Been looking through this again as whilst I have a couple of points on GF, I can’t help feeling that he is a weak fav and whilst like many of others on here find the race uninspiring, there must be another angle. I’d previously discounted DDG on grounds of its run behind CE and that clearly he was considered some way behind that one. However if CE was running in this now, I think he would be a nigh on certainty and perhaps by employing the front running tactics they have finally found the key with DDG... in all of his previous races where he has often flattered to deceive, he has been held up off the pace. Add into this his arguable career best effort at the Fez last year, I think 7s is generous... probably be more like half the price if Ruby was up.
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Arkle 2019
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Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View PostBest of luck WC - hope he runs a great race your yourself and all connections. There won't be a dry eye in the house if he gets his head in front.
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I've backed Lalor at 33/1 so hoping for a good showing, but says a lot about this year that I'd probably only come out of the Arkle about evens...
My main fancy is Hardline. Would not have been near the top of the list two months ago, but he's going to appreciate the ground and actually he's got some of the best graded chase form left in the race (with Getabird, LBAR etc). If it gets really soft I can see Duc Des Genievres going well but I think the trips probably on the short side... but he did come second in a soft ground Deloitte
All in all I think I'm buggered on this race anyway but first day bullishness has me wading back in
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Excluding places... for me to make profit in this race I need Lalor, Hardline or Slate House to win...
Which given I'm starting 35 pts down in non runners, is pretty remarkable
Best of luck with Lalor WC
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Hardline is going to shorten isn't he.....
Sporting Life:
The Arkle sees its biggest field since 2010 and a far more open contest than usual (last four favourites have won, all at odds-on). One element of the race that should be guaranteed is pace with several of these looking likely to go forward including the leading contender Glen Forsa who looks assured in the jumping department. A well-run race is sure to suit two of the Irish contenders in HARDLINE and Duc De Genievres both of whom have scored over further. The former is a powerful traveller whilst the latter represents Willie Mullins who has trained three of the last four winners. Testing ground would prove a problem for Lalor while Kalashnikov needs to bounce back from a poor run last time.
- Hardline
- Duc Des Genievres
- Glen Forsa
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostHardline is going to shorten isn't he.....
Sporting Life:
The Arkle sees its biggest field since 2010 and a far more open contest than usual (last four favourites have won, all at odds-on). One element of the race that should be guaranteed is pace with several of these looking likely to go forward including the leading contender Glen Forsa who looks assured in the jumping department. A well-run race is sure to suit two of the Irish contenders in HARDLINE and Duc De Genievres both of whom have scored over further. The former is a powerful traveller whilst the latter represents Willie Mullins who has trained three of the last four winners. Testing ground would prove a problem for Lalor while Kalashnikov needs to bounce back from a poor run last time.
- Hardline
- Duc Des Genievres
- Glen Forsa
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Slate House. Is 66/1 too big?
B365 with give you 25/1 with the first 6 places included.
It just seems too big to me.
I can’t find an angle into the race.
I don’t like any of the first few in the market at their prices. I backed and cashed out Articulum. Price has gone on Hardline.
Knocknanuss I like but I fear a pace burn-up.
So, I come down on Us and Them, Articulum and Slate House at each way prices. Not a clue!
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The Arkle is looking at me likeright now
I am soooo out of position it's unreal. I'll be the one cheering on SLATE HOUSE - I have no idea who my AP selection from the start of the season is still going with this one, it MUST be a sign!!!!
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