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Originally posted by jonthehammer
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My notes from last night
Cheltenham Preview Night – Haydock Park (4th March)
Panel
Gareth Leonard (GL) (Compare)
Gay Wiltshire (GW)
Martin Chapman (MC)
Carl Llewelyn (CL)
Andy Gibson (AG)
Day 1 - Tuesday
Supreme Novices Hurdle
CL: - Really likes Al Dancer (obviously he is assistant trainer to NTD). Pulled hard last time out but a fast pace will suit and he will settle better. He has natural speed and will fully see out the trip, however he does wear a hood as he can get excited during the prelims. He also feels Dai will run AD & Angels Breath here. AD is much more straightforward horse than Ballyandy was.
MC: - AD is a decent price and worthy favourite. Nothing has won Betfair Hurdle and the Supreme is a minor negative. Elixir De Nutz will front run and probably set it up for others. Small word for Grand Sancy.
AG: - The time of Al Dancer’s November run is much better than the time that EDN set. Has backed AD and also Fakir Doudairies at an EW price. Prefers the prep of AD than that of AB.
GW: - Cannot see AD being beaten.
Arkle
AG: - Has backed Kalashnikov but it is looking a poor bet now and he has made a mess of the race. Barry Geraghty is fairly confident that Defi Du Seuil will go for the JLT. A lot of front runners in this race.
GL: - Likes Us and Them.
MC: - Also likes Us and Them EW. Bit of EW money has come for Paloma Blue. Keen to take on Lalor, put off by his lack of runs.
GW: - Thinks Knockanauss can run well from the front and a good EW price.
CL: - Fancies Glen Forsa, Doesn’t like Lalor or Kalashnikov.
Champion Hurdle
GW: - Reckons Buveur Dair & Apples Jade will go off joint favourites about 2/1, always does his b*llocks on this race.
MC: - Can’t have Laurina, really not sure who will win though.
CL: - BD is beatable but again not sure who will win, tentative for Apples Jade.
AG: - Laurina’s Tolworth win was slow, in fact the time set by Monsieur Le Coz on same day was quicker. AJ’s times also not that impressive but does have a squeak. BD is now a very backable price and has done a large EW double with Paisley Park (Stayers). Silver Streak (EW) could surprise and run on for a place.
Other races on Day 1
GL mentioned a few of NTD’s other horses and when he got to Ballyarthur, CL said with a straight face he definitely won’t be winning as he’s dead
CL: - Says Go Conquer is still improving but wants him to go to the National. Cogry has every chance in the Ultima and Flying Angel hasn’t progressed as much as they would have liked.
GW: - Likes Cogry EW in the Ultima
MC: - Says Star Sports have laid decent bets on Mr Whitaker (Ultima), Ok Corral (4 miler) and BDD (Mares).
AG: - Says Jerrysback has EW chance in the Ultima. Really likes Highway One O One in the Close Bros and he will front run.
Day 2 – Wednesday
Ballymore
MC: - Champ pulls hard, would lay him. No Challow winner has won this in 16 attempts. Choice is Brewinupastorm
AG: - On Champ at 10s. Barry Geraghty also likes Champ but said Battleoverdoyen was the one to be on.
CL: - Reckons Champs name is a tip in itself as they were waiting for this horse. Does need to settle but faster pace will help.
RSA
CL: - Count Meribel in good form and could have an EW chance, good jumper.
AG: - Thinks Delta Work is a more than reliable favourite, likes his prep. Says Santini been wrong favourite all along. Backed Mortal EW at 33s, will forgive last run.
GL: - Likes Delta Work
MC: - Santini issue is a concern, Delta Work now the right favourite. Topofthegame interesting, Harry Cobden got a b*llocking for the ride when he lost to La Bague Au Roi at Xmas.
GW: - Delta Work
Champion Chase
MC: - Altior went bigger in running last year when he hit his flat spot, may be worth keeping an eye out. No idea why he was jumping to left LTO, maybe he was bored. Gods Own without the favourite may be a nice bet.
AG: - Hell’s Kitchen EW if he runs, his time last time out was phenomenal.
Other races on Day 2
CL: - Torpillo wants it soft, Mr Antolini not progressive enough. Ballyandy is well and could have a chance EW. Owners has messed up Ballymoys chance by insisting on him running too often. Needs more time between races.
MC: - Money for Friend or Foe in the Boodles and Get in the Queue in the Bumper. Put King Roland in your tracker.
GW: - Money has come for Blue Sari
AG: - Tony Martins charity bet is Hannon on the Boodles, Take note.
Thursday – Day 3
JLT
AG: - Backed Lostintranslation and is a strong contender, Defi has a decent chance. No others in it.
GL: - Likes Castafiore EW
MC: - Plenty of money for Real Steel, Daryl Jacob likes Kildistart but MC thinks his jumping is scruffy.
CL: - DDS is the class horse and better value than LIT. Mullins thinks a lot of Real Steel.
GW: - Got to be LIT or DDS, can’t decide.
Ryanair
CL: - Not a great race, hopes UDS goes here. No strong views in an open race.
GL: - NAP is Footpad
GL: - Not sure who will even run.
MC: - Frodon still may come here, has backed Shattered Love & Aso EW at big prices.
AG: - Best to back Top Notch or Fox Norton EW now as once others drop out these would be value. Monalee is a placepot banker.
Stayers
CL: - It was the owners who kept Bristol De Mai in this, will definitely go Gold Cup though. Paisley Park is solid. Wholestone is very unpredictable but should run well at an EW price, his record here is good.
GW: - Would lay PP, thinks it will drift on the day.
MC: - If Penhill was fit he would have been well backed on day. Not really sure who can beat PP. Would like to lay him but can’t.
AG: - Would be gutted if Faugheen won. Has PP in a big double with BD, will be in the first 3 most definitely. Interest in Wholestone without favourite, great track record and ran on inside LTO here which was the wrong place to be so draw a line through that.
Other races on Day 3
CL: - Ballyboley probably will be retired, Ballyhill a chance in one of the handicaps Crievehill needs it heavy. Splash of Ginge will run his race. Wants to run Arthurs Gift in the Midlands Grand National but owners want Cheltenham.
MC: - Word for Posh Trish in the Mares Novice, no decent money taken on any of the handicaps.
AG: - Barry Geraghty was asked at another preview his handicap horse for the week, he said Sire Du Berlais. Measureofmydreams is said to have a very good chance in the KM, good word for this. Backed Ballyhill for the Browns. Young Master a chance in the KM. Also likes Lust for Glory in the Mares Novice.
Friday – Day 4
Gold Cup
MC: - Prep bad for Presenting Percy and would take on. But no strong opinion with who.
GW: - Rather be on Native River than PP, EW to nothing.
AG: - Concerned about PP with no fences run, race will be run at a gallop and just one mistake can put you out of the race. If soft, Native River is placepot banker. If Good to Soft or better then Road to Respect will run well. Likes Elegant Escape, he is a big old boat and can run on into a place. Clan Des Obeaux does have a chance but a poor record here. Bellshill form is good, times are very good and compare it to one of LBAR’s runs from the 4th fence to the line (LTO).
GL: - Backed BDM at 33/1, thinks it’s his year.
CL: - BDM is a big price and does have some form here. NR is the value, proper stayed, very solid EW. Not really put off by PP’s prep but RSA horses tend to disappoint the following year. Also thinks EE can run into a place.
Other races on Day 4
GW: - Sir Erec lay of the day.
MC: - Think SE will go off odds on but would want to lay him. Been money for Ucello Conti in the Foxhunters.
CL: - Torpillo wants soft if goes in Triumph, thinks Quel Destin had his ground last time and why he hammered Torpillo.
AG: - Also against SE but he may well win, he would rather Tiger Tap Tap though at the prices... Has backed Lisnagar Oscar in the Albert Bartlett, proper contender who has good times. Also had a large bet on Birchdale for same race at 10s. Backed Western Ryder in the County.
NAPS
AG: - Benie (Win) and EW’s on Western Ryder and Highway One o One
CL: - Tiger Roll (Buying Money)
GL: - Footpad
MC: - Real Steel
GW: - Lay Paisley Park
Also noted to back Malaya in the Imperial Cup on Saturday and Muckle Row at Warwick if he goes.
CL also said he had stopped betting since he stopped riding (joking!!)
And keep an eye on Good Boy Bobby when he goes fresh and BDM when he turns up in the National as it will suit (and he should know!!)
Cheltenham Preview Night – Haydock Park (4th March)
Panel
Gareth Leonard (GL) (Compare)
Gay Wiltshire (GW)
Martin Chapman (MC)
Carl Llewelyn (CL)
Andy Gibson (AG)
Day 1 - Tuesday
Supreme Novices Hurdle
CL: - Really likes Al Dancer (obviously he is assistant trainer to NTD). Pulled hard last time out but a fast pace will suit and he will settle better. He has natural speed and will fully see out the trip, however he does wear a hood as he can get excited during the prelims. He also feels Dai will run AD & Angels Breath here. AD is much more straightforward horse than Ballyandy was.
MC: - AD is a decent price and worthy favourite. Nothing has won Betfair Hurdle and the Supreme is a minor negative. Elixir De Nutz will front run and probably set it up for others. Small word for Grand Sancy.
AG: - The time of Al Dancer’s November run is much better than the time that EDN set. Has backed AD and also Fakir Doudairies at an EW price. Prefers the prep of AD than that of AB.
GW: - Cannot see AD being beaten.
Arkle
AG: - Has backed Kalashnikov but it is looking a poor bet now and he has made a mess of the race. Barry Geraghty is fairly confident that Defi Du Seuil will go for the JLT. A lot of front runners in this race.
GL: - Likes Us and Them.
MC: - Also likes Us and Them EW. Bit of EW money has come for Paloma Blue. Keen to take on Lalor, put off by his lack of runs.
GW: - Thinks Knockanauss can run well from the front and a good EW price.
CL: - Fancies Glen Forsa, Doesn’t like Lalor or Kalashnikov.
Champion Hurdle
GW: - Reckons Buveur Dair & Apples Jade will go off joint favourites about 2/1, always does his b*llocks on this race.
MC: - Can’t have Laurina, really not sure who will win though.
CL: - BD is beatable but again not sure who will win, tentative for Apples Jade.
AG: - Laurina’s Tolworth win was slow, in fact the time set by Monsieur Le Coz on same day was quicker. AJ’s times also not that impressive but does have a squeak. BD is now a very backable price and has done a large EW double with Paisley Park (Stayers). Silver Streak (EW) could surprise and run on for a place.
Other races on Day 1
GL mentioned a few of NTD’s other horses and when he got to Ballyarthur, CL said with a straight face he definitely won’t be winning as he’s dead
CL: - Says Go Conquer is still improving but wants him to go to the National. Cogry has every chance in the Ultima and Flying Angel hasn’t progressed as much as they would have liked.
GW: - Likes Cogry EW in the Ultima
MC: - Says Star Sports have laid decent bets on Mr Whitaker (Ultima), Ok Corral (4 miler) and BDD (Mares).
AG: - Says Jerrysback has EW chance in the Ultima. Really likes Highway One O One in the Close Bros and he will front run.
Day 2 – Wednesday
Ballymore
MC: - Champ pulls hard, would lay him. No Challow winner has won this in 16 attempts. Choice is Brewinupastorm
AG: - On Champ at 10s. Barry Geraghty also likes Champ but said Battleoverdoyen was the one to be on.
CL: - Reckons Champs name is a tip in itself as they were waiting for this horse. Does need to settle but faster pace will help.
RSA
CL: - Count Meribel in good form and could have an EW chance, good jumper.
AG: - Thinks Delta Work is a more than reliable favourite, likes his prep. Says Santini been wrong favourite all along. Backed Mortal EW at 33s, will forgive last run.
GL: - Likes Delta Work
MC: - Santini issue is a concern, Delta Work now the right favourite. Topofthegame interesting, Harry Cobden got a b*llocking for the ride when he lost to La Bague Au Roi at Xmas.
GW: - Delta Work
Champion Chase
MC: - Altior went bigger in running last year when he hit his flat spot, may be worth keeping an eye out. No idea why he was jumping to left LTO, maybe he was bored. Gods Own without the favourite may be a nice bet.
AG: - Hell’s Kitchen EW if he runs, his time last time out was phenomenal.
Other races on Day 2
CL: - Torpillo wants it soft, Mr Antolini not progressive enough. Ballyandy is well and could have a chance EW. Owners has messed up Ballymoys chance by insisting on him running too often. Needs more time between races.
MC: - Money for Friend or Foe in the Boodles and Get in the Queue in the Bumper. Put King Roland in your tracker.
GW: - Money has come for Blue Sari
AG: - Tony Martins charity bet is Hannon on the Boodles, Take note.
Thursday – Day 3
JLT
AG: - Backed Lostintranslation and is a strong contender, Defi has a decent chance. No others in it.
GL: - Likes Castafiore EW
MC: - Plenty of money for Real Steel, Daryl Jacob likes Kildistart but MC thinks his jumping is scruffy.
CL: - DDS is the class horse and better value than LIT. Mullins thinks a lot of Real Steel.
GW: - Got to be LIT or DDS, can’t decide.
Ryanair
CL: - Not a great race, hopes UDS goes here. No strong views in an open race.
GL: - NAP is Footpad
GL: - Not sure who will even run.
MC: - Frodon still may come here, has backed Shattered Love & Aso EW at big prices.
AG: - Best to back Top Notch or Fox Norton EW now as once others drop out these would be value. Monalee is a placepot banker.
Stayers
CL: - It was the owners who kept Bristol De Mai in this, will definitely go Gold Cup though. Paisley Park is solid. Wholestone is very unpredictable but should run well at an EW price, his record here is good.
GW: - Would lay PP, thinks it will drift on the day.
MC: - If Penhill was fit he would have been well backed on day. Not really sure who can beat PP. Would like to lay him but can’t.
AG: - Would be gutted if Faugheen won. Has PP in a big double with BD, will be in the first 3 most definitely. Interest in Wholestone without favourite, great track record and ran on inside LTO here which was the wrong place to be so draw a line through that.
Other races on Day 3
CL: - Ballyboley probably will be retired, Ballyhill a chance in one of the handicaps Crievehill needs it heavy. Splash of Ginge will run his race. Wants to run Arthurs Gift in the Midlands Grand National but owners want Cheltenham.
MC: - Word for Posh Trish in the Mares Novice, no decent money taken on any of the handicaps.
AG: - Barry Geraghty was asked at another preview his handicap horse for the week, he said Sire Du Berlais. Measureofmydreams is said to have a very good chance in the KM, good word for this. Backed Ballyhill for the Browns. Young Master a chance in the KM. Also likes Lust for Glory in the Mares Novice.
Friday – Day 4
Gold Cup
MC: - Prep bad for Presenting Percy and would take on. But no strong opinion with who.
GW: - Rather be on Native River than PP, EW to nothing.
AG: - Concerned about PP with no fences run, race will be run at a gallop and just one mistake can put you out of the race. If soft, Native River is placepot banker. If Good to Soft or better then Road to Respect will run well. Likes Elegant Escape, he is a big old boat and can run on into a place. Clan Des Obeaux does have a chance but a poor record here. Bellshill form is good, times are very good and compare it to one of LBAR’s runs from the 4th fence to the line (LTO).
GL: - Backed BDM at 33/1, thinks it’s his year.
CL: - BDM is a big price and does have some form here. NR is the value, proper stayed, very solid EW. Not really put off by PP’s prep but RSA horses tend to disappoint the following year. Also thinks EE can run into a place.
Other races on Day 4
GW: - Sir Erec lay of the day.
MC: - Think SE will go off odds on but would want to lay him. Been money for Ucello Conti in the Foxhunters.
CL: - Torpillo wants soft if goes in Triumph, thinks Quel Destin had his ground last time and why he hammered Torpillo.
AG: - Also against SE but he may well win, he would rather Tiger Tap Tap though at the prices... Has backed Lisnagar Oscar in the Albert Bartlett, proper contender who has good times. Also had a large bet on Birchdale for same race at 10s. Backed Western Ryder in the County.
NAPS
AG: - Benie (Win) and EW’s on Western Ryder and Highway One o One
CL: - Tiger Roll (Buying Money)
GL: - Footpad
MC: - Real Steel
GW: - Lay Paisley Park
Also noted to back Malaya in the Imperial Cup on Saturday and Muckle Row at Warwick if he goes.
CL also said he had stopped betting since he stopped riding (joking!!)
And keep an eye on Good Boy Bobby when he goes fresh and BDM when he turns up in the National as it will suit (and he should know!!)
This shouldn't be lost
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