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Surely 2m only favours Fakir given the speed of his jumping?
When you look at it like that, he surely goes Arkle...and it should encourage Samcro and Laurina go JLT. Both have been shown up at 2 miles over hurdles, but they travel well and Samcro has won at the festival over 2 and a half.
I agree with Scooby, in a rematch, Samcro beats Fakir comfortably at 2 and a half. However at 2m, i’d call it very even, possibly with Fakir the choice.
Given all that, I think O’Brien is too canny to not play to Fakir’s strengths and therefore will stick him in the Arkle.
Fakir wasn't exactly Istabraq ove hurdles either, in fact, he wasn't better than either of them.
His jumping is an asset, but things are going to get much harder for him. Laurina>Arkle.
Looks like Tornado Flyer may be running at Navan in the grade 3 Novices on Saturday.
I reckon Willie has seen the form (looking a bit dubious) and opted to see him again at this level before considering stepping up.
I think he'd want him to put up a good performance Saturday to keep him in the A team.
Need to decide whether to cover him if he's declared later this week.
Thinking not at this stage, as I have plenty.
But we'll see.
I'd put a good dozen horses ahead of him right now.
Think Mr Nichols decision shows you what he thinks of the form, it's hardly stacking up is it ?
A lot has to go in his favour as regards to opposition falling away, and he needs to improve a fair bit.
Wouldn't say at 33-1 he's an absolute no-hoper though.
Hilarious. Name the dozen.
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Laurina
Fakir
Melon
Angel's Breath
Put the kettle on
Fanions destruval
Brewinupastorm
Notebook
Torpillo
Mister Fisher
Lisp
Cash back
It's like that gameshow on saturday night with that bearded fella.
If any of those were in a race against Al Dancer I'd prefer to back them.
And it's hard for you to state a strong case on actual form on the racecourse (hurdle or novice chasing) against it.
It'd have to be guesswork on weight allowances and race fitness etc etc.
Laurina
Fakir
Melon
Angel's Breath
Put the kettle on
Fanions destruval
Brewinupastorm
Notebook
Torpillo
Mister Fisher
Lisp
Cash back
It's like that gameshow on saturday night with that bearded fella.
If any of those were in a race against Al Dancer I'd prefer to back them.
And it's hard for you to state a strong case on actual form on the racecourse (hurdle or novice chasing) against it.
It'd have to be guesswork on weight allowances and race fitness etc etc.
Laurina and fanion destruval I'd agree.
But we've no idea if they will make it to the arkle.
notebook I'd have on around a par with al dancer at this stage
Brewin
Torpillo
Cashback
Lisp
Mister Fisher
Have all done absolutely zero to date. Al dancer jumps fine and imo would have all these covered over hurdles or fences.
Melon is going over further, as is Angel's breath. Will they drop back, who knows but its not currently the plan
Fakir is running around with 10 pounds in hand and would have got a pasting by samcro imo. Nothing behind would be anywhere near an arkle. He faced a melon on seasonal debut who'd been in shitty form previously receiving 10.
I wouldnt be thinking fakirs all that just yet
Last edited by Scooby91; 3 December 2019, 08:27 PM.
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Laurina and fanion destruval I'd agree.
But we've no idea if they will make it to the arkle.
notebook I'd have on around a par with al dancer at this stage
Brewin
Torpillo
Cashback
Lisp
Mister Fisher
Have all done absolutely zero to date. Al dancer jumps fine and imo would have all these covered over hurdles or fences.
Melon is going over further, as is al dancer. Will they drop back, who knows but its not currently the plan
Freudian slip there Scooby.
But likely to happen IMO.
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