Arkle/Marsh/RSA/NH Chase - Novice Chasers 2021 (new)

[Run4Home]

Was this an interview today or an article Crowley?

https://twitter.com/i/status/1320802719951716353

[jonthehammer]

Galvin now best price 7/1.

[ComplyOrDie]

Just to note Andy Dufresne has been pushed out by the yard sponsors to 25/1 for the Arkle this morning, after being 16/1 straight after the race. They are now the stand out price for him in that particular race, which historically is a big negative. The Marsh remains his shortest priced option with them currently.

Edit: Just seen Gordon had said he'll likely step out in trip, so this will be why.

[doctorwu]

Cheers Q, he already looks a much better fav than Cs was last year albeit he started later but he's getting hard to knock.
Top jock
Top trainer
Top rated(prob)

I just get a feeling Paul Nolans Latest Exhibition could end up here. He looks the perfect type for this imo. Only a hunch, but im expecting some solid performances just short of an RSA tilt. Paul won't be doing a Tizzard with this horse imo.

[Outlaw]

I just get a feeling Paul Nolans Latest Exhibition could end up here. He looks the perfect type for this imo. Only a hunch, but im expecting some solid performances just short of an RSA tilt. Paul won't be doing a Tizzard with this horse imo.

There will be worthy horses lining up with such a warm 3m division potentially of that I have no doubt. Just got plenty in his favour even this far out was all.

[FaugheenTheMachine]

Galvin could go off very short.......unless Patrick gets The Big Getaway in here as he already seems to be trying to

[Kevloaf]

Galvin could go off very short.......unless Patrick gets The Big Getaway in here as he already seems to be trying to

I think the sensible play (for anyone now on Galvin) is to try and act quickly when the Mullins runner becomes apparent.

Derek O'Connor's mount will warrent respect too, if it's a JP runner like Dickie Diver perhaps?



After that, the prices will probably be fair enough about the others if anything takes anyones fancy. Maybe not ante post prospects for that reason (without NRNB anyway)

[Can't Catch Me]

Galvin now best price 7/1.

Still looks a very fair price to me. Will keep adding him into multiples and an ideal one to keep chucking free bets at imo.

[Faugheen_Machine]

Still looks a very fair price to me. Will keep adding him into multiples and an ideal one to keep chucking free bets at imo.

Totally agree CCM. He'll be a third of the current price without having to run again.

[Kevloaf]

Still looks a very fair price to me. Will keep adding him into multiples and an ideal one to keep chucking free bets at imo.

Totally agree CCM. He'll be a third of the current price without having to run again.

What do we think the true NRNB price should be and will be?

[Istabraq]

What do we think the true NRNB price should be and will be?

Galvin ?
1 Jan Sky my guess, and they'll price him around 2/1, they'll also have him short ish for the RSA I'd say, maybe 8/1...

[Vautour]

Are there many other potential Mullins horses other than Aione, Five oclock and The Big Getaway?

I cant think of any others that might genuinely go here.

[Can't Catch Me]

What do we think the true NRNB price should be and will be?

I thought the same as Ista. Would guess around 2/1, 9/4 NRNB

[Outlaw]

What do we think the true NRNB price should be and will be?

I think they would go 5/2 NRNB, often those at that range can creep out bigger on the day(especially if it's heavy some will mention stamina etc)and they are short enough beforehand for many not to bother bar multis.I would be surprised if they went 3s or bigger tbh & even with a strong Mullins contender confirmed as you'd expect the Codd factor certainly trumps Patrick.

[Kevloaf]

Galvin ?
1 Jan Sky my guess, and they'll price him around 2/1, they'll also have him short ish for the RSA I'd say, maybe 8/1...

I thought the same as Ista. Would guess around 2/1, 9/4 NRNB

I think they would go 5/2 NRNB, often those at that range can creep out bigger on the day(especially if it's heavy some will mention stamina etc)and they are short enough beforehand for many not to bother bar multis.I would be surprised if they went 3s or bigger tbh & even with a strong Mullins contender confirmed as you'd expect the Codd factor certainly trumps Patrick.

If accurate, I can see why 7/1 is tempting now still for people?

I think 3/1 is going to be available.... the momentum will be behind whatever Mullins and/or JP end up having..... Galvin could get a bit forgotten? (I know he won't on here, but we're a small and quite insular bunch in the grand scheme)