Just to add, I have backed him (not at the fancy priced as many) so I’m not adverse to his chances, but if you went on a line through Hold the Note he has 7 lengths to find on ND.
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2021 National Hunt Novices Chase
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Originally posted by Hurricane fly View PostJust to add, I have backed him (not at the fancy priced as many) so I’m not adverse to his chances, but if you went on a line through Hold the Note he has 7 lengths to find on ND.
Related trixie
Hold The Note (Kim Muir)
One For The Team (Ultima)
Next Destination (NH Chase)
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I don’t have anyone for the Kim Muir so maybe that could be this seasons IA/Simply the Betts (not that I was on that either!)
As you have said, he’s run with the hand brake on ever since he went over fences - or atleast since his fall on debut. So nobody actually knows how good he is. Could that not go both ways?
If I were to be particularly grumpy I could say that IA has hit 163 on the back of beating Itchy Feet and Windsor Avenue not exactly murderers row. The rest of the Plate field has garnered 4 wins between them this season one of which was a jumpers bumper. Perhaps it was a below par renewal? but because it’s the festival everyone who wins gets a fair whack regardless of the depth of the form.
I don’t think that preferring his runs to have some franking this year is too much to ask, or something that shouldn’t be questioned/raised. Gordon is fantastic at placing horses and he definitely has done so with Galvin.
Atleast we know he is good after a break after last year
*Bit concerned I’ve liked my post when trying to edit, which just seems sadLast edited by Hurricane fly; 15 March 2021, 12:14 AM.
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Hey, fair enough, as i said i'm on him but i'd be siding with The Fly on this one.
He was only 5 over hurdles so it's a bit harsh to criticise him too much but he was was forward enough to win 3 bumpers, so yeah, his hurdle form was shit. There's no indication from that or even his run at the festival that he's a legitimate 160 yoke to me anyway.
I suppose being only a 7yo leaves him open the improvement just from natural progression.
Whereas Next Destination looks a grinder, and has the back-form to at least allow us to think he'd have room to be a 160 horse. I do doubt he'd be any better than that cause why would WPM have given up so easy, he just doesn't normally do that.
Will be happily wrong here.......
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Originally posted by Can't Catch Me View PostIm surprised how many of the tipsters and comments I've read today expressing concerns for Galvin staying the trip.
I think he's the most likely to stay of them all! Gold Well a huge stamina influence as a sire and his dam won over 3.5 miles.
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Originally posted by Nortons who View Post
Part of the reason for slight reservations about Galvin over the distance could possibly be that he has only run once over 3m whereas 9/12 last winners had at least 3 runs over 3m. I appreciate the race distance has been reduced from 4m but he's not a proven out and out stayer like some past winners.
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Got Galvin at 12/1 for this ante post. I'm gonna be quite gutted if he doesn't win this, I'm surprised people have said he won't last the trip, to me the horse looks like it can when I've watched its races. Next Destination I feel as though he'll last the trip but will grind out the race but won't quite get to winning it, thats my impression personally.
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