2021 National Hunt Novices Chase

[ComplyOrDie]

It is starting to look more like the paddy power plate each day for DD, maybe Chantry house winning the other day has forced their hand for this

It's definitely not. He has to run twice before the festival to be allowed in, absolutely no chance now.

[Aldie1988]

I meant if a prep run is needed based on the plans of Champ and not wanting to bottom a horse out. A qualifying race for the NH Chase will surely bottom him out more than a prep for the Paddy Power plate?
I have only backed in this @ 33s with a small each way so will live in hope

[Hardy Eustace]

It is starting to look more like the paddy power plate each day for DD, maybe Chantry house winning the other day has forced their hand for this

More like the brown advisory chase, that was paddy power plate - these bloody name changes!!

[Aldie1988]

It has my head spinning

[charlie]

He was also asked which horse he was most looking forward to at Cheltenham and he said this fella.

Loving how he's working his way through the market. Was 33/1 two weeks ago. Best priced 25/1 with B365, but mostly now 16's and 12/1 NRNB.

Of those ahead of him in the market you can confidently pull out Next Destination and Coko Beach. Highly unlikely Gordon sends 3 of his and Royal Pagaille is odds on to go Gold Cup.

That will leave 4 or 5 ahead of him in the market, and it could cut up even further.

Thats gone now. Into 18.

Out of the top 10 in the market 3 are confirmed, the other 7 are either 50/50 or wont go.

Galvin - Yes
Royal Pagaille - No (more likely Gold Cup)
Latest Exhibition - No (the debate post DRF seemed to be stick at 3m, drop back, or wait)
Coko Beach - No (doubt Gordon will send 3 and owner has said Irish National is the plan)
Next Destination - No (PN has confirmed he goes RSA)
Dickie Diver - No (days are running out to quality)
Escaria Ten - 50/50 (could go RSA)
Secret Reprieve - Yes
Pencilfulloflead - 50/50
Longhouse Poet - Yes

[Kevloaf]

Thats gone now. Into 18.

Out of the top 10 in the market 3 are confirmed, the other 7 are either 50/50 or wont go.

Galvin - Yes
Royal Pagaille - No (more likely Gold Cup)
Latest Exhibition - No (the debate post DRF seemed to be stick at 3m, drop back, or wait)
Coko Beach - No (doubt Gordon will send 3 and owner has said Irish National is the plan)
Next Destination - No (PN has confirmed he goes RSA)
Dickie Diver - No (days are running out to quality)
Escaria Ten - 50/50 (could go RSA)
Secret Reprieve - Yes
Pencilfulloflead - 50/50
Longhouse Poet - Yes

Secret Repreive isn't being aimed here anymore is he?
Only one of Pencilfulloflead or Escaria Ten would run.... but definitely one.

[charlie]

Secret Repreive isn't being aimed here anymore is he?
Only one of Pencilfulloflead or Escaria Ten would run.... but definitely one.

Ah I thought he was. Gets even better for Longhouse Poet!

[Quevega]

Thats gone now. Into 18.

Out of the top 10 in the market 3 are confirmed, the other 7 are either 50/50 or wont go.

Galvin - Yes
Royal Pagaille - No (more likely Gold Cup)
Latest Exhibition - No (the debate post DRF seemed to be stick at 3m, drop back, or wait)
Coko Beach - No (doubt Gordon will send 3 and owner has said Irish National is the plan)
Next Destination - No (PN has confirmed he goes RSA)
Dickie Diver - No (days are running out to quality)
Escaria Ten - 50/50 (could go RSA)
Secret Reprieve - Yes
Pencilfulloflead - 50/50
Longhouse Poet - Yes

Latest Exhibition is still a possible I'd say, from everything I've heard.
Especially if the race continues to cut up.
And as Kev said, the latest news about secret repreive was they were favouring the Grand national.

I've just cashed Dickie Diver by the way and given they suspended cash out straight after I cashed Column of fire (probably coincidence) but just saying.

[Kevloaf]

Yeah cashout suspended on Dickie Diver....

Takes the decision away.


I think people that have cashed out, are the kind of people who stock pile toilet roll.

Ruins it for everyone else.

[Quevega]

Yeah cashout suspended on Dickie Diver....

Takes the decision away.

Have they suspended for definite ?

[HoldenTheReins]

Have they suspended for definite ?

I managed to cash out after you said it was suspended. Perhaps it's for a select few?

[Quevega]

I managed to cash out after you said it was suspended. Perhaps it's for a select few?

I didn't say it was suspended.

[Kevloaf]

Have they suspended for definite ?

He's grey'd out in their list from what I can see?


I just cashed out a CoF Pertemps bet though so could be that, same as you Q?

[Quevega]

He's grey'd out in their list from what I can see?

apologies.

[Kevloaf]

Plumpton, Ayr, Catterick all have races he could qualify in next week....

Monday or Tuesday next week.....


I guess that's last chance saloon....