good enough but has had none of these so far this year. In his first run for Elliott, he was given a very easy race and blew up between the last two. He then fell and then contrived to lose to Tornado Flyer despite running all over him until just after the last. He belted the 2nd last but it didn't stop but then he started running around going to the last; he clearly doesn't like being in front too long but he has more ability than he shown so far over fences. (as an aside Eclair de Beaufeu was 20 lengths behind him in that race). Obviously, he's a tough ride and will need to be produced just right but he's the sort of horse you could see swinging away approaching the last two. At 66/1, he may be worth a closer look."Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".
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Originally posted by Saxon Warrior View PostYes, I am with you on I’m A Game Changer, but which race. I’ve got him in a couple of small stakes multis at 33/1 for the Grand Annual, as I thought his profile may bring him into play, and weight range, for that race. He was entered for the Irish Arkle and the Eclair De Beaufeu 2M handicap this week, but didn’t take up the entries.Last edited by Bayoffreedom; 3 February 2020, 01:43 AM.
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Just has a little chat with Cod on close bros thread.
But for anyone not in a good space with this race.
You can't go far wrong backing Annamix 25-1 NRNB with Sky (if available)
If it runs Sunday at Punchestown and beats the likes of Zero Ten and Early Doors and Dunvegan, then it'll have form alongside Cash Back.
If it don't win then I reckon it won't travel.
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