Originally posted by Innoko
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Ballymore (Previously Neptune) Novice Hurdle 2018
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On The Blind Side is a knocking each way bet to nothing with 365 at NRNB BOG 1/4 the odds for anyone haviong doubts about Samcro running here...
If you're right, you're on a good bet, if you're wrong, he seems the best of British by a way and there won't be more than 2 Irish contenders better?
Samcro, Getabird, NExt Destination On The Blindside would be WORSE CASE scenario and that is unlikely!
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostOn The Blind Side is a knocking each way bet to nothing with 365 at NRNB BOG 1/4 the odds for anyone haviong doubts about Samcro running here...
If you're right, you're on a good bet, if you're wrong, he seems the best of British by a way and there won't be more than 2 Irish contenders better?
Samcro, Getabird, NExt Destination On The Blindside would be WORSE CASE scenario and that is unlikely!
His form is good, hes very likable and he's pulling away. But is it top class grade 1 form over 2m5 at chelt on decent ground, against the likes of samcro who posesses plenty of pace, and a high cruising speed, and the slick jumping and turn of foot of next destination, I don't know. I don't think he's a cert for the 3 but he's likely to be there abouts.Last edited by Scooby91; 2 February 2018, 08:36 PM.https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
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Originally posted by Scooby91 View PostI'm on on the blind side at 95.0 however he's short for what he's beat. Is his form any better than black ops last run? . I'm not sure
His form is good, hes very likable and he's pulling away. But is it top class grade 1 form over 2m5 at chelt on decent ground, against the likes of samcro who posesses plenty of pace, and a high cruising speed, and the slick jumping and turn of foot of next destination, I don't know. I don't think he's a cert for the 3 but he's likely to be there abouts.
On his Cheltenham win be beat a horse that’s now a grade 1 winner and a mare that won a pretty decent mares race & is rated a future grade 1 winner by her connections - chances are he improved on that at Sandown & after 3 runs, surely has room for further improvement.
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Originally posted by Cashew King View PostIs his form any better than Black Ops - are you having a laugh?
On his Cheltenham win be beat a horse that’s now a grade 1 winner and a mare that won a pretty decent mares race & is rated a future grade 1 winner by her connections - chances are he improved on that at Sandown & after 3 runs, surely has room for further improvement.
He does have future room for improvement no doubt. I'm talking about ehat he's done to date.Last edited by Scooby91; 2 February 2018, 08:58 PM.https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
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Originally posted by Scooby91 View PostDisect the grade 1 winner and the mare. And his next run. Put it in context to the ballymore.
He does have future room for improvement no doubt. I'm talking about ehat he's done to date.
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Originally posted by Cashew King View PostWe could play that game with Samcro - it’s beaten trees very well at 4s on & 5s on - it’s the price it is now on hype & connections - we’ll all find out if Irish or English form is stronger won’t we.https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
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Originally posted by Cashew King View PostIs his form any better than Black Ops - are you having a laugh?
On his Cheltenham win be beat a horse that’s now a grade 1 winner and a mare that won a pretty decent mares race & is rated a future grade 1 winner by her connections - chances are he improved on that at Sandown & after 3 runs, surely has room for further improvement.
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Originally posted by Robbante View PostI took Santini’s win as a knock to OTBS form. Poetic Rhythm beat Mulcahys Hill a short head, OTBS beat Poetic Rhythm 2 lengths. So OTBS has 3 lengths or so in hand on Mulcahys Hill, who was thrashed by both Santini and Black Op. Obviously can’t place too much weight collaterally on all that, but it places serious doubt for me on the strength of OTBS form
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Originally posted by Hurricane fly View PostJetz beating(admittedly in defeat) Carter McKay and Dortmund Park is another boost for Samcro
The others did do the donkey work though chasing fabulous saga who went off too fast.
But good to seehttps://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
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What would the thoughts be to Samcro’s potential price on the day? I can cash out for a big profit now with B365 on my each way single.
I could replace this as a win single and make a higher potential profit, or I could replace it with the NRNB concession for a tiny profit, but also have the BOG and NRNB concessions.
I’m thinking if he hoses up tomorrow, you aren’t getting much bigger than 6-4 on the day even though they’ll be trying to buy your money in the morning.
Tough decision. Cash and take the 6/4 NRNB BOG or take 15/8 without any concession? I’ll be leaving my doubles ongoing
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