J.L.T Novices Chase 2019

[charlie]

You’ll see on the RSA thread SeanRock has previously made a good case for TOTG in that race. His entry on Saturday over 3 miles which he is most likely to take this weekend would suggest the longer trip is a genuine possibility

Cheer pal. Everything Nichols said yesterday (and in his 5 to follow) screamed RSA, so perhaps I've lost the plot. The way I view it, Paul doesn't have the stable depth he once did making Cheltenham winners extremely difficult to come by. Even at this early stage the RSA looks to have a far more competitive shape to it. TOTG has shown a decent enough turn of foot to make me think the trip would be no issue. In the last couple of years Paul has gone the Coral Cup/JLT route with a few of his. Chris Giles (owner) has a history of aiming his here (Ptit Zig, Bitofapuzzle, For Non Stop). On their own not enough to tilt me, but collectively I am hoping that's why he will end up here.

[Rhinestone_Cowboy]

Cheer pal. Everything Nichols said yesterday (and in his 5 to follow) screamed RSA, so perhaps I've lost the plot. The way I view it, Paul doesn't have the stable depth he once did making Cheltenham winners extremely difficult to come by. Even at this early stage the RSA looks to have a far more competitive shape to it. TOTG has shown a decent enough turn of foot to make me think the trip would be no issue. In the last couple of years Paul has gone the Coral Cup/JLT route with a few of his. Chris Giles (owner) has a history of aiming his here (Ptit Zig, Bitofapuzzle, For Non Stop). On their own not enough to tilt me, but collectively I am hoping that's why he will end up here.

All good, certainly the JLT looks the easier option at this stage. Will see how things go at the weekend as no issues backing him for this as well

[Kevloaf]

Fair enough Kev, but if (and I’m not saying this is the case with Charlie) you only spotted the Friday entry and saw the way he was priced up for both races you would be forgiven for thinking that he was being aimed at the intermediate trip. The Saturday entry would bring that into question

Yeah absolutely.

3 miles should be just what he wants as Sean has been banging on about all summer

[doctorwu]

"He hasn't had a setback. He's just a bit weak and immature and I just felt taking him to Cheltenham would be a bit tough on him at this stage of his career,"

Thank you boopa

[bobbyvalentino]

For those like myself neck deep on the Vinndication train I just noticed Kim Baileys done a ST.

“He ran a nice race when winning at Carlisle the other day and we are waiting for soft ground. He is a very laid back individual and we will just mull over our alternatives at the moment.”

Keeping his cards close on this horse, definitely one for the 365 cover

[Kevloaf]

For those like myself neck deep on the Vinndication train I just noticed Kim Baileys done a ST.

“He ran a nice race when winning at Carlisle the other day and we are waiting for soft ground. He is a very laid back individual and we will just mull over our alternatives at the moment.”

Keeping his cards close on this horse, definitely one for the 365 cover

Hopefully proves good enough in soft ground to warrent a shot at the festival regardless. Not sure Kim Bailey will go so 365 the only option as you say.

[darlojim]

Is On the blind side going over fences or staying over hurdles does anyone know? This or the RSA also do we think if so?

[Innoko]

He's going over fences but taking a while to come to hand.

[Kevloaf]

Is On the blind side going over fences or staying over hurdles does anyone know? This or the RSA also do we think if so?

Last year I'd have said RSA but Nicky was pretty adamanet that he didn't need mopre than 2m4f last year, and was "proved right" against Nico (who fancied him over further) when he won both his grade 2's over that trip.

I'm also positive that he'd split him and Santini - and Santini only has the 1 race to go for....

93.5/1 with 365 (best price) on that related double ..... now that does tempt me, it really does, as the JLT is one I don't have a strong fancy in yet...

[Scooby91]

I like champagne classic for this.
Watched all his races back and that of cracking smart and delta work.

I'd have champagne classic in this race. And the other 2 almost certain RSA

[charlie]

I like champagne classic for this.
Watched all his races back and that of cracking smart and delta work.

I'd have champagne classic in this race. And the other 2 almost certain RSA

I think lots of us have him to win any race, what price did you get in this?

[ComplyOrDie]

One who hasn't been out yet and we haven't heard much from is Slate House. Initially I thought the Arkle for him, but that is a red hot looking race/market already and looked further into his breeding that pointed me towards this race.

He was put up by either Joe or Colin (can't remember which) as the fastest horse in the yard at some point last season, and for his first 2 races for them you couldn't argue, including a defeat of Supreme winner, Summerville Boy, though the result was easily overturned at the festival, where Slate House fell when not in contention.

He was always thought of as a chaser and indeed was purchased with that in mind, so would struggle to not have him going over fences this season. I have yet been able to find much information on him, and was not included in the Tizzard stable tour either, so can not confirm which route he will take.

Have requested a price for him, so will hopefully have one shortly.

[taylorch1990]

I've backed him for the arkle but with the amount of novice chasers Tizzard has it'll be interesting to see where they all fit in. Vision des Flos, Ainchea, Pingshou and Slate House won't all go for the arkle. I got 50s for the arkle so was worth a punt. 33s or bigger and id be tempted.

[cwright23]

I had a quick glance down the betting for this earlier on and must admit if the top 15 in the better I can probably only find 3 who are likely to come here. After yesterday le reichbourg has to be at the top of people’s thoughts after running delta work so close in what I imagine will be an extremely strong form line. Can’t see anything else JP has for the race either.

[JackieMoon33]

I had a quick glance down the betting for this earlier on and must admit if the top 15 in the better I can probably only find 3 who are likely to come here. After yesterday le reichbourg has to be at the top of people’s thoughts after running delta work so close in what I imagine will be an extremely strong form line. Can’t see anything else JP has for the race either.

I had Lostintranslation for this but after this weekend, I’d agree Le Richebourg looks a very lively player.