Announcement

Collapse
1 of 2 < >

Crowdfunder - Fat Jockey Forum upgrade

Hello Fat Jockeys,

Upgrading the Fat Jockey forum!: https://www.crowdfunder.co.uk/p/fatjockeyforum

We're looking to upgrade the 'hosting CPU' so I've set up a crowdfunding project.

I would love it if you could donate using the link below to access my project page. Any contribution large or small will be hugely appreciated. Thank you.

Kevloaf @ Fat Jockey
2 of 2 < >

Fat Jockey Patrons

HELP US - Become a Patron - Fat Jockey is a horse racing community focused on all the big races in the UK and Ireland. We don't charge users but if you have found the site useful then any support towards the running costs is appreciated ... a small donation each month would be a huge contribution.
Become a Patron!
See more
See less

Ballymore Novice Hurdle 2019

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Apologies that this was covered a few days back, but Thomas Darby is 25/1 for this race still with 365 (as short as 12s with PP) and just HAS to be one for a step up in trip doesn't he?

    Lost very little in defeat, didn't jump as nicely as DTLUOT but clearly a very, very talented horse.

    I already had him backed at 25/1 for this rac,e and seeing him the same price I want to back him again.

    Any thoughts?

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
      Apologies that this was covered a few days back, but Thomas Darby is 25/1 for this race still with 365 (as short as 12s with PP) and just HAS to be one for a step up in trip doesn't he?

      Lost very little in defeat, didn't jump as nicely as DTLUOT but clearly a very, very talented horse.

      I already had him backed at 25/1 for this rac,e and seeing him the same price I want to back him again.

      Any thoughts?
      I really like him Kev and think there is loads of improvement to come as he hasn't a clue what he's doing at the moment. Agree that a step up in trip will suit.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
        Apologies that this was covered a few days back, but Thomas Darby is 25/1 for this race still with 365 (as short as 12s with PP) and just HAS to be one for a step up in trip doesn't he?

        Lost very little in defeat, didn't jump as nicely as DTLUOT but clearly a very, very talented horse.

        I already had him backed at 25/1 for this rac,e and seeing him the same price I want to back him again.

        Any thoughts?
        I disagree as I think the supreme will suit better, a strongly run 2 miles on a stiffer track seems to my eye to be perfect for now. And up against what I regard as a pacey horse last time he wasn't found out for speed.
        I've backed him for supreme, but wouldn't for the Ballymore.
        Having said all that the trainer may well disagree and go here, if so, I'll let it run at this stage unless I see something before March to change my mind.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by quevega View Post
          I disagree as I think the supreme will suit better, a strongly run 2 miles on a stiffer track seems to my eye to be perfect for now. And up against what I regard as a pacey horse last time he wasn't found out for speed.
          I've backed him for supreme, but wouldn't for the Ballymore.
          Having said all that the trainer may well disagree and go here, if so, I'll let it run at this stage unless I see something before March to change my mind.
          I thought about the strongly run race angle and that could suit, but my gut feeling was now that he's been beaten over 1m7f, they'll at least attempt him over further next time before making a decision? I figure I can react then - (I do already have him backed for the Supreme as well for the same odds and stake) - so will be cashing one out.

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
            I thought about the strongly run race angle and that could suit, but my gut feeling was now that he's been beaten over 1m7f, they'll at least attempt him over further next time before making a decision? I figure I can react then - (I do already have him backed for the Supreme as well for the same odds and stake) - so will be cashing one out.
            That wasn't a true running LTO IMHO.

            They crawled through the first part of the race and think Thomas Darby ran a cracker with absolutely nothing to aim at, unlike what he will be able aim at in the Supreme.

            Definitely in the Supreme camp for him personally. Yard also have Brewin'upastorm & Itchy Feet as potential hopes for either race too.

            Owner has had hardly any Ballymore runners in the past but has had a fair few Supreme runners, whether that will have any bearing I honestly doubt but had considered it initially myself.

            Comment


            • Kev,
              Itchy feet: He'll have a little break before going on to Musselburgh for the Supreme trial and possibly back to Cheltenham for the Supreme?
              Brewinupastorm could be Murphys Ballymore horse?? not sure where TD goes??????????

              Comment


              • Originally posted by doctorwu View Post
                Kev,
                Itchy feet: He'll have a little break before going on to Musselburgh for the Supreme trial and possibly back to Cheltenham for the Supreme?
                Brewinupastorm could be Murphys Ballymore horse?? not sure where TD goes??????????
                No evidence to suggest what Olly Murphy would do in regards to spliting horses really at festivals so I'll see how the land lies I guess.

                I'm not as keen on Itchy Feet as Thomas Darby, on the form line with Elixir De Nutz and Brewin' hasn't had a run yet so too early to worry?

                Comment


                • Kev,
                  If any of those 3 make the festival Olly will have them ready, and they won't disappoint imo. You can count on that.

                  Comment


                  • I think the likes of DTLYOT TD itchy feet elixir de nutz are early bench marks. So I can see why people fancy them early. But there's a whole host of serious novices set to come out as we'll see shortly. They've got far bigger tests ahead than just racing each other.

                    My way
                    Blackbow
                    Tornado flyer
                    Carefully selected
                    Rhinestone
                    Royal rendezvous
                    Quick grabim
                    Column of fire
                    Commander of fleet
                    Downtown getaway
                    Dlauro
                    Cool getaway
                    Allaho
                    Dento des obeaux
                    Elderado allen
                    Annamix
                    ....................

                    Are all serious prospects
                    https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
                    Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by doctorwu View Post
                      Kev,
                      If any of those 3 make the festival Olly will have them ready, and they won't disappoint imo. You can count on that.
                      I'm not sure any trainers don't get them ready for Cheltenham though.

                      Olly Murphy has zero festival winners so far, I'll not get too carried away by his genius just yet.

                      Long way to go for him until he's at the level of Skelton, let alone Elliott.


                      ALthough I obviously hope this year is his big breakthrough, I don't think it can be counted on just yet?

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post
                        I think the likes of DTLYOT TD itchy feet elixir de nutz are early bench marks. So I can see why people fancy them early. But there's a whole host of serious novices set to come out as we'll see shortly. They've got far bigger tests ahead than just racing each other.

                        My way
                        Blackbow
                        Tornado flyer
                        Carefully selected
                        Rhinestone
                        Royal rendezvous
                        Quick grabim
                        Column of fire
                        Commander of fleet
                        Downtown getaway
                        Dlauro
                        Cool getaway
                        Allaho
                        Dento des obeaux
                        Elderado allen
                        Annamix
                        ....................

                        Are all serious prospects
                        I really like the look of Column Of Fire going forward. I know Gordon tends to split up his better chances at the festival so with Commander Of Fleet looking like he’s Ballymore bound at present where looks the most likely destination for Column of Fire do you think? Not sure he has the pace for the Supreme, too good for the Martin Pipe maybe...

                        He’s entered up for a couple of maiden hurdles in Ireland over the next few days (2m & 2m 2f), might be a good time to get him onside!
                        Last edited by SeanRock; 27 November 2018, 09:59 PM.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by SeanRock View Post
                          I really like the look of Column Of Fire going forward. I know Gordon tends to split up his better chances at the festival so with Commander Of Fleet looking like he’s Ballymore bound at present where looks the most likely destination for Column of Fire do you think? Not sure he has the pace for the Supreme, too good for the Martin Pipe maybe...

                          He’s entered up for a couple of maiden hurdles in Ireland over the next few days (2m & 2m 2f), might be a good time to get him onside!
                          Not sure . If your quick enough you might get a big any race price as they'd still have him down as a bumper horse. I'd think he'd be a ballymore horse myself. Whether that means COF would go else where I dont know. Worth noting he's not really done anything yet. Vibes are stronger on him than commander of fleet imo. But his bumper he won last time was awful. So the pair might not be world beaters. Too early to say because as it stands they're very nice prospects. We'll learn more as they go up in grade.


                          ********
                          We'll see a nice novice for this at the weekend.
                          Last edited by Scooby91; 27 November 2018, 10:21 PM.
                          https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
                          Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post
                            Not sure . If your quick enough you might get a big any race price as they'd still have him down as a bumper horse. I'd think he'd be a ballymore horse myself. Whether that means COF would go else where I dont know. Worth noting he's not really done anything yet. Vibes are stronger on him than commander of fleet imo. But his bumper he won last time was awful. So the pair might not be world beaters. Too early to say as there nice prospects and eill step up in time.
                            True enough they do both look Ballymore types to me aswell, incidentally the race Column Of Fire is entered up for at Fairyhouse on Sunday is the race Blow By Blow was done on the line by Discorama last year, reversed 1st & 2nd in the Martin Pipe??? (probably reading between the lines a little too much there tbh).

                            Awful pity Ladbrokes have done away with there any race market. Think the only way of requesting a price from Hills through twitter and I don't tweet.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by SeanRock View Post
                              True enough they do both look Ballymore types to me aswell, incidentally the race Column Of Fire is entered up for at Fairyhouse on Sunday is the race Blow By Blow was done on the line by Discorama last year, reversed 1st & 2nd in the Martin Pipe??? (probably reading between the lines a little too much there tbh).

                              Awful pity Ladbrokes have done away with there any race market. Think the only way of requesting a price from Hills through twitter and I don't tweet.
                              Really annoying with lads. I believe iv made very good use of it while it lasted anyway. With any luck it will come back, unfortunately Dosent look like it though. Paddy have pretty much scrapped it too.
                              https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
                              Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

                              Comment


                              • Regarding Thomas Darby likely festival target , I just wonder does this particular horses owners has a say in designated targets.

                                Both Captain Chris and Menorah made winning festival debuts at 2 miles (arkle & supreme) though both became regulars at running over further. Does suggest Mrs Whateley buys horses for longevity , and no better way to achieving that by not sending them further than breeding suggests in their younger days.

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X