Originally posted by ComplyOrDie
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JLT Novices 2018
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This might be (pretty sure it is) by worst position of the festival.
My two main fancies in singles have been...... Willoughby Court and Death Duty which has me 12 pts down before the tapes go up!
A good result but unliekly, is Al Boum Photo to go here, having taken some big prices and had multiples with him at 25s and he looks destined to go up in trip unfortunately for me.
The favourite now, Invitation Only, I fancied to go up in trip to the RSA chase... and although I've taken some evasive action, it isn't a significant win for me. (Probably the only FAV in any race non-handicap that I haven't got covered for overall profit!)
Incredibly, (considering my position on him being a bet for the Arkle early season) my best result would be Finian's Oscar... not in terms on singles, but I've got some exciting looking multiples that he'd conclude.
Modus, Dounikos, Terrefort running would do me no harm....
and Monalee coming here would be grand! Had a decent bet at 12's NRNB and considering another big'un now because for me, 9/2 is way too big. IMPOSSIBLE to be out of the 3 on all known form! Also had some Monalee (JLT) Percy (RSA) speculative doubles!
Got to take the rough with the smooth...and I'll be thrilled to come out level for this race.... good luck to everyone in a better position than I'm in!
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For me Al Boum Photo just won’t stay 3 miles. Far too much is being placed on the flogas run where he caught the eye staying on... there’s a huge difference between staying on over 2m 4 and seeing out 3 miles up the hill at Cheltenham. I’ve watched all of his races and I’m convinced he won’t stay on up that hill over 3 miles, not long til we find out (assuming he does go RSA as Ruby suggests in that paddy power column)
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Any free bets I collect from the first couple of days I imagine I'll be staking in this race to try and claw my way back.
Still weighing up the 9/2 NRNB about Monalee.... He should be a clear fav versus Invitation Only on their Flogas (distance) race and Modus is 3rd fav. Solid enough horse but nothing special. Finian's Oscar and Benetar next in, closely matched but the doubts about Finian's Oscar can't be put to bed... can't see anything lower than that, that I'd expect to beat Monalee.
10/1 NRNB double with Laurina will do for now - only 2 pts though.
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Originally posted by archie View Post
He might be 5th in the betting come the day?
Invitation Only
Modus
Benetar
Finian's Oscar
Kemboy
Monalee, Terreforte and Bigmarte the only other ones shorter that might run?
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