You did make some very valid points kev.
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Cheltenham 2020 - Ante post bets
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Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View PostBuveur D'air's price will be gone after Aintree and I think Santini's might have, if he runs there too.
I doubt he'll be beating or meeting any of the Irish horses?
If he wins well at Aintree against the same horses we already know he's better than (bar Verdana Blue) haha ...
I really like Buveur D'air but I don't understand why there is a rush to back him at the price he is
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From my perspective and with the greatest respect, given that we're still less than a week on from the first race of this year's Festival, it's utterly bonkers that we're already on Page 18.
I said it last year but it bears repeating. For any horse you need to calculate a treble of:
1. the odds of it being fit next March. Rule of thumb at this stage, say, even money.
2. the odds of it going for a particular target. A movable and subjective feast but I wouldn't look at anything below even money this far out.
3. the likely odds on the day - finger in the air job but worth doing.
eg. Cyrname.
1. evens
2. Gold Cup - 3/1?
3. 4/1 minimum and likely higher.
Your treble on the smallest odds is 39/1.Last edited by archie; 19 March 2019, 01:13 PM.
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Originally posted by billymag View PostGet on the RP site lads have a crack at the Lincoln a week Saturday, see if you can find anything to beat blue mist!
I like Great Prospector (40/1) at a price myself, should he run.Last edited by ComplyOrDie; 19 March 2019, 01:29 PM.
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I’m only sticking to horses in the Win Any Race market. I’ve put a point on the big Gigginstown types in the hope they improve over fences (CotF, BOD, Samcro) along with Dickie Diver & Pic D’ory but not going to throw much more until September unless something really stands out.
I have a question regarding the 4 miler at the Festival if anyone can help explain. Why were there very few, if any horses in this year’s race to have experience at any where near the distance. Very few in the field had raced further than 3 mile. Is this the norm for this race? With everything that happened during it I would think stamina experience is a must?
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Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View PostI'm taking the view that the RSA 1-2 will be the most likely winner of the Gold Cup next season.
The 10/1 TOTG is very fair, as is Santini 14/1. The prep for Santini was horrendous and I think he'd have won over an extra 2f, or with a trouble free prep.
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