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2021 National Hunt Novices Chase

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  • Not so sure about Galvin as it's still likely to run.....I'd guess something said from "someone in the know" at a preview evening, interview for a publication or suchlike.
    Agree that something appears to have happened today though.

    Comment


    • PresentingPercy from RSA thread 'Paul Nolan on a preview last night said unless EA or Monkfish drop out of the festival, he will send Latest Exhibition to Fairyhouse for the G1 novice chase'

      Longhouse poet being smashed up again. B365 go 8/1

      Comment


      • Royal Pagaille - https://www.oddschecker.com/tips/hor...hase-favourite

        Comment


        • For Galvin... one of those pieces of news is good.
          The other, is baaaaad.

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
            For Galvin... one of those pieces of news is good.
            The other, is baaaaad.
            Very true. RP is very very good, but I am certainly not giving up hope Galvin could beat him. RP wants soft/heavy ground which he is unlikely to get at Cheltenham. He's never been to Cheltenham before. He jumps very low which is a blessing that can quickly turn burden. These three things over 3m6f could take him out his comfort zone, cause lets be honest, he hasn't really been asked to come out of it. He's the right favourite, but I wouldn't be in a rush to take his current price myself

            Comment


            • Originally posted by charlie View Post

              Very true. RP is very very good, but I am certainly not giving up hope Galvin could beat him. RP wants soft/heavy ground which he is unlikely to get at Cheltenham. He's never been to Cheltenham before. He jumps very low which is a blessing that can quickly turn burden. These three things over 3m6f could take him out his comfort zone, cause lets be honest, he hasn't really been asked to come out of it. He's the right favourite, but I wouldn't be in a rush to take his current price myself
              Although Royale Pagaille is another bullet for me in the race, should he turn up, I would much prefer Galvin to beat him, and TBH it wouldn't surprise me if he did still.

              I would have doubts about RP's stamina for now as well, not that he's looked like stopping in his last two starts, but both have been on flat tracks. I'm looking forward to seeing how he will get on at a stiff track on better ground over this trip. Unlike Galvin, his breeding doesn't scream that he'll be a stayer to me either, but that doesn't always work out how it initially looks.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by charlie View Post
                PresentingPercy from RSA thread 'Paul Nolan on a preview last night said unless EA or Monkfish drop out of the festival, he will send Latest Exhibition to Fairyhouse for the G1 novice chase'

                Longhouse poet being smashed up again. B365 go 8/1
                Really don't get that personally

                All of latest exhibitions best runs have been left handed

                Comment


                • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post

                  Really don't get that personally

                  All of latest exhibitions best runs have been left handed
                  He's a grade one chaser, it's time he started winning grade 1s I guess is the thinking.

                  Comment


                  • Really don't understand the RP decision. RR will have Monkfish to go after the GC with next season. Even if RP wins the NHC will he really care? If CPS loses the CC then he will no doubt still feel a bit deflated even if RP wins the NHC. But if CPS loses on the Wednesday at least he still has hope that come the Friday he may be celebrating his biggest win ever in a race he has been so close to hitting.

                    It's a strange one for me.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by PresentingPercy88 View Post

                      He's a grade one chaser, it's time he started winning grade 1s I guess is the thinking.
                      I dont think he will going right handed

                      Certainly won't be a penalty kick

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Eireman View Post
                        Really don't understand the RP decision. RR will have Monkfish to go after the GC with next season. Even if RP wins the NHC will he really care? If CPS loses the CC then he will no doubt still feel a bit deflated even if RP wins the NHC. But if CPS loses on the Wednesday at least he still has hope that come the Friday he may be celebrating his biggest win ever in a race he has been so close to hitting.

                        It's a strange one for me.
                        Maybe they don't think RP is as good as everybody else seems too

                        He can be quite a keen going horse, is he really going to stay 3m6f running like that?

                        And he will be going from flat tracks on heavy ground to an undulating track on gd to soft

                        Comment


                        • Things might still change, if there is a decent drop of rain for the Gold Cup.as opposed to the Tuesday, the GC may be the race for RP.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post

                            Maybe they don't think RP is as good as everybody else seems too

                            He can be quite a keen going horse, is he really going to stay 3m6f running like that?

                            And he will be going from flat tracks on heavy ground to an undulating track on gd to soft
                            Both the trip and the track are unknowns but if he hacks up in the NHC will they not rue going for the GC? If he bombs out in the GC would he have likely won the NHC? No imo. If he places in the gold cup or finishes a close enough 5th 6th will they regret not going and winning the NHC? Again no.

                            The more and more I think about this the less and less him going to the NHC makes any sense at all. Even if he does win. If CPS loses a day later the festival is a disappointing one for RR so why on earth bother?

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post

                              I dont think he will going right handed

                              Certainly won't be a penalty kick
                              I don't see your argument that he needs to go left handed. He's raced three times over hurdles/fences going right handed and has won twice and was second on another occasion, a race that Nolan said he ran him too quickly after his previous run and on bad ground (18 days and heavy ground).

                              Certainly no penalty kick the G1 at Fairyhouse, but as i've said before on here, outside of EA and Monkfish, I don't think there's a better novice chaser in Ireland and I'm sure they think that also - no shame being second string to them both. We could be on the doorstep of a golden age of staying chasers for the next 3-5 years hopefully.

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Eireman View Post

                                Both the trip and the track are unknowns but if he hacks up in the NHC will they not rue going for the GC? If he bombs out in the GC would he have likely won the NHC? No imo. If he places in the gold cup or finishes a close enough 5th 6th will they regret not going and winning the NHC? Again no.

                                The more and more I think about this the less and less him going to the NHC makes any sense at all. Even if he does win. If CPS loses a day later the festival is a disappointing one for RR so why on earth bother?
                                No, why would they, if he's that good then he can have a crack at the Gold Cup next season, can't he? Not as if he's a 10 year old already.

                                Comment

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