Mares Novice Hurdle 2021

[Magpie]

Good idea TOTG, done the same.

[Lobos]

Hook up for me.. can’t see anyone from that race winnng at the fez

That doesn't make sense. Beaten by RK ??

[Milbear0]

Hook up looked like she was tapped for toe versus RK the last day. Based on her run in the Pharma it’ll take a horse of blue lord/ballyadams ability to beat her at Cheltenham in a faster run race - and none of the mares in the solerina would be up to that level. Bet365 dangling a 16/1 sized carrot which still seems fair to me.

As with some previous years it’s odds on the first 4 home would fit under a blanket come Cheltenham.

[jono]

Gauloise backers can take hope that Dolcita ran a very similar race in the Solerina, beaten 3 and a bit lengths in third without troubling the winner.
To then run second at the festival.

Looks like we'll have an open renewal as per the last 2 seasons though rather than a Limini / Let's Dance / Laurina 'banker'

[Birds Nest]

Gauloise the Champion Hurdler

In all seriousness I don't think the result is all that much of a shock. I mean there were doubts from many beforehand, obviously couldn't have seen Roseys Hollow winning (although the money came), personally, but I'm sure some shrewdie out there backed her.

Hook Up very much back in the frame based on that for me, given her much improved performance at the weekend, and I'm still not giving up on Finest Evermore either!

Ruby said the same thing about finest evermore.. But that just confuses things even more for me now..

[jswinburne1]

Anyone think Riviere D’etel will go here or will they opt for the Boodles? And would anyone give her a chance in this after today? She is seemingly quite well thought of

[jack1092]

Hook up looked like she was tapped for toe versus RK the last day. Based on her run in the Pharma it’ll take a horse of blue lord/ballyadams ability to beat her at Cheltenham in a faster run race - and none of the mares in the solerina would be up to that level. Bet365 dangling a 16/1 sized carrot which still seems fair to me.

As with some previous years it’s odds on the first 4 home would fit under a blanket come Cheltenham.

Not sure tapped for toe would be what i'd describe it as, she just looked beat by the better horse on the day in every way. Her hurdling was poor when it mattered, and she also hurdled pretty tardily on Sunday.
It was a great piece of placing by WPM and co on Sunday, ride her cold to place and pick up the pieces when the horses trying to keep with AI die a death. Not far off getting that G1 place blacktype....in saying that i've seen horses being claimed to have "black type" when finishing 4th so maybe they can sell her as that already.

[DenmanSacre]

I couldn't find a price for her with anybody I could use and never got round to requesting a price. Ah well. I swear I remember watching something or reading something after her last run suggesting Cheltenham wasn't the plan, but I can't find anything now. Suppose those plans might have changed after today anyway.

I've still got the page up on Oddschecker with the unaltered prices. PP and Betfair were 20's. WH, Unibet, IOBet, SportNation and Redzone were 33's. Not priced by the others.

[taylorch1990]

This is such an open race this year, Rosie Hollow is the right favourite and was good today. However she was getting weight from the second and third today and I'd be slightly concerned about 2 miles on quicker than soft ground. Her last 2 wins have been heavy ground and 2 mile 2.

Been trying to find some value in the market and I've already backed The Glancing Queen at 14-1 and think she's great value still at that price. The other 2 who I like at the current prices are Echoes in rain and Pink Sheets. Echoes in rain would need to settle better than last time but she still battled on well in the Moscow Flyer and 20-1 NRNB is a fair price. Pink Sheets is also a front runner and has won her last 4. She seems to really be improving and has plenty of experience this season having ran 6 times. Her win lto at Newbury was imo her best run yet she set a good pace and nothing got near her. Her jumping is also very slick and fast. She's best priced 25-1 and 20s NRNB.

[Spectre]

I've backed Roseys Hollow because you have to really, but I already have a few onside at bigger odds with my normal book approach. Three mentioned being The Glancing Queen, Echoes In Rain, and Finest Evermore.

One I really like a big odds is Mrs Hyde. 40/1 with cashout or 33/1 nrnb. She's was talked up pre-season as pone to take a hand in the spring, and she's run some nice races including beating Verdana Blue fair and square. She won't be everyone's cup of tea because she's not a Mullins novice mare, but she's massively overpriced in my opinion.

[Lobos]

Gauloise backers can take hope that Dolcita ran a very similar race in the Solerina, beaten 3 and a bit lengths in third without troubling the winner.
To then run second at the festival.

Looks like we'll have an open renewal as per the last 2 seasons though rather than a Limini / Let's Dance / Laurina 'banker'

Her flat win in France was left handed so Cheltenham could suit her and she looks a speedy type so the better ground might help. Clutching though.

[jonthehammer]

Disappointed with the pair of them today, the winner looked good but i still dont she will win next month

I am going round in circles now and ending up back at forgotten horse Queens Brook, maybe her form behind (altho a long way) Concertista isnt so bad after all. Her form has also been franked when Decimation won who she beat in October. I just dont know any more !!

[Exar Essay]

I still think the 33s about Glens of Antrim isn’t bad. Could be Willie’s horse? Decent form lines with Stattler and Mr Incredible isn’t a mug either. Not setting my world alight but after today, could be value. Mind you, not sure the sharper trip suits

[Lobos]

It was a very hot race today so maybe that's as good as it gets.

[Big Bucks]

I'm sitting at the minute with hindsight thinking I was trying to be too clever here and got too deep without even realising what was happening! No strong opinion at the minute but backed 3 or 4 thinking my angle was logical. Now I havent a clue and no strong opinion!