Originally posted by Scooby91
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Grand Annual 2018
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Originally posted by kinloch brae View PostNorth Hill Harvey backed across the boards. Presumably, that is on the basis of that really promising run at Warwick last time and the fact they don't think he is good enough to even run in the Arkle? At Warwick he couldn't cope with one horse going quickly let alone 20.
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Originally posted by kinloch brae View PostNorth Hill Harvey backed across the boards. Presumably, that is on the basis of that really promising run at Warwick last time and the fact they don't think he is good enough to even run in the Arkle? At Warwick he couldn't cope with one horse going quickly let alone 20.
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostIt'll be based on his excellent Cheltenham record I'd say... and this race in winnable, no shame in not thinking you can beat Footpad?
people fall in love
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Originally posted by quevega View Postmore likely people reinvesting their NR money back blindly without really weighing up it's chances in a different race.
people fall in love
Has beaten Modus at Cheltenham who is competing in the JLT
He has a neck beating of SCeau Royal who was a lively player in the Arkle.
Disappointing last time out, I'd have liked better ground.... but I don't think it is a ridiculous tip by any stretch based on his Cheltenham form
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostI made a case and backed him a couple of weeks back. I liked his chances.
Has beaten Modus at Cheltenham who is competing in the JLT
He has a neck beating of SCeau Royal who was a lively player in the Arkle.
Disappointing last time out, I'd have liked better ground.... but I don't think it is a ridiculous tip by any stretch based on his Cheltenham form
But he's no 10 0r 12s shot in a field like this. Novices who have done or ran well in this have generally been very well handicapped 140 or lower.
20-1 would be more like it.
pretty sure the money today was people shoving it over
For him to win off 149 he would have to be almost arkle placing level at least.
so i think it's a strange decision
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Our ambassador <a href="https://twitter.com/DSkeltonRacing?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@DSkeltonRacin g</a> says: “No intention to misinform but after talking to one of his owners at length it is decided North Hill Harvey will run in the grand annual. The Arkle is Red hot." <a href="https://t.co/OLg95BwaPl">pic.twitter.com/OLg95BwaPl</a></p>— Ladbrokes (@Ladbrokes) <a href="https://twitter.com/Ladbrokes/status/972796843192143874?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 11, 2018</a></blockquote>
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Don't blame them to be honest and to me holds a very strong chance in this race.
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Originally posted by quevega View PostYep, No major problem with him having a chance in this, although he's probably got a high enough mark for a novice in this, given the overall form of his races, granted the best appear to be at Chelt.
But he's no 10 0r 12s shot in a field like this. Novices who have done or ran well in this have generally been very well handicapped 140 or lower.
20-1 would be more like it.
pretty sure the money today was people shoving it over
For him to win off 149 he would have to be almost arkle placing level at least.
so i think it's a strange decision
I didn't realise he was quite as short as he is, and I wouldn't argue he's well handicapped but I do think he has a chance, which you did say too.
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostNot a whole lot of love for Powersbomb jono
I've got another I don't think people will be interested in....
Valdez [B]He's only 25/1 best price...which isn't huge - and only ran once in 3 years... 17L behind Altior last time out!
He was only beaten 6L in "Champange Fever's" Arkle, and only 1L behind Didging Bullets who ended up being a Champion Chaser...
The fact they've carried on with him is somewhat interesting... he must retain some ability?
He is also 11, which I haven't checked but can't imagine is a positive...
I haven't backed him, but King says he goes here and I will see if he drifts to a big price when the market forms.../B]
He could well be chucked in on old form and his run LTO was certainly no bad run taking into account the 1204 days off the track.
Alan King has struggled this festival and also been unlucky in fairness, but he is a trainer who can get one handicapped well too, and it would be some story for Valdez to come back and win this race.
His Cheltenham form is not as bad as the placings sounds, 2 hurdles run finishing 7th & 2nd but only beaten 9 1/2 lengths & 1 1/2 lengths respectively, as you also stated he only finished 6 3/4 lengths behind the winner in the 2014 running of the Arkle, so he is certainly solid at the track if nothing else.
20/1 currently, although it's a price I am happy to take he is one I am willing to wait until tomorrow to back as I am sure there will be many gambles for the final day and final race of the festival but definitely one I am adding to my book.
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