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National Hunt Chase (4 miler) 2019

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  • JP has Tower Bridge to fit in somewhere to, being campaigned over a trip I suspect is too short currently, could well lead to a handicap (Kim Muir?), though needs another run for a mark.

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    • Originally posted by jono View Post
      Henderson on Ok Corral
      Positive

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      • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
        JP has Tower Bridge to fit in somewhere to, being campaigned over a trip I suspect is too short currently, could well lead to a handicap (Kim Muir?), though needs another run for a mark.
        Yeah Tower Bridge will be under 145 for sure. And he's crying out for 3 miles+
        Shady Operator another

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        • N.Henderson never won this race. Huge stat to overcome.

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          • Originally posted by doctorwu View Post
            N.Henderson never won this race. Huge stat to overcome.
            Is that really a 'huge stat' for him to overcome though? How many horses with decent chances has he had?

            Would you be against a Willie Mullins horse in a Gold Cup just because he's never won it before?

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            • Originally posted by Can't Catch Me View Post
              Is that really a 'huge stat' for him to overcome though? How many horses with decent chances has he had?

              Would you be against a Willie Mullins horse in a Gold Cup just because he's never won it before?
              I agree it's a significant hurdle because for me to have trained for as long as Hendo has, and to have won so many festival races, it suggests hid training style/strategy doesn't lend itself to 4 milers at Cheltenham.
              Possibly he doesn't have the call on the best amateurs ? Though he's had the services of the dentist so this perhaps less of an issue.
              This is a unique race, I think it does require specific training regime, as does the cross country....

              Comment


              • Originally posted by doctorwu View Post
                N.Henderson never won this race. Huge stat to overcome.
                Not sure he's had a horse 'good enough' that he's put in the race tbh. The last 5 runnings he had the following:

                2018 - Reigning Supreme - rated 134, finally won a beginners chase in November on a flat track (Kempton), besides that he's struggled at around 3m+, including in his PTP's.

                2017 - Beware The Bear - rated just 120 over hurdles, lacks class? Had 3 runs over 3m 3f and has been PU twice and finished a distance behind Tiger Roll in this, doesn't stay the trip?

                2016 - No runner

                2015 - No runner

                2014 - No runner

                Not really sure how much of a stat this is as only gone back the last 5 races but OK Corral is certainly rated highly enough, and will likely be Henderson's best ever chance, to date, to land this race I suspect.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
                  Not sure he's had a horse 'good enough' that he's put in the race tbh. The last 5 runnings he had the following:

                  2018 - Reigning Supreme - rated 134, finally won a beginners chase in November on a flat track (Kempton), besides that he's struggled at around 3m+, including in his PTP's.

                  2017 - Beware The Bear - rated just 120 over hurdles, lacks class? Had 3 runs over 3m 3f and has been PU twice and finished a distance behind Tiger Roll in this, doesn't stay the trip?

                  2016 - No runner

                  2015 - No runner

                  2014 - No runner

                  Not really sure how much of a stat this is as only gone back the last 5 races but OK Corral is certainly rated highly enough, and will likely be Henderson's best ever chance, to date, to land this race I suspect.
                  Personally think Mr whipped is his best chance. Certainly a higher class of runners anyway.
                  https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
                  Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

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                  • Originally posted by Can't Catch Me View Post
                    Is that really a 'huge stat' for him to overcome though? How many horses with decent chances has he had?

                    Would you be against a Willie Mullins horse in a Gold Cup just because he's never won it before?
                    I'd imagine he would from memory.

                    I'd agree with you though CCM, and he's have plenty of the strong trends in his favour too, owner, jockey, a high rating, previous festival form

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
                      Not sure he's had a horse 'good enough' that he's put in the race tbh. The last 5 runnings he had the following:

                      2018 - Reigning Supreme - rated 134, finally won a beginners chase in November on a flat track (Kempton), besides that he's struggled at around 3m+, including in his PTP's.

                      2017 - Beware The Bear - rated just 120 over hurdles, lacks class? Had 3 runs over 3m 3f and has been PU twice and finished a distance behind Tiger Roll in this, doesn't stay the trip?

                      2016 - No runner

                      2015 - No runner

                      2014 - No runner

                      Not really sure how much of a stat this is as only gone back the last 5 races but OK Corral is certainly rated highly enough, and will likely be Henderson's best ever chance, to date, to land this race I suspect.
                      Beware the Bear may lack the class. But he certainly stays the trip.

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Middle_Of_March View Post
                        Beware the Bear may lack the class. But he certainly stays the trip.
                        Definitely lacks the class!

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post
                          Personally think Mr whipped is his best chance. Certainly a higher class of runners anyway.
                          You just have a thing for Grech & Parkin

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                          • Mr Whipped will be better next season. Big baby.

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                            • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
                              You just have a thing for Grech & Parkin
                              I genuinely think hes a better chance and more suited to this.

                              All be it I'm wearing my G&P cufflinks. Waiting for it to rain to get the G&P umbrella out
                              https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
                              Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by boopa View Post
                                Mr Whipped will be better next season. Big baby.
                                National Horse Mr Whipped for me, could plug on and run well in four miler though.

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