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Innoko reminded me earlier about a bet I placed last year, it was Buveur D'air / Apple's Jade in a "scumbag" each way double.... obviously Apple's Jade didn't win (wounded), but the bet did land for a small profit, and I would place that bet again without hesitation as I thought it was bombproof (albeit it was NRNB).
People will have very different views on what the "best" each way double would be at this stage of the season. No doubt mine would chance depending on what time of year it was too... but let's open up some discussion and ideas on a decent bet we could all see placing at the very least?
Things to consider are (in no order)
Target being 100%
Price
(minimum of 4/1)
Injury proneness (Do they have a poor history?)
Trainer
Jockey
Course record
Festival record
Likely number of runners in the race
Potential to shorten
Loads of other stuff...
Probably too early to really get stuck in, but my early thoughts are:
43/1 (WH)
Penhill 7/1
Presenting Percy 5/1 (9/2 in the double)
Penhill hasn't been mentioned for a little while, and probably won't for a while longer, as he is only going to have a max 1 run before Cheltenham (if at all).... but he's won the Albert Bartlett, then the Stayers and multiple horses have won multiple Stayers Hurdles in recent years (implying it's never a deep division with a lot of new competition). It's been argued neither of his festival wins were a true test of stamina, but I'd counter that - 1. There is no proof it would be again a 3rd time, and 2. He may well be just as good off a strong gallop! I think he's absolutely rock solid at 7/1. When you compare his price as a duel fesitval winner to a horse like Lalor, Santini, Native River it's crazy really)
Presenting Percy won the RSA with such authority that I haven't seen anyone knock him since. He is a two time festival winner, will have the superb Davy Russell on board and has shown he acts on any ground. Last year's Gold Cup became a two horse race, so you could arguably rule out anything other than Might Bite and NAtive River from last year, and Might Bite is on a huge recovery mission now. Native River is not good enough to be a 2-time Gold Cup winner, even if it was the same ground. I know that isn't a strong case against, but come on... Native River who couldn't beat Minella Rocco over 4 miles? A two-time Gold Cup winner? No chance.
Penhill and Presenting Percy or P,PP as I'll refer to them as from now on both have incredible win chances, and I expect both to have a say in March. (2x Dual festival winners, targets guarenteed, 'THE' best jockey available (Ruby over hurdles, Davy of Fences), no ground concerns, no serious rivals from the novice ranks.
I had 1.5 pts ew at 69/1 back in August but 43/1 is more than fair...
People will have very different views on what the "best" each way double would be at this stage of the season. No doubt mine would chance depending on what time of year it was too... but let's open up some discussion and ideas on a decent bet we could all see placing at the very least?
Things to consider are (in no order)
Target being 100%
Price
(minimum of 4/1)Injury proneness (Do they have a poor history?)
Trainer
Jockey
Course record
Festival record
Likely number of runners in the race
Potential to shorten
Loads of other stuff...
Probably too early to really get stuck in, but my early thoughts are:
43/1 (WH)
Penhill 7/1
Presenting Percy 5/1 (9/2 in the double)
Penhill hasn't been mentioned for a little while, and probably won't for a while longer, as he is only going to have a max 1 run before Cheltenham (if at all).... but he's won the Albert Bartlett, then the Stayers and multiple horses have won multiple Stayers Hurdles in recent years (implying it's never a deep division with a lot of new competition). It's been argued neither of his festival wins were a true test of stamina, but I'd counter that - 1. There is no proof it would be again a 3rd time, and 2. He may well be just as good off a strong gallop! I think he's absolutely rock solid at 7/1. When you compare his price as a duel fesitval winner to a horse like Lalor, Santini, Native River it's crazy really)
Presenting Percy won the RSA with such authority that I haven't seen anyone knock him since. He is a two time festival winner, will have the superb Davy Russell on board and has shown he acts on any ground. Last year's Gold Cup became a two horse race, so you could arguably rule out anything other than Might Bite and NAtive River from last year, and Might Bite is on a huge recovery mission now. Native River is not good enough to be a 2-time Gold Cup winner, even if it was the same ground. I know that isn't a strong case against, but come on... Native River who couldn't beat Minella Rocco over 4 miles? A two-time Gold Cup winner? No chance.
Penhill and Presenting Percy or P,PP as I'll refer to them as from now on both have incredible win chances, and I expect both to have a say in March. (2x Dual festival winners, targets guarenteed, 'THE' best jockey available (Ruby over hurdles, Davy of Fences), no ground concerns, no serious rivals from the novice ranks.
I had 1.5 pts ew at 69/1 back in August but 43/1 is more than fair...
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