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National Hunt Chase (4 miler) 2019

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  • Originally posted by monkfish View Post
    Relax and back Ballyward.
    On the back of just 2 chase starts?

    Would need to be some animal

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    • Same as OK Corral and CC.

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      • Since becoming Graded, no winner with less than 3 chase runs.
        5 of the last nine had competed in at least nine chases

        The problem is with this stats is not many will meet them this year, I certainly believe the best two horses in the race is the top two in the betting and the stats will go out of the window this year.. if not start looking for a 25/1 winner...

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        • Originally posted by monkfish View Post
          Same as OK Corral and CC.
          Haha yeah, this was mentioned yesterday - I was just literally reading the stats page about Willie Mullins smashing trends on Gaultstats and Ballyward is one that he will have to break down this year


          I did say very recently too, if I was having a bet now, it'd be on Ballyward.

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          • Nicky asked if Ok Coral will stay 4m, that was hardly a resounding yes

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            • Ok Coral and Champagne classic go for RSA is it Ballywards to lose?

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              • Originally posted by Big Bucks View Post
                Ok Coral and Champagne classic go for RSA is it Ballywards to lose?
                Ok Corral will not go for RSA Nicky said they will stick to the plan.

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                • Originally posted by boopa View Post
                  Ok Corral will not go for RSA Nicky said they will stick to the plan.
                  I dont think CC will go either, dont see why they would run against Delta Work. But its gunna be a long week!

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                  • JOB said Mortal is 50/50 RSA/NHC looks like it's a decision between those two for back up to DW.

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                    • Originally posted by boopa View Post
                      JOB said Mortal is 50/50 RSA/NHC looks like it's a decision between those two for back up to DW.
                      Do we think Gun Diggers destination is linked to the outcome of this discussion? If GE is forced to run CC in the RSA against DW then GD will run here?

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                      • If Champagne Classic goes RSA and Gun Digger is indeed Lisa O’Neill’s ride, who is Codd riding?

                        Either Mortal, or ???

                        I’ve cashed my 20/1 CC bet for decent profit. If he runs, I will consider going back in. Though after Jury Duty last year, I’m not sure Gordy knows the right type for this.

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                        • Originally posted by cpfcpatriot View Post
                          If Champagne Classic goes RSA and Gun Digger is indeed Lisa O’Neill’s ride, who is Codd riding?

                          Either Mortal, or ???

                          I’ve cashed my 20/1 CC bet for decent profit. If he runs, I will consider going back in. Though after Jury Duty last year, I’m not sure Gordy knows the right type for this.
                          Very much hope Codd will be riding Mister Malarky in this. Always thought this horse was the likely winner if he came here and Codd on board only reinforces that in my mind.

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                          • Originally posted by DonnyBoy View Post
                            Very much hope Codd will be riding Mister Malarky in this. Always thought this horse was the likely winner if he came here and Codd on board only reinforces that in my mind.
                            He can't, can he?!

                            I can't see it...

                            That would be a huge plunge if Codd is on.

                            Can't see it still.

                            Still.

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                            • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                              He can't, can he?!

                              I can't see it...

                              That would be a huge plunge if Codd is on.

                              Can't see it still.

                              Still.
                              I think with the stamina in the pedigree and the fluent jumping especially with a top man like Codd on board, and a plunge would be well justified imo.

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                              • I reckon Codd ends up on Gun Digger here.... just a hunch

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