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I’d cashed out of one or two positions BFX last night, and waited for the entries in the novice hurdles today’s see if there was anything to add to my squad.
I was particularly interested in the Triumph Hurdle market and noted the shock news for Nicky Henderson’s bare cupboard in the race this year, as well as a light team from Willie Mullins.
Joseph O’Brien has A Wave of the Sea and Cerberus, who I think are both clearly second tier juveniles.
At the moment the market has three horses well clear in the market, and I have Allmankind in my book, and am not keen to add either Goshen or Aspire Tower at their current odds and given their tendency to both pull hard in races (similar to Allmankind).
The only other horse I like is Mick Pastor, and he is the other one in my book already, at 50/1.
Having checked the entries, and recent runnings I was keen to check out Gordon Elliott’s entries.
He has five:
Battle Of Wills
Galet Doudairies
Oak Park
Recent Revelations
Tronador.
Gordon’s record in the last four years he has had runners in the Triumph is 1-2-1-2 (Tiger Roll, Mega Fortune, Farclas, Couer Sublime), no other trainer comes close to that recent form, and Mega Fortune was runner-up to Defi Du Seuil
Looking at his five entries this year, Galet Doudairies and Oak Park haven’t got the form to interest me, and I am keen on Tronador and Recent Revelations for the Boodles (particularly Tronador).
That leaves Battle Of Wills, who is of interest given his good jumping debut display this week, and his flat form for James Tate and Saeed Manana over mid-distances last year. His last race he ran unplaced off his highest mark of 90.
Gordon Elliott said in the aftermath of his hurdles debut win that he liked the horse and would enter him in the Triumph and the Boodles.
Given he would need to run twice more in the under five weeks to even get a mark for the Boodles, I would rule that option as doubtful, and I have added him him to my select three horse team for the Triumph Hurdle.
Have a watch of his Ripon win on the flat - RPR 96 - which is higher than Goshen, Allmankind and Aspire Tower have achieved.
His hurdles win at Naas this week, look very smooth, and crucially given the three Triumph favourites being strong pullers, this horse settled well, and jumped well for Davy Russell. I thought it looked very good visually.
Love the idea of Davy Russell riding him in the Triumph.
Battle of Wills 33/1 Triumph Hurdle.
Been meaning to add B.O.W , and did so today @ 33-1 n.r.n.b. .
You made a compelling case there Saxon !. That's this race wrapped up for me.
2nd entries next Wednesday, hope he is there, love to see him have a crack at the 3 hotheads.
I’ve followed you guys in on this one - purely because I’ve too got Allmankind & Mick Pastor e/w for this so would be pissed if this one hacks up. A conclusive case made Saxon thanks mate. Book’s done for Triumph now too
I'm figuring if he comes here he'll need to be pretty good today. And then I doubt 150/1 would be around then!
NRNB definitely worth a pop I reckon
...the French ‘expert’ on ATR highlighted it a few days ago, suggesting they were testing the water with a view to the Boodles, but if they got close to Goshen they would consider the Triumph (Goshen was declared for Haydock at that point).
...the French ‘expert’ on ATR highlighted it a few days ago, suggesting they were testing the water with a view to the Boodles, but if they got close to Goshen they would consider the Triumph (Goshen was declared for Haydock at that point).
Fair enough. Still worth a play I reckon before he runs today. And NRNB gives reassurance.
...the French ‘expert’ on ATR highlighted it a few days ago, suggesting they were testing the water with a view to the Boodles, but if they got close to Goshen they would consider the Triumph (Goshen was declared for Haydock at that point).
Fair enough.
Worth the chance at 150/1 Non Runner No Bet
AH, now 66/1 - can cash out for a profit
Last edited by Kevloaf; 15 February 2020, 11:57 AM.
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