Ballymore Novice Hurdle 2019

[robith]

I've not given up on him yet. He had to carry 5lb more for starters. He is still value for a place IMHO.

I don't think that was his true running myself, and the clock would suggest that too.

On January 1st he ran over the same C&D, under the same conditions (officially stated), in 4m 59.70s, the weekend just gone Birchdale managed to win in 5m 5.10s, so can assume Jarvey's Plate was a good 4s (approx) behind Birchdale at around 5m 9s, some 10s slower than his previous, which as already stated was over C&D and same conditions. Obviously I know that no 2 races are the same, but it is there for thought.

I personally think the 5lb took its toll on him, and indeed any penalty for a novice hurdler to carry is, IMO, more penalising than a seasoned horse, as they are still only learning the game. But it is something he won't have to worry about at the festival.

I see he is now out to 33's which I think is quite the price myself.

For clarity CoD, I think he's my answer for the reasons you list - the 33/1 is incredibly tempting to go in on - I just would have felt a bit more confident if he hadn't looked a tad lethargic on the bend. But I'm a big fan in C&D form, and that's a win and a place, even if the later was fortuitous

[Quevega]

https://www.racingpost.com/news/latest/under-the-radar-three-smaller-trainers-to-follow-at-the-dublin-racing-festival/363652

For fans of Dunvegan, pretty positive comments I'd say. Could be in bartlett thread also.

[TC2]

Olly Murphy on Brewin'upastorm:

“He’s absolutely fine. He came home sound as a pound, and there’s not a bother on him,” said the Warwickshire-based trainer.

“It was disappointing, obviously, but that’s jumps racing for you. We’ll just move on and look forward to March.

“He’s not a bad jumper, and I don’t think he’s the kind of horse that would have his confidence knocked by a fall.

“We’ll get plenty of schooling into him between now and the Festival, and he’ll go straight there now.

“He’ll more than likely go for the Ballymore. He’ll be entered in a couple of handicaps – but the Ballymore is the plan.”

thats good news - was worried at one point (he was clearly a bit dazed!)

[ComplyOrDie]

https://www.racingpost.com/news/late...estival/363652

For fans of Dunvegan, pretty positive comments I'd say. Could be in bartlett thread also.

I like Dunvegan, looks a very useful animal. Will be interesting to see how he goes @ the DRF.

[ComplyOrDie]

A bit late now as its only several weeks away, but just seen this, Birchdales PTP win - http://youtu.be/aJX1tRB9gRA

[Quevega]

A bit late now as its only several weeks away, but just seen this, Birchdales PTP win - http://youtu.be/aJX1tRB9gRA

Don't think we need another debate about it, but the market seems to have ignored trainer comments re- birchdale and most have him shorter for the bartlett.
I don;t really care cos I don't think he'll win either and have him backed at 28's for both.
I'd imagine it's simply bookies and a few punters assuming a separation, when I think this forum has concluded by majority that's not necessarily gonna happen.

[ComplyOrDie]

Don't think we need another debate about it, but the market seems to have ignored trainer comments re- birchdale and most have him shorter for the bartlett.
I don;t really care cos I don't think he'll win either and have him backed at 28's for both.
I'd imagine it's simply bookies and a few punters assuming a separation, when I think this forum has concluded by majority that's not necessarily gonna happen.

Just by default I put it on this thread, as this was where he had been mentioned the most. Certainly wasn't put up in here to spark target debate that's for sure.

[Kevloaf]

I don;t really care cos I don't think he'll win either and have him backed at 28's for both.
.

You should have that as your signature

[Outlaw]

I like Dunvegan, looks a very useful animal. Will be interesting to see how he goes @ the DRF.

He was as big as 80 or 85 on exchange early last week , i instantly thought ahh that doesn't look good thinking trainer might not want to bring him over and just stay in Ireland rest of the season with Lepo then further spring festivals I am expecting a good run at the weekend and be fascinated to hear any future plans.

[ComplyOrDie]

Not that it will mean an awful lot until they meet again but Brewin'upastorm been rated 1lb higher than Birchdale by Timeform.

[Kevloaf]

FM - Thomas Darby - Ballymore, 25/1

Did you cash? I'm on the fence.

[Quevega]

Not that it will mean an awful lot until they meet again but Brewin'upastorm been rated 1lb higher than Birchdale by Timeform.

I'd definitely back brewin to beat birchdale next time. would you ? assuming they're about the same price that is.

[Quevega]

FM - Thomas Darby - Ballymore, 25/1

Did you cash? I'm on the fence.

I'm sure trainer has stated supreme - today on ATR

Already a winner at Cheltenham this season, the six-year-old made the most of having his sights lowered when bolting up at Taunton earlier this month, and the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle is likely to be his next port of call.

Murphy added: “He’s in good form. He had a quiet enough 10 days after Taunton, and the plan is to go straight to the Supreme.

“Again, he’ll probably be entered in a couple of handicaps. But all being well, he’ll end up in the Supreme – and if he gets a bit of nice spring ground I hope he’ll have a good each-way chance.”

[Kevloaf]

I'm sure trainer has stated supreme - today on ATR

Already a winner at Cheltenham this season, the six-year-old made the most of having his sights lowered when bolting up at Taunton earlier this month, and the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle is likely to be his next port of call.

Murphy added: “He’s in good form. He had a quiet enough 10 days after Taunton, and the plan is to go straight to the Supreme.

“Again, he’ll probably be entered in a couple of handicaps. But all being well, he’ll end up in the Supreme – and if he gets a bit of nice spring ground I hope he’ll have a good each-way chance.”

Yeah, cashed out now. I knew he'd said that, I just tink he'd be good over further.... but doesn't look like I'll find out, might be a bit of a NRNB price a few weeks from now anyway just in case.

[ComplyOrDie]

I'd definitely back brewin to beat birchdale next time. would you ? assuming they're about the same price that is.

It looked as though that was going to happen over the weekend, and I have both covered, though Brewin'upastorm only in multiples, but Birchdale for me is the likelier for progression IMO.

I'm happy with my current situation though, so no need to worry in terms of form being overturned etc...