Cheltenham 2019 Ante-Post bets

[Innoko]

365 NRNB for the five main races... bit early?

[thistlecracker]

I thought skybet went NRNB the week following Christmas then New Year’s Day went NRNB on all races but I could be wrong. Definitely the earliest it’s ever been

[Middle_Of_March]

I thought skybet went NRNB the week following Christmas then New Year’s Day went NRNB on all races but I could be wrong. Definitely the earliest it’s ever been

This sounds correct

[Kevloaf]

365 NRNB for the five main races... bit early?

Could do with them having both markets open

[Scooby91]

Cashed brain power for a huge profit. And Alboum photo antepost.

Added.

Next destination 20/1 EW NRNB stayers.
Alboum photo 33/1 EW NRNB gold cup.
Alboum photo 20/1 EW NRNB ryanair.

[Quevega]

Not pressed yet but 4-1 Footpad Champion chase is tempting me.

4-1 each way 1/4 odds 3 places, as if he runs he's likely to have looked good again, and/or HE (Altior) may not be there,
if HE (altior) is you just need him to finish placed in what could be a low runner race anyhow if (Altior) HE's there.

Altior shall now be referred to as HE.

[Faugheen_Machine]

Not pressed yet but 4-1 Footpad Champion chase is tempting me.

4-1 each way 1/4 odds 3 places, as if he runs he's likely to have looked good again, and/or HE (Altior) may not be there,
if HE (altior) is you just need him to finish placed in what could be a low runner race anyhow if (Altior) HE's there.

Altior shall now be referred to as HE.

Worth noting they are BOG too so very little downside to one of these bets.

[Quevega]

Worth noting they are BOG too so very little downside to one of these bets.

Correct, that 4-1 could be 5,6 or 7 maybe if HE is 1/4

[Kevloaf]

Not pressed yet but 4-1 Footpad Champion chase is tempting me.

4-1 each way 1/4 odds 3 places, as if he runs he's likely to have looked good again, and/or HE (Altior) may not be there,
if HE (altior) is you just need him to finish placed in what could be a low runner race anyhow if (Altior) HE's there.

Altior shall now be referred to as HE.

Thinking out loud - Best case scenario is Altior doesn't make the festival for that bet to be worth the wait though?

Would probably place, but quite a wait to get your money back - and he's now fallen this season and made a howler at Cheltenham in the Arkle...


If he lined up on the day he'd be an each way shot to nothing... (and this is effectively betting on the day), he won't be an each way price on the day though... they wouldn't push him past 4/1 even if Altior got silly short would they?

just depends how likely you think it is he can win still?

[thistlecracker]

NRNB 5 fold - nothing spectacular

BVD
Altior
Min
Penhill
PP

426/1

[Quevega]

Thinking out loud - Best case scenario is Altior doesn't make the festival for that bet to be worth the wait though?

Would probably place, but quite a wait to get your money back - and he's now fallen this season and made a howler at Cheltenham in the Arkle...


If he lined up on the day he'd be an each way shot to nothing... (and this is effectively betting on the day), he won't be an each way price on the day though... they wouldn't push him past 4/1 even if Altior got silly short would they?

just depends how likely you think it is he can win still?

Your first sentence is obviously correct, If it did happen and Footpad has won a grade one at 2 miles looking like last season. What price ?
I'd say 2-1 best and probably shorter. I'm gonna look on Mayo's historic odds thread and see what he was at start of season

[Quevega]

Footpad was 5-1 when Altior was 11/8, thought 4-1 looked ok.

[Quevega]

Second season novices have such a good record it's impossible to not back
Monalee 40-1 and ABP 33-1 for the Gold cup.
Arguably the 2nd and 3rd best staying novices of last year, and both would probably have better reputations were it not for one other horse and a couple of mishaps. Both could really impress in their next couple of races and the prices at NRNB are clear value.

[Kevloaf]

Footpad was 5-1 when Altior was 11/8, thought 4-1 looked ok.

I'd be expecting a return on the bet for sure.

I actually haven't got a penny on Footpad for this festival yet.


If I woke up and anything had happened to Altior I'd be livid I hadn't placed the bet.

and you're right, he's 4/1 NRNB with full cashout available as opposed to 5/1 now but 1/5 the odds.

[Quevega]

I'd be expecting a return on the bet for sure.

I actually haven't got a penny on Footpad for this festival yet.


If I woke up and anything had happened to Altior I'd be livid I hadn't placed the bet.

and you're right, he's 4/1 NRNB with full cashout available as opposed to 5/1 now but 1/5 the odds.

I've gone 5pts each way, can afford to tie it up and leave it to run it's course. I don't think he'll run here if he's an also ran.