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Hello Fat Jockeys,
Upgrading the Fat Jockey forum!: https://www.crowdfunder.co.uk/p/fatjockeyforum
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Upgrading the Fat Jockey forum!: https://www.crowdfunder.co.uk/p/fatjockeyforum
We're looking to upgrade the 'hosting CPU' so I've set up a crowdfunding project.
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Kevloaf @ Fat Jockey
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Cheltenham 2019 Ante-Post bets
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Originally posted by Scopey View PostSuper late to the party - but work means I'll be at the festival for the 4 days now.
What value bets might still be out there for someone with 0 Ante Post bets on so far?
Probably best to go to each individual thread and ask what people think... currently disagreeing with somebody in the RSA thread about the best bet in that race
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Actually quite an interesting question... "if you'd had 0 AP bets so far what would you back at current prices?"
Two for me off the top of my head would be:
Blow By Blow - 4miler 25/1
Coeur Sublime - Triumph 33/1
Neither are bomb proof by any stretch but hey they're 25s and 33s with the potential (imo) to be significantly shorter on the day. The 4miler looks a market that still has quite a bit of potential value in it - Ok Corral and Ballyward 2 others that look overpriced to me considering that this is probably the most likely destination for both.
Obviously there is still lots of potential value in horses we haven't seen yet this season but you'd have to say this is a more speculative approach... Cilaos Emery at 20s as an example, this could look huge within the next few weeks.
Short prices aren't really my style this far out but if they were I'd be considering a chunky bet EW on Melon at 10s.
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Not contributed much recently and dont want to be accused of aftertiming, in fact when you see the state of my antepost book its clear that its "warts and all"!! Had loads of disappointments recently. To be honest break even will be a good result this year, would of been unbelievably helpful if id been able to cash out my 365 bets but unfortunately not possible. Ive done a bit of laying off where possible recently to try and help things but its looking pretty grim, but nothing a Santini or Adjali or Epatante or an Angels breath win wont sort. Keep up the good work everyone, its a good read.
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I'm going to have a 98/1 ew double on Joseph O'Brien's horses...
Le Richebourg - Arkle 8/1
Sir Erec - Triumph 10/1
Le Richebourg is the best Arkle hope of the Irish on the chase form we've seen and the English horses have been beating each other.
Sir Erec made a brilliant transition to hurdles, and is easily the best bred (flat rat) horse that'll be in the Triumph. My 'leap' of faith, is that they've gone out of the way to find a horse good enough to get JOSEPH O'Brien on the trophy, after he got Ivanovic Gorbatov to win the race, which in hindsight may well be one of the best training feats of his career to date
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