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Stayers Hurdle 2018

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  • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post
    I don't disagree Sean but if the Stayers is his target why would the horses prep run be over 2m when other options were available ?
    Just seems a strange route to go...
    Apart from the Galmoy a couple of weeks ago (often run on very heavy ground) there is only the one graded hurdle over 2 1/2 miles or further between January 1st and Cheltenham that is not a novice/mares race; that is the Boyne hurdle at Navan on 18th February over 2m 5f. However, that is getting close to Cheltenham and, once again, the ground is often heavy.
    There really are limited opportunities in Ireland and, if I had one criticism of the fantastic Dublin Festival, it would be that a couple of races could be over different distances (most notably the Grade 1 Novice hurdle on Day 1 over 2m 6f) and the lack of a Graded race for experienced hurdlers over more than 2 miles

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    • The "positive" you can take from the Supasundae going over 2m for his "prep" is that it very much was A PLAN. They didn't want him bottoming out over 3m, and were very pleasently surprised with how well he did, however are still adament the Stayers is the plan.

      Unorthodox - yes?
      Negative - no?

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
        The "positive" you can take from the Supasundae going over 2m for his "prep" is that it very much was A PLAN. They didn't want him bottoming out over 3m, and were very pleasently surprised with how well he did, however are still adament the Stayers is the plan.

        Unorthodox - yes?
        Negative - no?
        I'll hold my hands up I thought it was a terrible idea I thought he had no chance. And was just hoping he diddnt fall/ power ask him to go to the well.
        No way did I think he'd come out the race a shorter price.
        Credit to connections.
        https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
        Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

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        • You would think Yanworth would come here now, although he would be hard pressed to confirm Aintree form!

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post
            I'll hold my hands up I thought it was a terrible idea I thought he had no chance. And was just hoping he diddnt fall/ power ask him to go to the well.
            No way did I think he'd come out the race a shorter price.
            Credit to connections.
            I'm glad they've said they're definitely not considering the CH because I thought about him NRNB for it and would have been annoyed I couldn't be bothered requesting the prices.

            I definitely heard someone of a podcast tip him up, I've no doubt it'll come up during this weeks whoever it was so I'll name check the podcast when I come across it. From memory it wasn;t one I find myself getting much out of though!

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Innoko View Post
              You would think Yanworth would come here now, although he would be hard pressed to confirm Aintree form!
              He is 3 times the price NRNB with 365 which is probably a big enough price relative to the favourite to justify backing on the Aintree form....

              Very different preps though, but you are getting a price that factors that in?

              I did back Yanworth each way NRNB at 10s a few weeks back so I still think 9s is a worthwhile IF you fancy Supasundae!

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              • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                He is 3 times the price NRNB with 365 which is probably a big enough price relative to the favourite to justify backing on the Aintree form....

                Very different preps though, but you are getting a price that factors that in?

                I did back Yanworth each way NRNB at 10s a few weeks back so I still think 9s is a worthwhile IF you fancy Supasundae!
                I think that forms long gone personally.
                https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
                Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

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                • I reckon Supasundae is plenty skinny enough, still haven’t backed him and won’t be going in now (obviously wish I had a couple of months ago). He’s never won over three miles so there has to be doubts about whether he truly sees out the trip, and you can pick holes in his form. He may well still be improving but he’d need to over that trip for me. Penhill the interesting one.. if fully tuned up and the whispers are good then I’ll be adding him

                  Comment


                  • Penhill will need to be out pretty soon won't he?

                    Winning the Stayers without a prep run?

                    Couldn't have him at double the odds at the moment... too skinny all season unfortunately. 10s best he's been, and now 8s NRNB without a run?

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                      Penhill will need to be out pretty soon won't he?

                      Winning the Stayers without a prep run?

                      Couldn't have him at double the odds at the moment... too skinny all season unfortunately. 10s best he's been, and now 8s NRNB without a run?
                      Hes been 20s.
                      I haven't backed him
                      https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
                      Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post
                        Hes been 20s.
                        I haven't backed him
                        I was wrong anyway, in the opening post he is 14/1 - 09-17-2017, 05:05 PM

                        Still, I wouldn't have risked him at 14s, 20's I probably would have...

                        Will struggle to have a meaningfuul prep race in Ireland now as BoF highlighed.... one of the few I am willing to oppose in the race

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                        • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                          I was wrong anyway, in the opening post he is 14/1 - 09-17-2017, 05:05 PM

                          Still, I wouldn't have risked him at 14s, 20's I probably would have...

                          Will struggle to have a meaningfuul prep race in Ireland now as BoF highlighed.... one of the few I am willing to oppose in the race
                          I like him but he's had a nasty injury. No way I can back him at 10/1 Or anywhere close to it in current circumstances. If he wins good luck to connections
                          https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
                          Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

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                          • ‘In great form and back in training’ latest I can find on Penhill from about a month ago. Goes well fresh and because of the dreaded bounce I’d possibly give him more of a chance if going straight there. If he lines up you’d have to assume he’s had no setbacks, and the peak of his form from last year is enough to put him right there. Won’t be going in now as can’t imagine he’d be skinnier than 8s on the day with the prep he’s had

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Robbante View Post
                              I reckon Supasundae is plenty skinny enough, still haven’t backed him and won’t be going in now (obviously wish I had a couple of months ago). He’s never won over three miles so there has to be doubts about whether he truly sees out the trip, and you can pick holes in his form. He may well still be improving but he’d need to over that trip for me. Penhill the interesting one.. if fully tuned up and the whispers are good then I’ll be adding him
                              I'd agree that there has to be a question mark about whether Supasundae will be as effective over 3 miles. His pedigree doesn't scream stamina but, as always, the opposition will have to make it a proper test to bring this into play.

                              Comment


                              • I like the stat for Wholestone - 7 runs at Cheltenham, won 4, placed 3 times.
                                Could be a good E/W shout 16/1

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